When Zuma Goes

When Zuma Goes
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When Jacob Zuma retires to Nkandla, what will be left behind? South Africa has been in the grip of the ʻZunamiʼ since May 2009: Scandal, corruption and allegations of state capture have become synonymous with the Zuma era, leaving the country and its people disheartened. But Jacob Zuma’s time is running out. Whether he leaves the presidency after the ANC’s national conference in 2017, stays on until 2019, or is forced to retire much sooner, the question is: what impact will his departure have on South Africa, its people and on the ruling party? Can we fix the damage, and how? Ralph Mathekga answers these questions and more as he puts Zumaʼs leadership, and what will come after, in the spotlight.

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Ralph Mathekga. When Zuma Goes

Foreword by Justice Malala

Prologue

ONE

TWO

THREE

FOUR

FIVE

SIX

SEVEN

EIGHT

NINE

TEN

ELEVEN

TWELVE

THIRTEEN

Epilogue

List of abbreviations

Endnotes

Acknowledgements

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RALPH MATHEKGA

my parents, Solomon and Constance Mathekga, for always encouraging me to make my case whenever I feel I have a case to make.

.....

Mbeki, on the other hand, steadfastly built the capacity of the state. In order to implement the complex macroeconomic policy that South Africa adopted after the collapse of apartheid, the state needed to be capable and the bureaucracy needed to be in place. This was achieved under Mbeki, notably in the strength of the National Treasury under Finance minister Trevor Manuel. While the National Treasury’s role, responsibilities and areas of function are well provided for in the Constitution, Mbeki protected its financial management system against populist demands for relaxed fiscal targets.10 Mbeki also protected the South African Reserve Bank’s monetary policy, particularly the inflation targeting practice that has come under severe attack by the Congress of South African Trade Unions (Cosatu) and some within the ANC.

The protection of such institutions from populist and party onslaught represents further consolidation of bureaucracy in South Africa. But the ANC had yet to learn the lesson that you cannot just spend money as you wish. The idea had not sunk in that you cannot run a deficit to fund policies that you think are important. Fiscal discipline, proper fiscal management and the idea of ‘fiscal reality’ are usually seen as convenient ways of blocking the implementation of progressive policies in newly liberated countries. The absence of these traits in a system usually indicates a poor level of bureaucratic development.

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