The Putin Predicament

The Putin Predicament
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Using the Russian president’s major public addresses as the main source, Bo Petersson analyzes the legitimization strategies employed during Vladimir Putin’s third and fourth terms in office. The argument is that these strategies have rested on Putin’s highly personalized blend of strongman-image projection and presentation as the embodiment of Russia’s great power myth. Putin appears as the only credible guarantor against renewed weakness, political chaos, and interference from abroad—in particular from the US.
After a first deep crisis of legitimacy manifested itself by the massive protests in 2011–2012, the annexation of Crimea led to a lengthy boost in Putin’s popularity figures. The book discusses how the Crimea effect is, by 2021, trailing off and Putin’s charismatic authority is increasingly questioned by opposition from Alexei Navalny, the effects of unpopular reforms, and poor handling of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Moreover, Russia is bound to head for a succession crisis as the legitimacy of the political system continues to be built on Putin’s projected personal characteristics and—now apparently waning—charisma, and since no potential heir apparent has been allowed on center stage. The constitutional reform of summer 2020 made it possible in theory for Putin to continue as president until 2036. Yet, this change did not address the Russian political system’s fundamental future leadership dilemma.

Оглавление

Bo Petersson. The Putin Predicament

Foreword

REFERENCES

Preface and Acknowledgments

I. Introduction

The ratings problem

Main material

Delimitations

Transliteration of Russian words and names

II. Theoretical Points of Orientation. Political succession

Legitimacy

Legitimacy in non-democratic states

Charisma and routinization

Legitimacy and political myth

III. Legitimizing Putin. The 2011-2012 legitimation crisis

Re-legitimization: Ukraine and the annexation of Crimea

Strength and stability

The great power myth

Getting out of troubles: the smuta myth

Dynamic interplay: the phoenix myth

The bulwark and its champion

The man of action

Great communicator, benevolent ruler

Putin the populist

Putin the common Russian

IV. Legitimacy through Othering. Othering and Russia

Relations with the United States

Dealing with Trump

Enter Joe Biden

No more the underdog

Paradigm shift and saber-rattling

V. Challenges from Within. Electoral authoritarianism in Russia

The presidential elections of 2018

The Navalny challenge

Medvedev’s downfall

Navalny vs. Putin

The fall guy function

Stability and order

The good tsar

VI. Challenge from Without. The corona crisis: devolving power

Entering center stage—and exiting again

The Sputnik V vaccine

Faring better than the West?

Skewing the statistics

The pandemic and the image

VII. The Succession Issue. Looking to the East?

Guarantor of the constitution?

Successions in the Russian post-Soviet past

Post-Soviet precedents

Postponing the succession: the constitutional reform

VIII. Conclusion

References

Отрывок из книги

ibidem Press, Stuttgart

Preface and Acknowledgments

.....

Dealing with Trump

Enter Joe Biden

.....

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