Реклама. ООО «ЛитРес», ИНН: 7719571260.
Tracking the Future
Daniel Silke
.....
Any forecaster must make the difficult point that the predominant increase of young people in the world is regional, or more significantly and maybe contentiously, religious. If younger people are concentrated in states least likely to allow them to flourish, then radicalisation, alienation and poverty could cause extreme disruption to society or an increasing divide between an ageing North and a desperate South (and near-East), characterised by Berlin Wall-style immigration policies. For all the talk of a population slow-down being positive for the world after 2050, the rebooting of the planet following falling fertility rates could be delayed by a demographic dividend of young people in societies ill-prepared for it.
One of the world’s greatest challenges – and by implication trends – will be to create tomorrow’s computer engineers and scientists from these rising population centres. Sound unlikely? Invest now in concepts akin to Hole in the Wall education[17]. This places free computers in public locations for children in slums and poor villages across India, guided by the concept of Minimally Invasive Education. The theory is that children can learn on their own, in a cost-effective manner, and gain computer literacy by teaching themselves simply through the availability of computers. It is not that unlikely when you think that your ten-year-old son knows much more about how your Mac works than you do – without having had hours of training!
.....