Supertiming: The Unique Elliott Wave System

Supertiming: The Unique Elliott Wave System
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Описание книги

The classic work on Elliott Wave and market cycles returned to print
During the 1930s, R. N. Elliott undertook the painstaking procedure of attempting to classify share price movements for the preceding 80 years on Wall Street. It was during the course of this seminal work that Elliott discovered a definable basic rhythm in share price movements which he felt had forecasting value when correctly applied.
In 1938 Elliott published his findings in a series of articles with the overall title «The Wave Principle». After publication, Elliott's work drifted into obscurity, until Robert Beckman's 'Supertiming' introduced it to a new audience.
In this renowned work, Beckman sets out with three main objectives:
1. To clarify obscurities and grey areas of The Wave Principle that were present in Elliott's original writing. 2. To incorporate the work of other analysts in order to allow the Wave Principle to have a broader application. 3. To show the correct conceptual approach that should be used with the Wave Principle so that one can apply it with confidence and consistency.
If you are willing to approach the subject of stock market behaviour with an open mind, who have faith in the fundamental laws of economics and the consistency of human nature, and who would like to avoid the pitfalls that have deluded the investment community for decades, this is the book for you.

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Robert C. Beckman. Supertiming: The Unique Elliott Wave System

Publishing Details

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Publisher’s Preface, 1979

Introduction

One: The Origins of the Wave Principle

First contacts with Wall Street

Elliott and the Economists

The Grand Super Cycle

The Five-wave Concept

The Need to be a Genius?

Two: Reality in the Stock Market

$2,000 to $1,000,000

The Future not the Past

Cyclical Nature of the Market

Time Frame Relative – not Fixed

Classification of Waves

Three: Elliott… Pure and Simple

A Rhythmic Pattern of Waves

Elliott’s Five Basic Tenets

Bull Market – Bear Market

Ground Rules

Application to Investment Strategy

Probabilities not Absolutes

Practice Runs

Four: “Like a Circle in a Spiral, a Wheel within a Wheel”

The Wave Count

Breakdown of Primary Market Cycle

Pivotal Points

1984?

Normality and Variations

The Market is Always Right

Improving Investment Performance

Five: The Fibonacci Summation Series

The Series

W. D. Gann’s Numerical Approach

The Fibonacci Series in Art and Nature

Examples from Nature’s Law

Fibonacci and Cyclical Behaviour

Brilliant… or Ludicrous?

Open Mind – Successful Investment

Six: Applying the Fibonacci Series

Choice of Stock Exchange Data

A Psychological Phenomenon

Pattern

Time

Ratio

Calculations and Examples

The “Non-Absolute” Nature of Elliott

Stock Market History and the Summation Series

Seven: The Trend Channel

Logarithmic and Arithmetic Scales

Forecasting using Trend Channels

Frames of Reference, not Predictions

Deviations from “Normative” Behaviour

F.T.30, January 1975-February 1976

Eight: Elliott, Inflation and the Fifth Wave

Inflation in Britain

Inflation in the U.S.A. and Fibonacci

Early Warnings of Inflation

Extensions

Extensions of Extensions

Retracements and Double Retracements

Double Retracement and the Extended Fifth Wave

Nine: Incorrigible Behaviour

Extensions in the Corrective Phase

Corrective Wave Formations – “Zigzag”

Maximum Corrective Action

Use in Investment Strategy

Further Corrective Wave Formations

The “Flat”

“Irregular Corrections”

Ten: “Double Threes”, “Triple Threes”, “Horizontals”, “Triangles”… and all that!

Complex Corrections

Triangles and Horizontals

The Tension in the Triangle

Enlargement of Corrections

Use of the Time Factor

Action after the Corrective Wave

Eleven: The Finishing Touches

Breakdown of the Impulse Waves

Elliott’s Theory of Alternation

Erroneous Counting

“Failures”

“Thrusts”

Volume

Moving Averages

Ancillary Indicators

Twelve: Practical Application of the Wave Principle

Terminal Endings

The Next Ten Years

Sequence for Selling

Trading Intermediate Term Movements

Confirmation of Terminal Junctures

Applications to Individual Share Price Movements

The Final Word

Appendix: “The Wave Principle”

Introducing “The Wave Principle”

Historical Significance

The Wave Principle: Part II

Completed Movement

Price Ranges Used

Outside Influences

The Wave Principle: Part III

The Wave Principle: Part IV

The Wave Principle: Part V

Orderly Decline

Bearish Indication?

The Wave Principle: Part VI

The Wave Principle: Part VII

The Wave Principle: Part VIII

The Wave Principle: Part IX

The Wave Principle: Part X

The Wave Principle: Part XI

Wave Characteristics

Critical Points

The Wave Principle: Part XII

Bibliography

Now add to your trading library

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Like Schumpeter’s work relative to economic forces, Elliott began with one major long-term force which he sub-divided into lesser, shorter-term forces. However, his sub-divisions were far more detailed than Schumpeter’s, the most distinct feature being the complete absence of any form of cyclical periodicity. He coined a system of terminology in order to classify the various wave dimensions. The major long-term cycle would be compatible with the Kondratieff Cycle. Elliott called this the Grand Super Cycle which spans a period of 50 years or more. The next cycle down the scale, obviously compatible with the Juglar cycle of economic activity, was Elliott’s Super Cycle, spanning 15 to 20 years or more, depending on the duration of the Grand Super Cycle. Compatible with the work of Kitchin and his shorter term economic model, Elliott referred to the Primary Cycle, from which point there is a departure. Continuing his regressive categorisation we find the Cycle, Intermediate, Minor, Minute, Minuette and finally the smallest cycle of all, the Sub-Minuette.

Thus we start with a cycle of approximately 54 years in duration and continue sub-dividing downward until we arrive at the tiniest measurable degree. In London this “tiniest measurable degree” would be the hourly movements recorded by the Financial Times Industrial Ordinary Share Index. In Wall Street we have pure perfection, for the “Stock Master” provides minute-by-minute price changes in the Dow-Jones Industrial Averages, adjusted instantaneously for every single transaction that occurs in the thirty Dow-Jones Industrial Shares.

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