Dancing with the Devil

Dancing with the Devil
Автор книги: id книги: 1933929     Оценка: 0.0     Голосов: 0     Отзывы, комментарии: 0 2010,5 руб.     (22,02$) Читать книгу Купить и скачать книгу Купить бумажную книгу Электронная книга Жанр: Историческая литература Правообладатель и/или издательство: Ingram Дата добавления в каталог КнигаЛит: ISBN: 9781594037986 Скачать фрагмент в формате   fb2   fb2.zip Возрастное ограничение: 0+ Оглавление Отрывок из книги

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The world has seldom been as dangerous as it is now. Rogue regimes—governments and groups that eschew diplomatic normality, sponsor terrorism, and proliferate nuclear weapons—threaten the United States around the globe. Because sanctions and military action are so costly, the American strategy of first resort is dialogue, on the theory that “it never hurts to talk to enemies.” Seldom is conventional wisdom so wrong.Engagement with rogue regimes is not cost-free, as Michael Rubin demonstrates by tracing the history of American diplomacy with North Korea, Iran, Iraq, Libya, the Taliban’s Afghanistan, and Pakistan. Further challenges to traditional diplomacy have come from terrorist groups, such as the PLO in the 1970s and 1980s, or Hamas and Hezbollah in the last two decades. The argument in favor of negotiation with terrorists is suffused with moral equivalence, the idea that one man’s terrorist is another man’s freedom fighter. Rarely does the actual record of talking to terrorists come under serious examination.While soldiers spend weeks developing lessons learned after every exercise, diplomats generally do not reflect on why their strategy toward rogues has failed, or consider whether their basic assumptions have been faulty. Rubin’s analysis finds that rogue regimes all have one thing in common: they pretend to be aggrieved in order to put Western diplomats on the defensive. Whether in Pyongyang, Tehran, or Islamabad, rogue leaders understand that the West rewards bluster with incentives and that the U.S. State Department too often values process more than results.

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Michael Rubin. Dancing with the Devil

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Dancing with the Devil

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After the verdict was read, Rafsanjani threatened Germany, swearing, “They are going to suffer for it.” The head of a pro-government vigilante group threatened to blow up the German embassy.135 The European Union suspended its critical dialogue and all EU members with the exception of Greece withdrew their ambassadors from Tehran.136 Kinkel, the German foreign minister, refused to admit defeat. “We must not break off all contact with Iran, not least because we on our part have clear demands to make,” he said.137

Italy’s prime minister, Romano Prodi, took that advice to heart and sent a trade delegation to Tehran, defying the European suspension of relations with Iran. Two months later, a consortium led by the French company Total signed a $2 billion agreement to develop Iran’s oil resources. Tehran considered the deal a “moral victory” and celebrated the European slight to America.138 For all Europe’s talk about unity in foreign policy, there was always at least one European state that would break the consensus in order to profit from Iranian trade.

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