Financial Cold War

Financial Cold War
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A groundbreaking exploration of US-China relations as seen through the lens of international finance Rising tensions between China and the United States have kept the financial markets on edge as a showdown between the world’s two largest economies seems inevitable. But what most people fail to recognise is the major impact that the financial markets themselves have had on the creation and acceleration of the conflict. In Financial Cold War: A View of Sino-US Relations from the Financial Markets , market structure and geopolitical finance expert James Fok explores the nuances of China-US relations from the perspective of the financial markets. The book helps readers understand how imbalances in the structure of global financial markets have singularly contributed to frictions between the two countries. In this book, readers will find: A comprehensive examination of the development of financial markets in both China and the US, as well as the current US dollar-based global financial system Insightful observations of the roles of technology, innovation, regulation, taxation, and politics in the markets, and on their resulting effect on US-Sino relations Thorough explorations of the role of Hong Kong as an intermediary for capital flows between China and the rest of the world Suggestions for how, balancing the many varying interests, policymakers might be able to devise effective strategies for de-escalating current Sino-US tensions Financial Cold War is a can’t-miss resource for anyone personally or professionally interested in the intersection of economics and international relations, financial markets, and the infrastructure underlying the international financial system.

Оглавление

James A. Fok. Financial Cold War

Table of Contents

Guide

Pages

Financial Cold War. A View of Sino-US Relations from the Financial Markets

Preface

Note

Acknowledgements

Abbreviations

Chapter 1 Introduction

Legacy of the GFC

Modern History of Sino-US Relations

The Financial Roots of Sino-US Conflict

The Financial Path Out of Conflict

Notes

Chapter 2 How the US Dollar Took Over the World

An Ad Hoc Position

The Barbarous Relic

Two Competing Plans

A British Innovation

The Coupon Express

Plumbing the World's Financial Markets

Niksonu Shokku

Volatility

‘Risk Free’ Assets

Boom and Bust

Notes

Chapter 3 Whose Problem?

The Unipolar Moment

The Almighty Mr. Market

Emerging Markets Crises

The Weakest Link

The Music Stops

Anyone for Tea?

A Tipping Point?

Notes

Chapter 4 From First World to Third and Back Again

Maritime Power

The Milk of Paradise

Wars and Revolutions

A Leap into the Abyss

Herding Cats

Crackdown

Journeys to the South

A New Path

The Bird's Nest

Notes

Chapter 5 Two Steps Forward, One Step Back

Going Public

The Protection Racket

The Price of Money

Still Building, But Will They Come?

Alien Attack

Who Will Look After Grandma?

Connecting China and the World

Can't Buy Me Love

Notes

Chapter 6 A New Cold War?

A Close Call

Fly Me to the Moon

Tax Me If You Can

A War of Words?

Geo-economic Warfare

Notes

Chapter 7 The Role of Markets in the 21st Century

Selective Efficiency

What Happens When Competition Dies

Wrong Incentives

Bubbles and Cycles

Funny Money

We're All in the Same Boat

Notes

Chapter 8 Avoiding the Thucydides Trap

Admitting the Problems

A New Bretton Woods?

MAD for Markets

It All Starts with Leadership

Notes

Afterword

Notes

Cast of Characters

Bibliography

Index

WILEY END USER LICENSE AGREEMENT

Отрывок из книги

James A. Fok

Later, as a teenager, I struggled with my studies in classical Chinese texts. Taking pity on me, my godmother offered to tutor me, and I started going up to her office twice a week for tutorials. Auntie Sue – as she is known to me – was a successful lawyer who had co-founded a law firm with my father. However, by that stage she had become a little bored of the law and had taken up a side-line in trading stock options. I found Confucian and Mencian philosophy rather tedious and often diverted these tutorial sessions to discussions on stocks and options trading. Over time, Auntie Sue taught me the basic principles of securities valuation and options pricing that, as an adolescent with dreams of riches, I absorbed with enthusiasm.

.....

Although London was establishing itself as the home of secondary trading in Eurobonds, in 1967 New York remained the centre where they were settled. The settlement process was still highly manual, and the rapid expansion in the volume of trades had created a logjam. Each night, the clerks would send a telex to the firm's bank in New York listing the bonds it should receive and deliver on its traders' behalf. Kidder Peabody's New York bank Schroder would report payments that it had made on its behalf against bonds received. The problem was that there never seemed to be any corresponding reports for cash received when the traders had sold bonds. At a time of rising interest rates, Kidder Peabody's overdraft costs were skyrocketing, eating up all the trading profits.

Ross flew to New York to find out what was happening. His bank sent him down to the vaults where the bond certificates were held. There, he was handed a tatty folder containing all his firm's settlement instructions. When he opened the file, hundreds of delivery instructions flew up in the air and fluttered to the floor. Schroder had simply cut up all the telexes and acted on the instructions to receive bonds but left the delivery strips in the folder. There were all the profits!

.....

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