Erdogan Rising

Erdogan Rising
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‘Essential reading for anyone interested in Turkey and its future.’ Literary Review‘Essential reading full stop.’ Peter Frankopan‘It is a must.’ The TimesWho is Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and how did he lead a democracy on the fringe of Europe into dictatorship? How has chaos in the Middle East blown back over Turkey’s borders? And why doesn’t the West just cut Erdogan and his regime off?Hannah Lucinda Smith has been living in Turkey as the Times correspondent for nearly a decade, reporting on the ground from the onset of the Arab Spring through terrorist attacks, mass protests, civil war, unprecedented refugee influx and the explosive, bloody 2016 coup attempt that threatened to topple – and kill – Erdogan.Erdogan Rising introduces Turkey as a vital country, one that borders and buffers Western Europe, the Middle East and the old Soviet Union, marshals the second largest army in NATO and hosts more refugees than any other nation. As president, Erdogan is the face of devotion and division, a leader who mastered macho divide-and-rule politics a decade and a half before Donald Trump cottoned on, and has used it to lead his country into spiralling authoritarianism.Yet Erdogan is no ordinary dictator. His elections are won only by slivers, and Turkey remains defined by its two warring cults: those who worship Erdogan, the wilful Muslim nationalist with a tightening authoritarian grip, and those who stand behind Ataturk, the secularist, westward-looking leader who founded the republic and remains its best loved icon – now eighty years dead.Erdogan commands a following so devoted they compose songs in his honour, adorn their homes with his picture, and lay down their lives to keep him in power. Erdogan Rising asks how this century’s most successful populist won his position, and where Turkey is headed next.

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Hannah Lucinda Smith. Erdogan Rising

ERDOĞAN RISING. A Warning to Europe. Hannah Lucinda Smith

Copyright

Dedication

Epigraph

MAPS

CAST OF CHARACTERS

ACRONYMS

TIMELINE

INTRODUCTION. July 2016

1. TWO TURKEYS, TWO TRIBES. July 2017 Coup anniversary

The Justice March

The rivals

2. SYRIA: THE BACKSTORY. April 2011 Damascus, Syria

February 2013 Free Syria

Summer 2013 Rebel-held Aleppo

Turkey’s cults

3. BUILDING BRAND ERDOĞAN

The speechwriter

Jail time

The ad man

The rebels

4. ERDOĞAN AND FRIENDS. The diaspora

The new Muslim middle class

The Gülenists

The liberals

The scandal

5. SYRIA: THE WAR NEXT DOOR

Ahmet Davutoğlu: the ideologue

Assad’s Syria

2011–2013 Syria’s descent

Isis rises

May 2013 Erdoğan goes to Washington

May–June 2013 Gezi uprising

The West changes course in Syria

6. THE EXODUS. February 2015 Mersin

The activists

Summer 2015 The refugee highway

The shores

The smuggling business

The deal

The Syrians’ saviour

7. THE KURDS. March 2016 Cizre, south-eastern Turkey

Kurds and bears

Building Atatürk’s nation

The forbidden language

Erdoğan’s new era

8. PEACE, INTERRUPTED. October 2014 Kobanî, northern Syria

Erdoğan’s descent

The dead

9. THE COUP. 14 July 2016 One day before the coup

15 July 2016 The schizophrenic coup

The aftermath

The winners

One week on

The crackdown

10. ATATÜRK’S CHILDREN

March 2017 Hatay province

Law 5816 – insulting Atatürk

The Atatürk impersonator

The legacy

11. ERDOĞAN’S NEW TURKEY. April 2017 The referendum campaign

Erdoğan’s Istanbul

The suburbs

Erdoğan’s elites

16 April 2017 Referendum day

12. SPIN

The spin operation

The mouthpiece

May 2016 Ahmet Davutoğlu’s political assassination

The blog post

The son-in-law

Berat Albayrak and the Bosphorus Centre

June 2016 Britain’s referendum and Boris Johnson’s Turkophobia

Britain and Turkey: the bottom line

Celebrity endorsement and political courting

13. THE MISFITS

Turkey’s Jews

Pluralism à la Erdoğan

The LGBT community

New Turks: the Ahiska

14. THE WAR LEADERS. Atatürk’s end

Erdoğan: from civilian to commander in chief

Afrin: Erdoğan’s second Syrian war

Turning war into myth

15. ERDOĞAN’S ENDGAME. 24 June 2018 Election night

The campaign

Defeat

June 2018 Travelling the Eastern Express

Immortal Atatürk

LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS

PICTURE SECTION

SELECT BIBLIOGRAPHY

INDEX

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

About the Author

About the Publisher

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For my dad, who planted so many seeds

T. E. Lawrence, Seven Pillars of Wisdom

.....

There is a vague chronology to this story, but Turkey never makes sense on a single timeline. To understand the present you need to link it to the past, and to unravel Erdoğan and his followers you must also acquaint yourself with all the other bit-part players who share his stage. Remembering recent history has become an act of rebellion in Erdoğan’s Turkey; memories are being erased and events rewritten as he fashions the country to his liking. By 2023, when the next elections are scheduled, the memories of the old parliamentary system will have faded and no one much under forty will have ever voted in an election in which he or his party did not, somehow, claim victory.

So this book is my attempt to document what I have seen, before it is erased from Turkey’s official story in the way that history’s winners always rub out the bits they do not like. It starts a year on from the coup attempt, in a country that has started to believe its own lies and the middle of a crowd high on the rush of its leader’s ascent.

.....

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