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Wednesday, June 27, 2012. Obama's October (and September) Surprise
Thursday, June 28, 2012. Chief Justice Roberts's Upholds the Moral Authority of the Supreme Court
Friday, June 29, 2012. Believe in America
Saturday, June 30, 2012. Can Romney win a fair fight?
Saturday, June 30, 2012. Egyptian Children
Tuesday, July 3, 2012. I Still Have a Chance of Salvation
Tuesday, July 3, 2012. Swiftboating Romney
Friday, July 6, 2012. The Uncertainty Myth
Monday, July 9, 2012. Boycott!
Wednesday, July 11, 2012. 33 Nails in the Republican Coffin?
Friday, July 13, 2012. Rice Bowl
Saturday, July 14, 2012. Romney Wimps Out
Sunday, July 15, 2012. Just Say No
Monday, July 16, 2012. Romney's Olympic Moment?
Wednesday, July 18, 2012. Get Out of Jail Free Card
Saturday, July 21, 2012. The Gun Lobby: Principled Paranoia
Tuesday, July 24, 2012. Swiss Miss
Wednesday, July 25, 2012. Senator McCain Could Have Won for Losing
Thursday, July 26, 2012. Conservative Republican Governors Vow to Support Obamacare
Tuesday, July 31, 2012. Did Romney Own a Chain of Strip Clubs in 2006?
Wednesday, August 1, 2012. Pre-selling the Presidency
Friday, August 3, 2012. Is the Romney Campaign a Joke?
Saturday, August 4, 2012. Need to Know
Sunday, August 5, 2012. Can Obama Save his Marriage?
Monday, August 6, 2012. Perspective
Tuesday, August 7, 2012. Petraeus Platter
Wednesday, August 8, 2012. Flower
Thursday, August 9, 2012. Romney's Convention Speech Will Exceed Media Expectations
Saturday, August 11, 2012. Ryan Pick: A Sign of Weakness
Sunday, August 12, 2012. The Tea Party's Turn at Bat
Monday, August 13, 2012. Romney Wimps Out Again
Thursday, August 16, 2012. Love Story
Friday, August 17, 2012. Romney Staff Tells the Truth
Saturday, August 18, 2012. R/R Plan to Bankrupt Medicare
Sunday, August 19, 2012. Oasis
Monday, August 20, 2012. Akin Plunges Head First into Gender Gap
Wednesday, August 22, 2012. Isaac Could Be Stern
Thursday, August 23, 2012. Romney's Pathway to Heaven
Wednesday, August 29, 2012. Republican Version of the Wizard of Oz
Thursday, August 30, 2012. Republican Circus
Friday, August 31, 2012. 2016
Tuesday, September 4, 2012. Republican Dead Cat Bounce
Wednesday, September 5, 2012. A Tale of Two Conventions
Thursday, September 6, 2012. Four More Beers
Thursday, September 6, 2012. Promises Kept
Friday, September 7, 2012. May Your Weekend be Mysterious
Monday, September 10, 2012. Cambria Sunset
Tuesday, September 11, 2012. S &P and the Single Girl
Wednesday, September 12, 2012. Romney Hits New Low
Friday, September 14, 2012. Romney Violates Fundamental Principles
Saturday, September 15, 2012. Election May be Over by Mid-October
Sunday, September 16, 2012. Luang Prabang
Monday, September 17, 2012. Romney: Cold and Fuzzy
Tuesday, September 18, 2012. Romney's Tea Party
Wednesday, September 19, 2012. A Miracle in the Making
Friday, September 21, 2012. Obama Benefits from Inequality
Monday, September 24, 2012. When Worlds Collide
Tuesday, September 25, 2012. Republican Uncivil War
Tuesday, September 25, 2012. Akin Plunges Head First into Gender Gap (redux)
Wednesday, September 26, 2012. I told you so
Thursday, September 27, 2012. Republican Poll Dancing
Saturday, September 29, 2012. Swiftboating Romney (redux)
Monday, October 1, 2012. A Very Romney Christmas
Thursday, October 4, 2012. Prismatic
Saturday, October 6, 2012. Biden: His Time
Monday, October 8, 2012. Why the First Debate Mattered
Thursday, October 11, 2012. Biden Blues
Sunday, October 14, 2012. One Half Quart Low
Wednesday, October 17, 2012. Reading and Righting Romney
Thursday, October 18, 2012. Forward!
Friday, October 19, 2012. Sunburn
Tuesday, October 23, 2012. Molting Mitt
Wednesday, October 24, 2012. Obama Bounces Back
Thursday, October 25, 2012. Three Yards and a Cloud of Dust
Sunday, October 28, 2012. Truth in Labeling
Monday, October 29, 2012. Reverting to the Mean
Tuesday, October 30, 2012. Nixon and Checkers
Sunday, November 4, 2012. Galluping Home
Sunday, November 4, 2012. Obama and Romney Join the American League
Monday, November 5, 2012. Mercenaries vs. Volunteers
Tuesday, November 6, 2012. Oh, Virginia
Tuesday, November 6, 2012. Obama Bounces Back Redux
Wednesday, November 7, 2012. Chamber Made
Thursday, November 8, 2012. Wave Crashes on Democrats
Saturday, November 10, 2012. Romney's Lament: He Blinded Me With Science
Tuesday, November 13, 2012. The Lawyer and the Warrior
Friday, November 16, 2012. Mitt Who?
Saturday, November 17, 2012. Ben Gauzy
Author’s Lament
Commercial airways in the 60 days preceding the Presidential Election may not be a complete no fly zone for super PACs, but at a minimum flights will be limited, expensive, and difficult to change. Conventional wisdom is wrong. Super PACs will have less impact than expected.
Under campaign finance law television stations must give each presidential campaign reasonable access, freedom from censorship, and during the 60 days preceding the election, the lowest unit rate available. Neither super PACs, nor the political parties, enjoy these advantages. In fact a television station violates the law if a super PAC is offered a reduced advertising rate (See Federal Election Commission Advisory Opinion 2006-31). It would be an illegal campaign contribution for a station, e.g. Fox News, to offer a super PAC reduced rates.
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Equally important is flexibility. In the closing days of a campaign resource allocation may change rapidly, a state may come into, or go out of play. Super PACs have no preferential access to airtime. With the expected deluge of political adds in battle ground states, as well as increased commercial adds during the start of the fall season, advertising time will be limited. To get on the air super PACs may have to commit, and lock in resources, earlier than the campaigns. Money may be wasted in states that are no longer battlegrounds. (To keep up on which states are battlegrounds, and other political news, checkout http://www.politicalwire.com)
Message flexibility is as important as geography. Campaigns may need to cut an ad at the last minute to confront a new issue. Since adds from a campaign are free from censorship, stations accept content without review. Ads from super PACs must be reviewed, which can delay airing of the ads.
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