The Handbook of Technical Analysis + Test Bank

The Handbook of Technical Analysis + Test Bank
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Straight Talk and solid retirement advice for all Canadians In the face of government changes, financial market volatility, and an aging workforce, Canadians are understandably concerned about the impact on their finances and their future retirement. This reassuring book debunks the generally-accepted claims about necessary savings rates, which can cause paranoia among those beginning to contemplate retirement. The authors offer greater insight into planning approaches that are not widely understood, demystifies retirement targets (age, savings, income), and outlines concrete approaches to maximizing retirement savings. Offers practical advice for dealing with the changes to Canada's retirement system Includes advice for calculating your Neutral Retirement Income Target Contains solid financial advice in accessible language Written by the Executive Chairman and Chief Actuary of Morneau Shepell Canada's national actuarial consulting firm The Real Retirement offers a down-to-earth guide for preparing for comfortable retirement and shows what it takes to achieve it.

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Lim Mark Andrew. The Handbook of Technical Analysis + Test Bank

Foreword

Preface

OVERVIEW OF THE BOOK CONTENTS

ONLINE MATERIALS

Acknowledgments

About the Author

CHAPTER 1. Introduction to the Art and Science of Technical Analysis

1.1 MAIN OBJECTIVE OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

1.2 DUAL FUNCTION OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

1.3 FORECASTING PRICE AND MARKET ACTION

1.5 SUBJECTIVITY IN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

1.6 BASIC ASSUMPTIONS OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

1.7 FOUR BASIC ASSUMPTIONS IN THE APPLICATION OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

1.8 MARKET PARTICIPANTS

1.9 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 1 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 2. Introduction to Dow Theory

2.1 ORIGINS AND PROPONENTS OF DOW THEORY

2.2 BASIC ASSUMPTIONS OF DOW THEORY

2.3 CHALLENGES TO DOW THEORY

2.4 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 2 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 3. Mechanics and Dynamics of Charting

3.1 THE MECHANICS AND DYNAMICS OF CHARTING

3.2 GAP ACTION: FOUR TYPES OF GAPS

3.3 CONSTANT CHART MEASURES

3.4 FUTURES CONTRACTS

3.5 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 3 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 4. Market Phase Analysis

4.1 DOW THEORY OF MARKET PHASE

4.2 CHART PATTERN INTERPRETATION OF MARKET PHASE

4.3 VOLUME AND OPEN INTEREST INTERPRETATION OF MARKET PHASE

4.4 MOVING AVERAGE INTERPRETATION OF MARKET PHASE

4.5 DIVERGENCE AND MOMENTUM INTERPRETATION OF MARKET PHASE

4.6 SENTIMENT INTERPRETATION OF MARKET PHASE

4.7 SAKATA’S INTERPRETATION OF MARKET PHASE

4.8 ELLIOTT’S INTERPRETATION OF MARKET PHASE

4.9 CYCLE ANALYSIS INTERPRETATION OF MARKET PHASE

4.1 °CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 4 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 5. Trend Analysis

5.1 DEFINITIONS OF A TREND

5.2 QUALITY OF TREND: 16 PRICE CHARACTERISTICS IMPACTING FUTURE PRICE ACTION AND TREND STRENGTH

5.3 PRICE AND TREND FILTERS

5.4 TREND PARTICIPATION

5.5 PRICE INFLECTION POINTS

5.6 TRENDLINES, CHANNELS, AND FAN LINES

5.7 TREND RETRACEMENTS

5.8 GAPS AND TRENDS

5.9 TREND DIRECTIONALITY

5.10 DRUMMOND GEOMETRY

5.11 FORECASTING TREND REVERSALS

5.12 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 5 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 6. Volume and Open Interest

6.1 THE MECHANICS OF VOLUME ACTION

6.2 VOLUME OSCILLATORS

6.3 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 6 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 7. Bar Chart Analysis

7.1 PRICE BAR PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS

7.2 PRICE BAR PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS

7.3 POPULAR BAR REVERSAL PATTERNS

7.4 VOLATILITY-BASED BREAKOUT PATTERNS

7.5 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 7 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 8. Window Oscillators and Overlay Indicators

8.1 DEFINING INDICATORS AND OSCILLATORS

8.2 EIGHT WAYS TO ANALYZE AN OSCILLATOR

8.3 CYCLE PERIOD, MULTIPLE TIMEFRAMES, AND LAGGING INDICATORS

8.4 INPUT DATA

8.5 TREND TRADING USING OSCILLATORS

8.6 WINDOW OSCILLATORS

8.7 OVERLAY INDICATORS

8.8 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 8 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 9. Divergence Analysis

9.1 DEFINITION OF DIVERGENCE

9.2 GENERAL CONCEPT OF DIVERGENCE

9.3 STANDARD AND REVERSE DIVERGENCE

9.4 PRICE CONFIRMATION IN DIVERGENCE ANALYSIS

9.5 SIGNAL ALTERNATION BETWEEN STANDARD AND REVERSE DIVERGENCE

9.6 MORE EXAMPLES OF DIVERGENCE

9.7 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 9 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 10. Fibonacci Number and Ratio Analysis

10.1 THE FIBONACCI NUMBER SERIES

10.2 FIBONACCI RATIOS

10.3 FIBONACCI RETRACEMENTS, EXTENSIONS, PROJECTIONS, AND EXPANSIONS

10.4 FIBONACCI (Φ-BASED) PERCENTAGE RETRACEMENT LEVELS WITHIN AN OBSERVED PRICE RANGE

10.5 FIBONACCI (Φ-BASED) PERCENTAGE EXTENSION LEVELS BEYOND AN OBSERVED PRICE RANGE

10.6 FIBONACCI (Φ-BASED) PERCENTAGE EXPANSION LEVELS BEYOND AN OBSERVED PRICE RANGE

10.7 FIBONACCI (Φ-BASED) PERCENTAGE PROJECTION LEVELS FROM A SIGNIFICANT PEAK OR TROUGH

10.8 WHY SHOULD FIBONACCI RATIOS OR NUMBERS WORK AT ALL?

10.9 GEOMETRICALLY VERSUS NUMERICALLY BASED FIBONACCI OPERATIONS

10.10 THE FIBONACCI TRADER’S TECHNICAL TOOLBOX

10.11 AREA OF APPLICATION

10.12 SELECTING EFFECTIVE INFLECTION POINTS FOR FIBONACCI OPERATIONS

10.13 FIBONACCI, DOW, GANN, AND FLOOR TRADER’S PIVOT POINT LEVELS

10.14 PROBABILITY OF CONTINUATION AND REVERSAL IN FIBONACCI RETRACEMENTS AND EXTENSIONS

10.15 FIBONACCI-BASED ENTRIES, STOPLOSSES, AND MINIMUM PRICE OBJECTIVES

10.16 FIBONACCI TWO- AND THREE-LEG RETRACEMENTS

10.17 FIBONACCI FAN LINES

10.18 FIBONACCI CHANNEL EXPANSIONS

10.19 FIBONACCI ARCS

10.20 SUPPORTIVE AND RESISTIVE FIBONACCI CLUSTERS

10.21 POTENTIAL BARRIERS IN FIBONACCI PROJECTIONS

10.22 FIBONACCI TIME AND RATIO PROJECTION ANALYSIS ON ELLIOTT WAVES

10.23 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 10 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 11. Moving Averages

11.1 SEVEN MAIN COMPONENTS OF MOVING AVERAGES

11.2 NINE MAIN APPLICATIONS OF MOVING AVERAGES

11.3 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 11 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 12. Envelopes and Methods of Price Containment

12.1 CONTAINING PRICE ACTION AND VOLATILITY ABOUT A CENTRAL VALUE

12.2 ADJUSTING BANDS FOR EFFECTIVE PRICE CONTAINMENT

12.3 METHODS OF PRICE CONTAINMENT

12.4 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 12 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 13. Chart Pattern Analysis

13.1 ELEMENTS OF CHART PATTERN ANALYSIS

13.2 PRECONDITIONS FOR RELIABLE CHART PATTERN REVERSALS

13.3 POPULAR CHART PATTERNS

13.4 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 13 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 14. Japanese Candlestick Analysis

14.1 ELEMENTS OF CANDLESTICK ANALYSIS

14.2 POPULAR CANDLESTICK PATTERNS AND THEIR PSYCHOLOGY

14.3 INTEGRATING CANDLESTICK ANALYSIS

14.4 FILTERED CANDLESTICKS

14.5 TRADING WITH CANDLESTICKS

14.6 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 14 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 15. Point-and-Figure Charting

15.1 BASIC ELEMENTS OF POINT-AND-FIGURE CHARTS

15.2 BASIC POINT-AND-FIGURE CHART PATTERNS

15.3 POINT-AND-FIGURE MINIMUM PRICE OBJECTIVES

15.4 BULLISH PERCENT INDEX AND RELATIVE STRENGTH

15.5 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 15 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 16. Ichimoku Charting and Analysis

16.1 CONSTRUCTING THE FIVE ICHIMOKU OVERLAYS

16.2 FUNCTIONAL ASPECT OF ICHIMOKU OVERLAYS

16.3 ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES OF USING ICHIMOKU CHARTING

16.4 TIME AND PRICE DOMAIN CHARACTERISTICS OF ICHIMOKU OVERLAYS

16.5 BASIC ICHIMOKU PRICE-PROJECTION TECHNIQUES

16.6 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 16 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 17. Market Profile

17.1 THE SEARCH FOR FAIR PRICE OR VALUE

17.2 THE DAILY PROFILE FORMATIONS

17.3 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 17 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 18. Basic Elliott Wave Analysis

18.1 ELEMENTS OF ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS

18.2 RULES AND GUIDELINES

18.3 MOTIVE WAVES

18.4 CORRECTIVE WAVES

18.5 WAVE EXTENSIONS AND TRUNCATION

18.6 ALTERNATION

18.7 WAVE EQUALITY

18.8 FIBONACCI RATIO AND NUMBER ANALYSIS OF ELLIOTT WAVES

18.9 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 18 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 19. Basics of Gann Analysis

19.1 TECHNIQUES OF W. D. GANN

19.4 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 19 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 20. Cycle Analysis

20.1 ELEMENTS OF CYCLE ANALYSIS

20.2 PRINCIPLES OF CYCLE ANALYSIS

20.3 ADDITIONAL CYCLIC CHARACTERISTICS

20.4 TUNING OSCILLATOR AND OVERLAY INDICATORS TO THE DOMINANT CYCLE PERIOD

20.5 IDENTIFYING PRICE CYCLES

20.6 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 20 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 21. Volatility Analysis

21.1 THE CONCEPT OF CHANGE AND VOLATILITY

21.2 SOME STATISTICAL MEASURES OF PRICE VOLATILITY

21.3 OTHER MEASURES OF MARKET VOLATILITY

21.4 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 21 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 22. Market Breadth

22.1 ELEMENTS OF BROAD MARKET ACTION

22.2 COMPONENTS OF MARKET BREADTH

22.3 MARKET-BREADTH INDICATORS IN ACTION

22.4 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 22 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 23. Sentiment Indicators and Contrary Opinion

23.1 ASSESSING THE EMOTION AND PSYCHOLOGY OF MARKET PARTICIPANTS

23.2 PRICE-BASED INDICATORS VERSUS SENTIMENT INDICATORS

23.3 ASSESSING PARTICIPANT ACTIONS

23.4 ASSESSING PARTICIPANTS’ OPINIONS

23.5 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 23 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 24. Relative Strength Analysis

24.1 MEASURING RELATIVE PERFORMANCE

24.2 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 24 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 25. Investor Psychology

25.1 GENERAL BEHAVIORAL ASPECTS

25.2 BEHAVIORAL ELEMENTS ASSOCIATED WITH CHART PATTERNS

25.3 BEHAVIORAL ELEMENTS ASSOCIATED WITH MARKET TRENDS

25.4 BEHAVIORAL ASPECTS OF MARKET CONSOLIDATIONS

25.5 BEHAVIORAL ASPECTS OF MARKET REVERSALS

25.6 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 25 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 26. Trader Risk Profiling and Position Analysis

26.1 FULFILLING CLIENT OBJECTIVES AND RISK CAPACITY

26.2 AGGRESSIVE AND CONSERVATIVE MARKET PARTICIPATION

26.3 CATEGORIZING CLIENTS ACCORDING TO TERM OUTLOOK AND SENTIMENT

26.4 THE SEVEN PARTICIPATORY OPTIONS

26.5 TRIGGERS, SIGNALS, PRICE TARGETS, AND STOPLOSSES

26.6 CONFIRMING AND NON-CONFIRMING PRICE ACTION AND FILTERS

26.7 COLLECTING, CATEGORIZING, AND ORGANIZING TECHNICAL DATA

26.8 MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFIRMATION

26.9 RECONCILING TECHNICAL OUTLOOK WITH CLIENT INTEREST

26.10 HEDGING POSITIONS WITH DERIVATIVES

26.11 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 26 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 27. Integrated Technical Analysis

27.1 THE INTEGRATED COMPONENTS OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

27.2 CLASSIFICATION OF CLUSTERS AND CONFLUENCES

27.3 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 27 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 28. Money Management

28.1 ELEMENTS OF MONEY MANAGEMENT

CHAPTER 28 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 29. Technical Trading Systems

29.1 CONCEPTUALIZING A TRADING SYSTEM

29.2 BASIC COMPONENTS OF A TRADING SYSTEM

29.3 SYSTEM TESTING AND OPTIMIZATION

29.4 PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT

29.5 CHAPTER SUMMARY

CHAPTER 29 REVIEW QUESTIONS

REFERENCES

APPENDIX A. Basic Investment Decision Making Based on Chart Analysis

A.1 USING TECHNICAL DATA TO SUPPORT CLIENT’S OBJECTIVE

A.2 ADVICE FOR THE LONG-TERM INVESTOR (BULLISH OUTLOOK)

A.3 ADVICE FOR THE LONG-TERM INVESTOR (BEARISH OUTLOOK)

A.4 ADVICE FOR THE SHORT- AND MEDIUM-TERM BULLISH TRADER

A.5 ADVICE FOR THE SHORT- AND MEDIUM-TERM BEARISH TRADER

APPENDIX B. Official IFTA CFTe, STA Diploma (UK), and MTA CMT Exam Reading Lists

1. IFTA CFTE OFFICIAL READING LIST

2. STA (UK) DIPLOMA EXAM OFFICIAL READING LIST

3. MTA CMT OFFICIAL READING LIST

About the Test Bank and Website

Index

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The Handbook of Technical Analysis

The Practitioner's Comprehensive Guide to Technical Analysis

.....

As mentioned, interpretation and inference of potential future price action based on historical price behavior is essentially an exercise in subjectivity. Each analyst will interpret and infer future price action according to his or her own experience, knowledge, objectives, beliefs, expectations, predilections, emotional makeup, psychological biases, and interests.

The identification of price patterns may also present some challenge to the novice practitioner. Occasionally, the markets will conveniently trace out various price patterns that may cause some confusion. Refer to Figure 1.17.

.....

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