Real-Time Risk

Real-Time Risk
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Aldridge Irene. Real-Time Risk

Acknowledgments

CHAPTER 1. Silicon Valley Is Coming!

EVERYONE IS INTO FINTECH

THE MILLENNIALS ARE COMING

SOCIAL MEDIA

MOBILE

CHEAPER AND FASTER TECHNOLOGY

CLOUD COMPUTING

BLOCKCHAIN

FAST ANALYTICS

IN THE END, IT'S ALL ABOUT REAL‐TIME DATA ANALYTICS

END OF CHAPTER QUESTIONS

CHAPTER 2. This Ain't Your Grandma's Data

DATA

THE RISK OF DATA

TECHNOLOGY

BLOCKCHAIN

WHAT ELEMENTS ARE COMMON TO ALL BLOCKCHAINS?

CONCLUSIONS

END OF CHAPTER QUESTIONS

CHAPTER 3. Dark Pools, Exchanges, and Market Structure

THE NEW MARKET HOURS

WHERE DO MY ORDERS GO?

EXECUTING LARGE ORDERS

TRANSACTION COSTS AND TRANSPARENCY

CONCLUSIONS

END OF CHAPTER QUESTIONS

CHAPTER 4. Who Is Front‐Running You?

SPOOFING, FLAKY LIQUIDITY, AND HFT

ORDER‐BASED NEGOTIATIONS

CONCLUSIONS

END OF CHAPTER QUESTIONS

CHAPTER 5. High‐Frequency Trading in Your Backyard

IMPLICATIONS OF AGGRESSIVE HFT

AGGRESSIVE HIGH‐FREQUENCY TRADING IN EQUITIES

AGGRESSIVE HFT IN US TREASURIES

AGGRESSIVE HFT IN COMMODITIES

AGGRESSIVE HFT IN FOREIGN EXCHANGE

CONCLUSIONS

END OF CHAPTER QUESTIONS

CHAPTER 6. Flash Crashes

WHAT HAPPENS DURING FLASH CRASHES?

DETECTING FLASH‐CRASH PRONE MARKET CONDITIONS

ARE HFTS RESPONSIBLE FOR FLASH CRASHES?

CONCLUSIONS

END OF CHAPTER QUESTIONS

CHAPTER 7. The Analysis of News

THE DELIVERY OF NEWS

PREANNOUNCEMENT RISK

DATA, METHODOLOGY, AND HYPOTHESES

CONCLUSIONS

END OF CHAPTER QUESTIONS

CHAPTER 8. Social Media and the Internet of Things

SOCIAL MEDIA AND NEWS

THE INTERNET OF THINGS

CONCLUSIONS

END OF CHAPTER QUESTIONS

CHAPTER 9. Market Volatility in the Age of Fintech

TOO MUCH DATA, TOO LITTLE TIME – WELCOME, PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS

WANT TO LESSEN VOLATILITY OF FINANCIAL MARKETS? EXPRESS YOUR THOUGHTS ONLINE!

MARKET MICROSTRUCTURE IS THE NEW FACTOR IN PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION

YES, YOU CAN PREDICT T + 1 VOLATILITY

MARKET MICROSTRUCTURE AS A FACTOR? YOU BET

CASE STUDY: IMPROVING EXECUTION IN CURRENCIES

FOR LONGER‐TERM INVESTORS, INCORPORATE MICROSTRUCTURE INTO THE REBALANCING DECISION

CONCLUSIONS

END OF CHAPTER QUESTIONS

CHAPTER 10. Why Venture Capitalists Are Betting on Fintech to Manage Risks

OPPORTUNITIES FOR DISRUPTION ARE PRESENT, AND THEY MAY NOT BE WHAT THEY SEEM

DATA AND ANALYTICS IN FINTECH

FINTECH AS AN ASSET CLASS

WHERE DO YOU FIND FINTECH?

FINTECH SUCCESS FACTORS

THE INVESTMENT CASE FOR FINTECH

HOW DO FINTECH FIRMS MAKE MONEY?

FINTECH AND REGULATION

CONCLUSIONS

END OF CHAPTER QUESTIONS

Authors' Biographies

Index

WILEY END USER LICENSE AGREEMENT

Отрывок из книги

We would like to thank our intrepid editor Bill Falloon, and the great production team: Judy Howarth, Cheryl Ferguson, Sharmila Srinivasan, and Michael Henton for great cover design.

Do you remember Bloomberg terminals? If so, you are reading this book not so long after it was written. JP Morgan's January 2016 announcement “to pull the plug” on thousands and thousands of Bloomberg terminals is a leading example of the sweeping disruption facing investment managers. Billion‐dollar hedge fund Citadel followed suit on August 16, 2016, by announcing that it was taking on Symphony messaging as Bloomberg's replacement. Symphony, who? Many still struggle to wrap their head around the situation, with social media platforms like LinkedIn buzzing with discussions about pulling the plug on traditional sources of market data. Yet, here is fact: The competition is not sleeping, but working hard. And now, the competition is so strong that Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, and others may end up in significant financial peril if they ignore fintech. Is your company also oblivious to changes in innovation?

.....

The key issues in lending are (1) having capital to lend, and (2) estimating credit risk of the borrowers correctly. The pricing of the loan service, interest, is then a function of the credit rating. If and when a borrower defaults, the loan should be optimally paid out from the interest. More generally, the average loan interest should exceed the average loan amount outstanding in order for the lender to make money.

The lending business is central to banking, and banks have had a near monopoly over the lending business for a very long time. New approaches to lending have emerged that compete with banks. Banks fund loans with deposits, whereas peer‐to‐peer lending is funded by investors. The leading players in this new approach to lending are the LendingClub and Prosper in the United States and Funding Circle and Zopa in the United Kingdom. In 2015, Zopa passed the Great Britain pound (GBP) 1 billion mark. Zopa's growth is shown in Figure 1.2.

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