Global Goliaths

Global Goliaths
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How multinationals contribute, or don’t, to global prosperity Globalization and multinational corporations have long seemed partners in the enterprise of economic growth: globalization-led prosperity was the goal, and giant corporations spanning the globe would help achieve it. In recent years, however, the notion that all economies, both developed and developing, can prosper from globalization has been called into question by political figures and has fueled a populist backlash around the world against globalization and the corporations that made it possible. In an effort to elevate the sometimes contentious public debate over the conduct and operation of multinational corporations, this edited volume examines key questions about their role, both in their home countries and in the rest of the world where they do business. Is their multinational nature an essential driver of their profits? Do U.S. and European multinationals contribute to home country employment? Do multinational firms exploit foreign workers? How do multinationals influence foreign policy? How will the rise of the digital economy and digital trade in services affect multinationals? In addressing these and similar questions, the book also examines the role that multinational corporations play in the outcomes that policymakers care about most: economic growth, jobs, inequality, and tax fairness.

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Группа авторов. Global Goliaths

CONTENTS

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

1. Multinational Activity in the Modern World

THE SCALE OF MULTINATIONAL ENTERPRISE

THE LOCATION AND NATURE OF MULTINATIONAL ACTIVITY

GROWTH OVER TIME

MULTINATIONALS AND LABOR

THE RISE OF SERVICES

INNOVATION

INTEGRATED OPERATIONS OF MULTINATIONAL FIRMS

FOREIGN PROFITABILITY OF MULTINATIONAL FIRMS

MULTINATIONAL FIRMS AND INTERNATIONAL TAXATION

THE PAST AND FUTURE OF MULTINATIONAL ACTIVITY

THE REMAINDER OF THE VOLUME

2. The Structure of Multinational Firms’ International Activities

STRUCTURAL ARCHETYPES AND PREDICTIONS

USING U.S. DATA TO DISTINGUISH STRUCTURES

FDI AND GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS

EVALUATING INTANGIBLE ASSETS AND OTHER SERVICE FLOWS

CONCLUSIONS

3. Multinational Firms’ Market Entry and Expansion, with Evidence from Eastern Europe

THE ROLE OF HOST COUNTRY CHARACTERISTICS

Recent Evidence from Eastern Europe

BILATERAL SOURCE AND HOST COUNTRY FACTORS

Eastern European Evidence

ENTRY AND OPERATING FRICTIONS

Eastern European Evidence

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

DATA APPENDIX: EASTERN EUROPEAN ANALYSIS. Context

Data

Focus on Poland

Country Comparison

Variation across Affiliate Industries and Parent-Firm Region

Entry Mode

Summation

4. The International Market for Corporate Control

FACTS ABOUT CROSS-BORDER MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS AROUND THE WORLD

DETERMINANTS OF CROSS-BORDER M&A

POST-ACQUISITION OUTCOMES

POLICY CONSIDERATIONS

CONCLUDING REMARKS

5. The Corporate Finance of Multinational Firms

CHARACTERISTICS OF MULTINATIONAL FIRMS

THE CAPITAL STRUCTURE OF MULTINATIONAL FIRMS. Capital Structure of U.S. Multinationals

Capital Structures of Non-U.S. Multinational Firms

CAPITAL RAISING BY MULTINATIONAL FIRMS. Where Do Multinationals Get Financing?

Debt Financing

Equity Financing

Why Multinational Firms Have a Financing Advantage

Estimates of the Multinationals’ Cost of Finance

The Cost of Equity

RISK PROFILES

Country Risk

Foreign Exchange Risk

SUMMARY

6. Do Multinational Firms Export Jobs?

WHAT, WHERE, WHY, AND HOW DO FIRMS OFFSHORE?

CHANGES IN OFFSHORING OVER TIME

THE ROLE OF CONTRACTING AND ARM’S-LENGTH OFFSHORING

FIRM-LEVEL OFFSHORING DECISIONS

EFFECTS OF OFFSHORING ON DOMESTIC WORKERS

Using Trade Adjustment Assistance Data to Identify and Assist Displaced Workers

Are Foreign Workers Substitutes for U.S. Workers?

Quantifying the Negative Effects of Offshoring

Quantifying the Positive Effects of Offshoring

Who Wins and Loses?

EFFECTS OF FOREIGN MNEs ON DOMESTIC WORKERS

SUMMARY: WHAT PROPOSITIONS ON OFFSHORING ARE SUPPORTED BY RESEARCH?

CONCLUSIONS

7. Do Multinational Corporations Exploit Foreign Workers?

DEFINITIONS OF EXPLOITATION

Market-based or Consequentialist Arguments

Fair Share of the Surplus

Deontological or Human Rights Approaches

MNC EFFECTS ON WAGES

MNC Wages in Developing Countries

MNC Wages in Developed Countries

MNCs AND FAIR SHARING OF SURPLUS

Sharing Surplus with MNC Employees and Their Suppliers

MNCs’ Effects on Labor Markets in Poor Nations

THE EFFECT OF MNC OFFSHORING ON DOMESTIC WAGES

How Prevalent Is Offshoring?

Mechanisms

Worker Displacement

Changes in Factor Intensity

Labor Market and Supply Chain Effects

Is Offshoring Exploitation?

DO MNCS EXPLOIT WORKERS BY DENYING THEM BASIC RIGHTS?

Forced Labor and Working Hours

Freedom of Association and Right to Organize

Child Labor

Health and Safety

Discrimination and Treatment of Women

Discrimination and Treatment of Migrant Workers

Enforcement of Standards and Intention to Exploit?

CONCLUSION

Some Limitations

Implications

8. The New Global Invention Machine

R&D GLOBALIZATION AS A RESPONSE TO THE GLOBAL PRODUCTIVITY SLOWDOWN

DATA FOR MEASURING THE GLOBALIZATION OF R&D

DATA SHOW A SIGNIFICANT RISE IN OVERSEAS R&D CONDUCTED BY U.S. MNCs

THE CHANGING FOOTPRINT OF U.S. MNCs’ OVERSEAS R&D

U.S. PATENTS REVEAL RAPID GROWTH IN CROSS-BORDER R&D COLLABORATION

THE GROWING SOFTWARE AND IT INTENSITY OF U.S. MNC INVENTION

A TALE OF THREE NEW R&D HUBS

A Passage to India

Israel, the (R&D) Promised Land

China: Enter the Dragon

R&D GLOBALIZATION, COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE, AND THE ROLE OF NON-U.S. MNCs

POLICY CHALLENGES TO THE GLOBAL INNOVATION SYSTEM

9. Multinationals in the Digital Economy

THE DIGITAL REVOLUTION AND MULTINATIONALS

CORE DIGITAL MULTINATIONALS

FACTORS CAUSING THE RISE AND PERSISTENCE OF DIGITAL MULTINATIONALS

FACTORS LIMITING DIGITAL MULTINATIONALS

LABOR AND TRADE

REGULATION

TAX

INNOVATION AND VALUE

LOOKING AHEAD

10. Tax Avoidance and Multinational Firm Behavior

DO MULTINATIONAL FIRMS PAY TAXES?

CORPORATE TAX PLANNING AND AVOIDANCE

What Is Corporate Tax Planning?

What Is Corporate Income Tax Avoidance?

Estimating Corporate Tax Avoidance

Trends in Tax Avoidance

CHARACTERISTICS AND FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH TAX AVOIDANCE

HOW DO FIRMS AVOID TAXES?

Tax Avoidance via Provisions in the Tax Code

Tax Avoidance via “Tax Shelters”

Tax Avoidance via Income Shifting

Estimating income shifting using macroeconomic data

Estimating Income Shifting Using Microeconomic Data

Summary of Income Shifting Literature

Tax Avoidance via Location Decisions Regarding Investment, Incorporation, and Debt

CONSEQUENCES OF TAX AVOIDANCE

Consequences: Lost Revenues

Consequences: Pre-TCJA “Trapped Cash” and Its Effect on Corporate Capital Structure, Payout Policy, and Investment

Effect of “Trapped Cash” on Capital Structure and Payout Policy

Effect of “Trapped Cash” on Investment

Consequences: Employment

Consequences: Transparency and Shareholder Value

WHY NOT? WHAT ARE THE CONSTRAINTS ON TAX AVOIDANCE?

EARLY EVIDENCE ON BEPS AND TCJA

INDIRECT TAXES

CONCLUSIONS

11. Do Multinational Firms Use Tax Havens to the Detriment of Non-Haven Countries?

MNCs’ TAX-HAVEN ACTIVITY. An Overview of MNC Activity in Tax Havens

Tax Avoidance and Other Motivations for MNCs’ Tax-Haven Activity

Tax Havens and Secrecy

TAX HAVENS AND THE WELFARE OF NON-HAVEN COUNTRIES

Controlled Foreign Corporation (CFC) Rules

Thin Capitalization Rules (TCRs)

The Global Strengthening of Rules against Profit Shifting to Havens

Why Are Rules against Profit Shifting Not Used (Even) More Extensively?

Does MNC Haven Activity Benefit Non-Havens?

HOW MUCH MNC PROFIT IS SHIFTED TO TAX HAVENS? Estimates of the Magnitude of Profit Shifting

Micro versus Macro Approaches and the Conceptualization of Profit Shifting

CONCLUSION

12. Multinational Corporations and Their Influence through Lobbying on Foreign Policy

THE POLITICAL INFLUENCE OF MULTINATIONAL CORPORATIONS

Firm-Level Heterogeneity and the Policy Preferences of MNCs

Channels of Political Influence

Scale Effect

Regulatory Granularity

Influence over Host Countries and International Institutions

DATA

Measuring Multinationality

Measuring Lobbying Activities

EMPIRICAL RESULTS

Differences Between MNCs and Domestic Firms

Matching Analysis

CONCLUSION

13. Principles for Policymakers

PRINCIPLE 1: Governments should avoid erecting barriers to realizing benefits that multinational corporations offer modern economies. They should avoid tariffs, punitive regulations, and taxes directed at foreigners, and other restrictions on the movement of goods, people, investment, and data across borders

PRINCIPLE 2: Governments and multinational corporations should adopt policies and practices that ensure that all segments of society benefit from the activities of multinational corporations and from globalization more generally

PRINCIPLE 3: Governments should cooperate to formulate consistent, cohesive policy frameworks because what happens in one place influences what happens elsewhere. These policy frameworks should respect the right of sovereign nations to reflect the preferences and needs of their people

PRINCIPLE 4: Innovation is an important contributor to prosperity, so governments should pursue policies that encourage multinational corporations to pursue innovations and share the benefits with the world

PRINCIPLE 5: Governments should forge consensus on principles governing the taxation of multinational corporations

PRINCIPLE 6: Governments should invest in collecting more and better data about the activities of multinational corporations

CONCLUSION

CONTRIBUTORS

INDEX

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