Life in the Financial Markets

Life in the Financial Markets
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Leaders are no strangers to challenges; in recent years, businesses have experienced unprecedented layoffs, dismal sales, dwindling retirement accounts, and the bankruptcy of once-heralded institutions. While these uncertain times are difficult, they also provide the opportunity for great leadership. Over three decades of research, Jim Kouzes and Barry Posner, the bestselling authors of The Leadership Challenge, have asked thousands of leaders to describe their personal leadership best. Across the board, people say their greatest moments arise out of the most difficult periods of their careers. Turning Adversity Into Opportunity reveals how leaders at any level can transform difficult circumstances into opportunities for growth and success. Kouzes and Posner offer a clear set of six actionable strategies, showing how extraordinary leaders navigate through uncertainty, hardship, disruption, transformation, transition, recovery, new beginnings, and other significant challenges. Exemplary leadership disrupts the status quo, and Kouzes and Posner show how to awaken and pursue new possibilities and opportunities, no matter what the circumstances. Wherever you find yourself in your organization or community, Turning Adversity Into Opportunity will help you embrace the chance within any challenge to make a real difference.

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Lacalle Daniel. Life in the Financial Markets

Preface

Acknowledgements

Part I. The financial markets: Who they are, what they are, how they work

Chapter One “Thinking against the box”

Chapter Two. The financial market: Complex and volatile

An enlightening crisis and a real shock

Chapter Three. Welcome to London

Valuation models

Chapter Four. The market doesn't attack, it defends itself

Chapter Five. The Lehman crisis and the change in mentality: Habits and customs

Chapter Six. Traders, “robots” and speculators

“Robots” and how the markets are adapting to a changing environment

The commodities and oil market

Part II. The debt crisis and the great lie of free money

Chapter Seven. The debt market

Chapter Eight. Welcome, investors!

Chapter Nine. The European and sovereign debt crises

Chapter Ten. Credit-rating agencies

Chapter Eleven. When the problem only seemed to be Greece

Chapter Twelve. Why was the break-up of the euro feared?

Chapter Thirteen. Evil speculators: Someone else is to blame

Credit default swaps

Chapter Fourteen. Snowballing debt

Chapter Fifteen. The damned risk premium

What is the risk premium?

Chapter Sixteen. Derivatives: Weapons of mass destruction?

How long have derivatives been around?

What are they used for?

Purpose and uses of derivatives

Chapter Seventeen. The illusion of easy money: The investment banks and the great deception

Chapter Eighteen. Stimulus policies and kicking the can down the road

The impact of quantitative easing in emerging markets

Chapter Nineteen. Lies and mistakes of the debt crisis

Eight myths about the crisis

Bitcoin: Free currency, bubble or Ponzi scheme?

Ten myths about tax havens

Chapter Twenty. Economic liberty and austerity

Austerity and growth

Part III. Hedge funds and the stock market

Chapter Twenty-One. Hedge funds: The bad guys of the economic crisis?

Chapter Twenty-Two. Active management

Chapter Twenty-Three. Critics and reality

Chapter Twenty-Four. Strategies

Chapter Twenty-Five. Building portfolios

Portfolio vs. index

Chapter Twenty-Six. Closeness makes the heart grow fonder: How to identify investment opportunities

Investment process

Chapter Twenty-Seven. Short positions in a portfolio

Chapter Twenty-Eight. Banning short selling and the Tobin tax

Chapter Twenty-Nine. Recommendations

Watch out for consensus and crowded trades

Beware following government messages

Pay attention to the cost of capital

In a bear market the investor is never conservative enough

Be careful of dividends

Chapter Thirty. The long-term illusion… and the opportunity of value investing

Value investing: All is well that starts well

Good liquidity

Low leverage

High gross margins

A profitable business

Qualitative factors

Looking for good entry points

Chapter Thirty-One. A strange case: Companies with politicians

My favourite “shorts”

Chapter Thirty-Two. Communication with the market and attractiveness to investors

Chapter Thirty-Three. Why invest in a hedge fund?

Chapter Thirty-Four. Ten golden rules for investing

Chapter Thirty-Five “Warning” phrases and comments

Chapter Thirty-Six. Books and films about the market

Chapter Thirty-Seven. A day in the life of an investment fund

Chapter Thirty-Eight. Farewell

Euro-crisis and “exceptions”

Cyprus: Another “exceptional” episode in the European crisis

The contagion effect

What may happen in Spain?

Recommended Reading

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In this book, I begin by trying to show the human side of the markets and the day-to-day joys and difficulties that they produce. Then I offer my general take on the economy and its crises and, lastly, provide a technical analysis of investing in the stock market based on my experiences as an investor.

It has been an immense pleasure for me to draw together several years of ideas, observations and analysis in a work that I hope the reader will find enlightening and to their liking.

.....

Yes, the European financial crisis is not a crisis of deregulation or private banks; 50 % of European financial institutions were semi state-owned or controlled by politicians in 2006. There have been thousands of pages of regulations published every year since the creation of the European Union and the European Banking Authority (EBA). Regulation and supervision in Europe is enormous. Since 1999 and based on documents produced by the EBA, EU and European Central Bank (ECB), that's 180 new rules a week.

And as I will come on to argue, the crisis was born of an economic model too dependent on commercial banks with total assets that exceeded 320 % of the eurozone's combined gross domestic product (GDP) within a deeply integrated system. Excessive, complex and bureaucratic regulation has prolonged the agony of the industry for many years, instead of facilitating market conditions for the capital increases and asset sales needed.

.....

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