Risk Parity

Risk Parity
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Target high returns and greater consistency with this insightful guide from a leading investor The market volatility exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic has led many to question their exposure to risk in their own portfolios. But what should one do about it? In Risk Parity: How to Invest for All Market Environments , accomplished investment consultant Alex Shahidi delivers a powerful approach to portfolio management that reduces the potential for significant capital loss while maintaining an attractive expected return. The book focuses on allocating capital amongst four diverse asset classes: equities, commodities, Treasury bonds, and Treasury Inflation Protected Securities. You’ll learn about: The nature of risk and why traditional approaches to risk management unnecessarily give up potential returns or inadequately protect against catastrophic market events Why proper risk management is more important now than ever How to efficiently implement a risk parity approach Perfect for both individual and professional investors, Risk Parity is a must-have resource for anyone seeking to increase consistency in their portfolio by building a truly balanced asset allocation.

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Alex Shahidi. Risk Parity

Table of Contents

List of Tables

List of Illustrations

Guide

Pages

Praise for Risk Parity

Risk Parity. How to Invest for All Market Environments

Foreword

Preface

Acknowledgments

About the Author

Introduction

NOTE

CHAPTER ONE What Is Risk Parity?

RISK PARITY IS ALL ABOUT BALANCE

A Smoother Path

THE SOURCE OF RETURNS

WHAT IS RISK?

THE 60/40 PORTFOLIO IS NOT WELL‐BALANCED

RISK PARITY FRAMEWORK OVERVIEW

PEER GROUP RISK

CHAPTER TWO Two Steps to Build a Well‐Balanced Portfolio

STEP 1: WHICH ASSET CLASSES TO REDUCE RISK?

The Economic Environment Drives Asset‐Class Returns

Four Diverse Asset Classes

STEP 2: HOW TO STRUCTURE EACH ASSET CLASS TO HAVE EQUITY‐LIKE RETURNS

Putting It All Together

CHAPTER THREE Equities

WHAT ARE STOCKS?

HOW DO STOCKS PERFORM ACROSS DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENTS?

Growth/Inflation Bias: Conceptual Framework

Growth/Inflation Bias: Historical Returns

WHAT IS THE BEST WAY TO INVEST IN EQUITIES?

STOCK MARKET CYCLES

ARE THERE EXTRAORDINARY ENVIRONMENTS TO CONSIDER?

SUMMARY

NOTE

CHAPTER FOUR Treasuries

WHAT ARE TREASURIES?

HOW DO TREASURIES PERFORM ACROSS DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENTS?

Growth/Inflation Bias: Conceptual Framework

Growth/Inflation Bias: Historical Returns

WHAT IS THE BEST WAY TO INVEST IN TREASURIES?

ARE THERE EXTRAORDINARY ENVIRONMENTS TO CONSIDER?

SUMMARY

CHAPTER FIVE TIPS

WHAT ARE TIPS?

HOW DO TIPS PERFORM ACROSS DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENTS?

Growth/Inflation Bias: Conceptual Framework

Growth/Inflation Bias: Historical Returns

WHAT IS THE BEST WAY TO INVEST IN TIPS?

ARE THERE EXTRAORDINARY ENVIRONMENTS TO CONSIDER?

SUMMARY

NOTES

CHAPTER SIX Commodities

WHAT ARE COMMODITIES?

HOW DO COMMODITIES PERFORM ACROSS DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENTS?

Growth/Inflation Bias: Conceptual Framework

Commodity Futures versus Commodity Equities

WHAT IS THE BEST WAY TO INVEST IN COMMODITIES?

OTHER CONSIDERATIONS

SUMMARY

CHAPTER SEVEN Other Asset Classes

EQUITY SUBGROUPS

NON‐US BONDS

CORPORATE BONDS

MUNICIPAL BONDS

COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE

PRIVATE EQUITY

HEDGE FUNDS

CRYPTOCURRENCIES

CASH

SUMMARY

CHAPTER EIGHT Risk Parity Portfolio Summary

CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK

TARGET ALLOCATION

RISK PARITY WITHOUT LEVERAGE OR WITH MORE LEVERAGE

SUMMARY

NOTE

CHAPTER NINE Risk Parity Portfolio Historical Returns

RETURNS SINCE 1998 (TIPS INCEPTION)

RETURNS SINCE 1970

RETURNS SINCE 1926

SUMMARY

NOTES

CHAPTER TEN The Timeliness of Risk Parity

THE CENTRAL BANK

The Fed's Main Policy Tool: Interest Rates

The Fed's Emergency Policy Tool: QE

The Fed's New Policy Tool: Modern Monetary Theory

THE DELEVERAGING HEADWIND

RISE OF POPULISM

THE NET OUTCOME OF MAJOR HEADWINDS AND TAILWINDS IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN

THE NEED FOR LIQUIDITY, LOW FEES, AND TAX EFFICIENCY

CHAPTER ELEVEN The Rebalancing Boost

CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK: BUY LOW, SELL HIGH

LOW CORRELATION AND HIGH VOLATILITY

THE REBALANCING BOOST APPLIED TO THE RISK PARITY PORTFOLIO

SUMMARY

CHAPTER TWELVE Efficient Implementation

SIMPLICITY

HIDDEN LINE ITEMS

LOW COST

HIGH LIQUIDITY

LOW TAXES

TRANSPARENCY

LEVERAGE

SUMMARY

NOTES

CHAPTER THIRTEEN When Does Risk Parity Underperform?

BREAK GLASS IN CASE OF EMERGENCY

RISKY ASSETS VERSUS CASH

CASH IS KING DURING TWO ENVIRONMENTS

1. Cash Rates Unexpectedly Rise

2. Panic

RARE AND SHORT‐LIVED PERIODS

CONCEPTUALLY NETTING THE IMPACT TO ASSET‐CLASS PRICES

ABSOLUTE VERSUS RELATIVE UNDERPERFORMANCE

SUMMARY

CHAPTER FOURTEEN FAQs

DOES IT MAKE SENSE TO OWN LONG DURATION BONDS WITH LOW INTEREST RATES?

Concerns about Low Potential Returns

The Risk of Rising Interest Rates

HOW DOES RISK PARITY FIT WITHIN THE TOTAL PORTFOLIO?

Highly Liquid

Low Fees

Available to All Investors

Passive versus Active

Diversification

Transparency

Tax Efficiency

Risk Parity as the Total Portfolio

DO ASSET CLASS GAINS AND LOSSES NET OUT TO ZERO?

DOES DIVERSIFICATION WORK DURING A CRISIS?

IF RISK PARITY IS SO OBVIOUS, WHY ISN'T EVERYONE INVESTING THIS WAY?

DOES REBALANCING MORE OR LESS FREQUENTLY MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE?

CHAPTER FIFTEEN Conclusion

Index

WILEY END USER LICENSE AGREEMENT

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“A must‐read for anyone investing in the market who wants to maximize upside return while minimizing downside risk. Alex has skillfully crafted a ‘how to’ book that spells out, step‐by‐step, building a balanced portfolio that can generate equity‐like returns across a diverse spectrum of asset classes without the concomitant risk of equity securities, a strategy that will deliver in the long run no matter the market or economic environment. His proven, no‐nonsense approach is communicated in such a refreshingly straightforward manner that it can be easily understood and applied in practice by novice investors while simultaneously educating and informing the savviest wealth manager. If you're laboring under the belief that a balanced portfolio is 60% stocks and 40% bonds, then this book is for you. Risk Parity will change your life—and your wallet!”

—Lloyd Greif, President and CEO, Greif & Co.; Founder, Lloyd Greif Center for Entrepreneurial Studies at the University of Southern California's Marshall School of Business

.....

The rate of return of an investment is a relatively straightforward notion to understand. You invest $100 and in one year your portfolio is worth $110. This means you earned a 10% return. Risk, on the other hand, is multifaceted and more challenging to observe and measure. I think of risk across three different dimensions:

Volatility is the standard measure of risk in the investment industry. The technical metric is standard deviation, which is a statistical of the dispersion of an investment's price change around its average over time. The more the price fluctuates around its average return, the greater the volatility. In general, a lower volatility is preferred over a higher volatility for the same return because the odds of actually earning the average return improve. This is because investors are less likely to get in and out at inopportune times.

.....

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