Cyber-Physical Distributed Systems

Cyber-Physical Distributed Systems
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CYBER-PHYSICAL DISTRIBUTED SYSTEMS Gather detailed knowledge and insights into cyber-physical systems behaviors from a cutting-edge reference written by leading voices in the field In Cyber-Physical Distributed Systems: Modeling, Reliability Analysis and Applications , distinguished researchers and authors Drs. Huadong Mo, Giovanni Sansavini, and Min Xie deliver a detailed exploration of the modeling and reliability analysis of cyber physical systems through applications in infrastructure and energy and power systems. The book focuses on the integrated modeling of systems that bring together physical and cyber elements and analyzing their stochastic behaviors and reliability with a view to controlling and managing them. The book offers a comprehensive treatment on the aging process and corresponding online maintenance, networked degradation, and cyber-attacks occurring in cyber-physical systems. The authors include many illustrative examples and case studies based on real-world systems and offer readers a rich set of references for further research and study. Cyber-Physical Distributed Systems covers recent advances in combinatorial models and algorithms for cyber-physical systems modeling and analysis. The book also includes: A general introduction to traditional physical/cyber systems, and the challenges, research trends, and opportunities for real cyber-physical systems applications that general readers will find interesting and useful Discussions of general modeling, assessment, verification, and optimization of industrial cyber-physical systems Explorations of stability analysis and enhancement of cyber-physical systems, including the integration of physical systems and open communication networks A detailed treatment of a system-of-systems framework for the reliability analysis and optimal maintenance of distributed systems with aging components Perfect for undergraduate and graduate students in computer science, electrical engineering, cyber security, industrial and system engineering departments, Cyber-Physical Distributed Systems will also earn a place on the bookshelves of students taking courses related to reliability, risk and control engineering from a system perspective. Reliability, safety and industrial control professionals will also benefit greatly from this book.

Оглавление

Min Xie. Cyber-Physical Distributed Systems

Table of Contents

List of Tables

List of Illustrations

Guide

Pages

Cyber‐Physical Distributed Systems. Modeling, Reliability Analysis and Applications

Preface

Acronyms and Abbreviations

1 Introduction

1.1 Challenges of Traditional Physical and Cyber Systems

1.2 Research Trends of CPSs. 1.2.1 Stability of CPSs

1.2.2 Reliability of CPSs

1.3 Opportunities for CPS Applications. 1.3.1 Managing Reliability and Feasibility of CPSs

1.3.2 Ensuring Cybersecurity of CPSs

2 Fundamentals of CPSs

2.1 Models for Exploring CPSs. 2.1.1 Control‐Block‐Diagram for CPSs

2.1.1.1 Control Signal in CPSs

2.1.1.2 Degraded Actuator and Sensor

2.1.1.3 Time‐Varying Model of CPSs

2.1.2 Implementation in TrueTime Simulator. 2.1.2.1 Introduction of TrueTime Simulator

2.1.2.2 Architectures of CPSs in TrueTime

2.2 Evaluation and Verification of CPSs. 2.2.1 CPS Performance Evaluation

2.2.1.1 CPS Performance Index

2.2.1.2 Reliability Evaluation of CPSs

2.2.2 CPS Model Verification

2.3 CPS Performance Improvement

2.3.1 PSO‐Based Reliability Enhancement

2.3.2 Optimal PID‐AGC

Note

3 Stability Enhancement of CPSs

3.1 Integration of Physical and Cyber Models. 3.1.1 Basics of WAPS. 3.1.1.1 Physical Layer

3.1.1.2 Cyber Layer

3.1.1.3 WAPS Realized in TrueTime

3.1.2 An Illustrative WAPS

3.1.2.1 Illustrative Physical Layer

Remark 3.1

3.1.2.2 Illustrative Cyber Layer

3.1.2.3 Illustrative Integrated System

3.2 Settings of Stability Analysis

3.2.1 Settings for Delay Predictions

3.2.2 Settings for Illustrative WAPS

3.2.3 Cases for Illustrative WAPS

3.3 HMM‐Based Stability Improvement. 3.3.1 On‐line Smith Predictor

3.3.1.1 Initialization of DHMM

3.3.1.2 Parameter Estimation of DHMM

Theorem 3.1

Theorem 3.2

3.3.1.3 Delay Prediction via DHMM

3.3.1.4 Smith Predictor Structure

3.3.2 Delay Predictions

3.3.2.1 Settings of DHMM

3.3.2.2 Prediction Comparison

3.3.3 Performance of Smith Predictor. 3.3.3.1 Settings of Smith Predictor

3.3.3.2 Analysis of Case 1

3.3.3.3 Analysis of Case 2

3.4 Stability Enhancement of Illustrative WAPS. 3.4.1 Eigenvalue Analysis and Delay Impact

3.4.2 Sensitivity Analysis of Network Parameters

3.4.3 Optimal AGC. 3.4.3.1 Optimal Controller Performance

3.4.3.2 Scenario 1 Analysis

3.4.3.3 Scenario 2 Analysis

3.4.3.4 Scenario 3 Analysis

3.4.3.5 Scenario 4 Analysis

3.4.3.6 Robustness of Optimal AGC

Note

4 Reliability Analysis of CPSs

4.1 Conceptual DGSs

4.2 Mathematical Model of Degraded Network

4.2.1 Model of Transmission Delay

4.2.2 Model of Packet Dropout

Example 4.1

Remark 4.1

4.2.3 Scenarios of Degraded Network

4.3 Modeling and Simulation of DGSs

4.3.1 DGS Model. 4.3.1.1 Preliminary Model

4.3.1.2 Power Source Model

4.3.2 Data Interpolation

4.4 Reliability Estimation Via OPF

4.4.1 Data Prediction

Example 4.2

4.4.2 MCS of DGSs

4.4.3 OPF of DGSs

4.4.4 Actual Cost and Reliability Analysis

4.5 OPF of DGSs Against Unreliable Network. 4.5.1 Settings of Networked DGSs

4.5.2 OPF Under Different Demand Levels

4.5.3 OPF Under Entire Period

Note

5 Maintenance of Aging CPSs

5.1 Data‐driven Degradation Model for CPSs

5.1.1 Degraded Control System

5.1.2 Parameter Estimation via EM Algorithm

5.1.3 LFC Performance Criteria

5.2 Maintenance Model and Cost Model

5.2.1 PBM Model

5.2.2 Cost Model

5.3 Applications to DGSs

5.3.1 Output of Aging Generators

5.3.2 Impact of Aging on DGSs

5.3.2.1 Settings of Aging DGSs

5.3.2.2 Validations of Generator Performance Indexes

5.3.2.3 Quantitative Aging Impact

5.4 Applications to Gas Turbine Plant

5.4.1 Sensitivity Analysis of PBM. 5.4.1.1 Impact of Degradation on LFC

5.4.1.2 Numerical Sensitivity Analysis

5.4.1.3 Pictorial Sensitivity Analysis

5.4.2 Optimal Maintenance Strategy

5.4.3 Maintenance Models Comparison

Note

6 Game Theory Based CPS Protection Plan

6.1 Vulnerability Model for CPSs

Remark 6.1

Example 6.1

6.2 Multi‐state Attack‐Defence Game. 6.2.1 Backgrounds of Game Model for CPSs

Assumption 6.1

Assumption 6.2

6.2.2 Mathematical Game Model

6.3 Attack Consequence and Optimal Defence. 6.3.1 Damage Cost Model

6.3.2 Attack Uncertainty

6.3.3 Optimal Defence Plan

6.4 Applications to Distributed Generation Systems (DGSs) with Uncertain Cyber‐attacks. 6.4.1 Settings of Game Model

6.4.2 Optimal Protection with Constant Resource Allocation. 6.4.2.1 Impact Under Constant Case

6.4.2.2 Optimal Constant Resource Allocation Fraction

6.4.3 Optimal Protection with Dynamic Resource Allocation. 6.4.3.1 Vulnerability Model Under Dynamic Case

6.4.3.2 Optimal Dynamic Resource Allocation Fraction

6.4.3.3 Optimization Results Justification

Note

7 Bayesian Based Cyberteam Deployment

7.1 Poisson Distribution based Cyber‐attacks. 7.1.1 Impacts of DoS Attack

7.1.2 Poisson Arrival Model Verification

7.1.3 Average Arrival Attacks

7.2 Cost of MNB Model

7.2.1 Regret Function of Worst Case

7.2.2 Upper Bound on Cost

Assumption 7.1

7.3 Thompson‐Hedge Algorithm

7.3.1 Hedge Algorithm

Algorithm 7.1 Hedge (λ) Algorithm Initialization

Lemma 7.1

7.3.2 Details of Thompson‐Hedge Algorithm

Algorithm 7.2 Thompson‐Hedge Algorithm

Lemma 7.2

Theorem 7.1

7.3.2.1 Separation of Target Regret

7.3.2.2 Upper Bound ofΛ1

7.3.2.3 Upper Bound ofΛ2

7.3.2.4 Upper Bound of RegretRTH

Remark 7.1

7.4 Applications to Smart Grids

7.4.1 Operation Cost of Smart Grids

7.4.2 Numerical Analysis of Cost Sequences

7.5 Performance of Thompson‐Hedge Algorithm

7.5.1 Comparison Study Against R.EXP3

Algorithm 7.3 Simulation for comparison

7.5.2 Sensitivity to the Variation

Note

8 Recent Advances in CPS Modeling, Stability and Reliability

8.1 Modeling Techniques for CPS Components

8.1.1 Inverse Gaussian Process

8.1.2 Hitting Time to a Curved Boundary

Algorithm 8.1

8.1.3 Estimator Error

8.2 Theoretical Stability Analysis

8.2.1 Impacts of Uncertainties

Assumption 8.1

Assumption 8.2

8.2.2 Small Gain Theorem based Stability Criteria

Theorem 8.1

8.2.3 Robust Stability Criteria

Theorem 8.2

8.3 Game Model for CPSs

References

Index. a

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Huadong Mo

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Distributed renewable energy sources are increasingly connected to power distribution networks as a remedy for environmental and economic concerns [110–112]. However, their power outputs are dependent on the available intermittent natural resources, such as solar irradiation, wind velocity, and biofuel production [113–115]. The rapid deployment and commercialization of storage devices and electric vehicles (EVs) has become an attractive technological solution to facilitate the use of renewable energy sources, manage demand loads, and decarbonize the residential sector [115–117]. The above technological issues call for managing real‐time energy imbalance in DGSs to meet electricity demand over a long‐term horizon. In order to address the challenges of distributed control of energy sources, communication networks are being installed for accurate control of the different power sources and the timely operational scheduling of distributed generator (DG) units, with the objective of providing reliable and sustainable energy in a timely fashion [118–123]. However, most existing research works do not formally investigate the capability of communication networks in providing real‐time power management and promoting the optimal power dispatch [124–127]. The effective integration of communication networks into DG systems is a key step in the realization of future smart grids [90,128].

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