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LEON SCHREIBER
South Africa after the ANC
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The third assumption is the most fundamental, as it presumes that elections will remain free and fair, and that the ANC will remain willing to give up power where and when its dominant majorities disappear. As regards the fairness of elections, the Electoral Commission of South Africa (IEC) has been widely praised for its competent administration of the electoral process.11 But a recent ruling by the Constitutional Court exposed the fact that the IEC had failed to capture the addresses of up to 16 million of the 24 million voters on the national voters’ roll. In June 2016, the court gave the IEC 18 months to make sure that all voters’ address details were correctly captured on the voters’ roll.12 For our election results to remain credible, the IEC must urgently repair the damage.
But even if our elections remain free and fair, it is still not a given that the ANC – used to being in near-total control of South African politics – would accept defeat at the polls, particularly at the national level. On the one hand, there are some encouraging signs. Even though the party branded the DA’s 2009 victory in the Western Cape as a triumph for ‘racists’, and referred to its main opposition as ‘the enemy’, the ANC did accept defeat.13 Even more significant was the relatively peaceful transfer of power from the ANC to opposition parties in the major municipalities of Johannesburg, Tshwane and Nelson Mandela Bay after the 2016 local elections.
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