A Time Traveller's Guide to South Africa in 2030

A Time Traveller's Guide to South Africa in 2030
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What will South Africa look like in 2030? And how will the next fifteen years unfold? South Africa has undergone dramatic change in recent years. Political tensions are on the up, economic performance has weakened, and more and more South Africans are taking their frustrations to the streets. What does this mean for our future? Will a spark ignite the powder keg? In this book, leading scenario planner Frans Cronje analyses the latest trends and presents four brand new scenarios for the country's future. Will South Africa take the socialist route and allow the state to seize all wealth and land? Will the status quo prevail, and the wealth divide widen while crime soars? Do we face a pernicious erosion of our democratic rights and freedoms? Or will a rainbow rise unexpectedly? Cronje's new set of scenarios is a sober compass for South Africa's highly unpredictable future.

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Frans Cronje. A Time Traveller's Guide to South Africa in 2030

Frans Cronje

“For now we see through a glass, darkly; but then face to face: now I know in part; but then shall I know even as I am known. And now stays faith, hope, charity, these three; but the greatest of these is charity.”

Foreword

Chapter 1: The fourth transition

Chapter 2: Seeing very far ahead

Chapter 3: A good story to tell about a better life for all

Chapter 4: It all hinges on the economy

Chapter 5: The race war cometh

Chapter 6: The political race

Chapter 7: Making order from chaos

Chapter 8: Rise of the Right

Chapter 9: The Tyranny of the Left

Chapter 10: The Break-up of South Africa

Chapter 11: Rise of the Rainbow

Chapter 12: Through a glass, darkly

Acknowledgements

Summary

About the author

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A Time traveller’s guide to

SOUTH AFRICA

.....

Elias and Sam Tshabalala were both unemployed and had been hired as casual labourers at a rate of R150 a day by the company contracted by the Tshwane council to demolish the Hammanskraal shacks. At a point during the evictions the community turned on the casual workers. Sam Tshabalala was amongst those who managed to escape, but his brother was caught and burned alive by the people trying to save their shacks. A later news report said that the company that had hired the Tshabalala brothers had offered to donate cabbages for his funeral.

The whole incident is an all-too-common window into the cruel brutality of life for many South Africans − the poor fighting the poor just to save their homes or to earn R150 for a day of menial work. South Africans are wrong if they think this kind of thing can continue, day after day, without it one day tearing the country to pieces. Less than a year after the events at Hammanskraal, the ANC lost its majority in Tshwane and held a series of meetings to try to understand what had gone wrong.

.....

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