Predictive Marketing

Predictive Marketing
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Levin Dominique. Predictive Marketing

Introduction: Who Should Read this Book

About This Book

What Is in This Book

About the Authors

Acknowledgments

Part 1. A Complete Predictive Marketing Primer

Chapter 1. Big Data and Predictive Analytics Are Now Easily Accessible to All Marketers

The Predictive Marketing Revolution

The Power of Customer Equity

Predictive Marketing Use Cases

Predictive Marketing Adoption Is Accelerating

What Do You Need for Predictive Marketing?

Chapter 2. An Easy Primer to Predictive Analytics for Marketers

What Is Predictive Analytics?

Unsupervised Learning: Clustering Models

Supervised Learning: Propensity Models

Reinforcement Learning and Collaborative Filtering

The Predictive Analytics Process

Chapter 3. Get to Know Your Customers First: Build Complete Customer Profiles

How Much Data to Collect

What Type of Data to Collect

Preparing Your Data for Analysis

Working with IT on Data Integration

One Hundred Questions to Ask Your Data

Chapter 4. Managing Your Customers as a Portfolio to Improve Your Valuation

What Is Customer Lifetime Value?

Increase Customer Lifetime Value for One Customer

Increase Customer Lifetime Value for All Customers

Part 2. Nine Easy Plays to Get Started with Predictive Marketing

Chapter 5. Play One: Optimize Your Marketing Spending Using Customer Data

Invest in Acquisition, Retention, and Reactivation

Differentiate Spending Based on Customer Value

Find Products That Bring High-Value Customers

Find Channels That Bring High-Value Customers

The Case for Last-Touch Attribution

Chapter 6. Play Two: Predict Customer Personas and Make Marketing Relevant Again

Types of Clusters

Using Clusters to Improve Customer Acquisition

Things to Watch Out for When Using Clusters

Clusters in Action

Chapter 7. Play Three: Predict the Customer Journey for Life Cycle Marketing

The Customer Value Journey

Life Cycle Marketing Strategies

Chapter 8. Play Four: Predict Customer Value and Value-Based Marketing

Value-Based Marketing

Chapter 9. Play Five: Predict Likelihood to Buy or Engage to Rank Customers

Likelihood to Buy Predictions

Likelihood to Engage Models

Chapter 10. Play Six: Predict Individual Recommendations for Each Customer

Choosing the Right Customer or Segment

Understanding Customer Context

Content – What to Recommend

Beyond Recommendations

Chapter 11. Play Seven: Launch Predictive Programs to Convert More Customers

Predictive Remarketing Campaigns

Using Look-Alike Targeting

Chapter 12. Play Eight: Launch Predictive Programs to Grow Customer Value

The Secret to Growing Customer Value

Predictive Post-Purchase Programs

Customer Appreciation Campaigns

Chapter 13. Play Nine: Launch Predictive Programs to Retain More Customers

Understanding Your Retention Rate

The Concept of Negative Churn

Understanding Your Business Model

Not All Churn Is Created Equal

Churn Management Programs

Proactive Retention Management

Customer Reactivation Campaigns

Part 3. How to Become a True Predictive Marketing Ninja

Chapter 14. An Easy-to-Use Checklist of Predictive Marketing Capabilities

Organizational Capabilities for Predictive Marketing

Technical Capabilities for Predictive Marketing

Questions to Ask Predictive Marketing Vendors

Chapter 15. An Overview of Predictive (and Related) Marketing Technology

Do-It-Yourself Predictive Marketing

Outsourcing to Marketing Service Providers

Campaign Management and Marketing Cloud Options

Other Tools You May Have Heard About

Which Solution Is Right for Me?

Whatever You Do – Get Started

Chapter 16. Career Advice for Aspiring Predictive Marketers

Business Understanding Trumps Math

Ask the Right Questions

Blend the Art and Science of Marketing

Learn from Others

Chapter 17. Privacy and the Difference Between Delightful and Invasive

Types of Personal Information

Avoid Invasive Situations

Give Customers Control

Hard Boundaries and Government Legislation

Chapter 18. The Future of Predictive Marketing

Advanced Predictive Analytics Models

Think Like a Predictive Marketer

Appendix. Overview of Customer Data Types

Purchases and Transactions

Web and Online Behavior

Email Behavior

Household and Account Grouping

Location

Call Center Interactions, Meetings, and Social Interactions

Returns, Complaints, and Reviews

Gender

U.S. Census Data

Vertical and Size

Other Customer Data Points

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This book is for everyday marketers who want to learn what predictive marketing is all about, as well as for those marketers who are ready to use predictive marketing in their organizations. Whether you are just getting started with your research, or have already begun to implement predictive marketing, you will find many practical tips in this book.

We share what marketers at companies large and small should know about predictive marketing. We show you how to achieve the same large returns as early adopters such as Harrah's Entertainment, Amazon, and Netflix. We also give you a practical guidebook to help you get started with this new way of marketing. And above all, we share stories from companies small and large, from retail to publishing, to software to manufacturing. All of these marketers have achieved revolutionary returns, and so can you.

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I am a scientist by training; I am an entrepreneur at heart, driven by curiosity of knowledge and challenging status quo. In elementary school, I saw the opportunity to make a profit collecting fruit from mulberry trees from our school backyard and selling it on the street, enlisting my schoolmates to help me run this small business. With some prodding from my engineer parents, I followed in my older brother's footsteps to enter a PhD program in physics at Brown University, studying under Leon Cooper at The Institute for Brain and Neural Systems. Dr. Cooper has received the Nobel Prize in Physics for his work on superconductivity and later decided that the next big problem to solve was in neuroscience, decoding how we learn and adapt. He is a pioneer in learning theory since the early 70s, using both experimental neuroscience as a base as well as statistical techniques for understanding and creating learning systems, now popularly called machine learning. I worked on both biological mechanisms that underlie learning and memory storage as well as construction of artificial neural networks, networks that can learn, associate, and reproduce such higher level cognitive acts as abstraction, computation, and language acquisition. Although these tasks are carried out easily by humans, they have not been easy to embody as conventional computer program.

As I was getting close to graduating from the PhD program at Brown University around 1998, I noticed that the business world was mostly running on simple spreadsheets, and I wanted to apply a data science and machine-learning approach to business. This goal led me to work for McKinsey & Co., the premier strategy consulting firm that helps large companies formulate strategies based on a fact-based problem solving approach.

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