The Innovation Ultimatum

The Innovation Ultimatum
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Prepares leaders for the 2020s—an accessible guide to the key technologies that will reshape business in the coming decade Most businesses identify six key digital technologies—artificial intelligence (AI), distributed ledgers and blockchain, the Internet of Things (IoT), autonomous machines, virtual and augmented reality, and 5G communication—as critical to their relevance and growth over the coming ten years. These new disruptive technologies present significant opportunity for businesses in every industry. The first businesses to understand automation and these transformative technologies will be the ones to reap the greatest rewards in the marketplace. The Innovation Ultimatum helps leaders understand the key technologies poised to reshape business in the next decade and prepare their organizations for technology-enabled change. Using straightforward, jargon-free language, this important resource provides a set of strategic questions every leader will need to ask and answer in order to prepare for the impending changes to the business landscape. Author Steve Brown shares his insights to help leaders take full advantage of the next wave of digital transformation and describes compelling examples of how businesses are already embracing new technologies to optimize operations, create new value, and serve customers in new ways. Written for anyone that wants to understand how automation and new technology will fundamentally restructure business, this book enables readers to: Understand the implications of technology-driven change across industrial sectors Apply important insights to their own business Gain competitive advantage by implementing new technologies Prepare for the future of work and understand the skills needed to thrive in a post-automation economy Adopt critical digital technologies in any organization Providing invaluable cutting-edge content, The Innovation Ultimatum is a much-needed source of guidance and inspiration for business leaders, board members, C-suite executives, and senior managers who need to prepare their businesses for the future.

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Steve Brown. The Innovation Ultimatum

THE. INNOVATION. ULTIMATUM. HOW SIX STRATEGIC TECHNOLOGIES. WILL RESHAPE EVERY BUSINESS IN. THE 2020s

CONTENTS

List of Illustrations

Guide

Pages

Foreword Don't Fear the Future … Prepare for It

Introduction To Survive, Every Company Must Become a Tech Company

The Innovation Ultimatum

Automation and Augmentation

Product, Service, and Business-Model Innovation

The Innovator's Palette

Six Technologies Intimately Connect the Digital and Physical Worlds

Winners Will Wield and Combine These Technologies Like Artists Use Color

Expect More Change in the Next 10 Years Than the Last 40

Should I Be Afraid or Excited?

Getting the Most Out of This Book

Don't Panic; Don't Wait; Get Help

1 Artificial Intelligence

What Is It and Why Is It Important?

Electricity, Digital Computers, and Artificial Intelligence

The Next Era of Computing: Traditional Digital versus Artificial Intelligence

A 1950s Concept and 1980s Algorithms Meet Modern Computing Horsepower

What Can You Do with It?

Machine Vision: Computers Open Their Eyes

Natural Language Processing and Voice Platforms

Natural Language Understanding (NLU)

Natural Language Generation (NLG)

Voice Agents

Exploration and Discovery

Better-Informed Decision-Making

Predicting the Future

Seeing the World through a New Lens with Super Sensors

Solving Complex Problems by Learning from Experience

Creating and Co-Creating Content

Future Uses of AI

How AI Works

Neural Networks, Training, and Models

Example: A Radiology AI

Pattern Recognition

Beyond Deep Learning: The Future of Artificial Intelligence

Stagnation or Golden Age?

Capsule Networks

Common Sense

Causal AIs

Neuromorphic Computers

Narrow, General, and Super Intelligence

Artificial Narrow Intelligence (ANI)

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)

Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI)

Strategies to Get You Started

Make Predictions about Customers, Operations, and Trends

See More, Understand More, Make Better Decisions

Build a Comprehensive Digital Voice Strategy

Understand and Mitigate for Bias

Gather Data Today to Feed Your AIs of the Future

Develop New Products and Services

Final Thoughts

2 Sensors and the Internet of Things (IoT)

Cheap, Tiny Computers and 100 Trillion Sensors Make Everything Smart and Connected

Cheap, Tiny Computers Transform the Economics of Connecting Everything

100 Trillion Sensors Connect the Digital and Physical Worlds

What Can You Do with It?

Get Eyes on Your Business with a Suite of Sensors

Build Service Portals: Smart Objects Create New Revenue Streams

New Business Models

Build Responsive Infrastructure with Control Loops

Beyond Productivity and Efficiency: Optimize Your Business at a Higher Level

Make Higher-Quality Decisions with Analytics

Understand the Four Main Flavors of Analytics

Descriptive Analytics

Diagnostic Analytics

Predictive Analytics

Prescriptive Analytics

The Internet of People: Wearables and Hearables

Strategies to Get Eyes on Your Business and Act on Events in Real Time

3 Autonomous Machines—Robots, Cobots, Drones, and Self-Driving Vehicles

What Are They and Why Are They Important?

What Can They Do?

Robots Escape Their Cages and Safely Share Our World

Drones Fill Our Skies and Do Real Work

Autonomous Vehicles Upset the Apple Cart

Strategies for Success. Automate, Semi-Automate, and Elevate Human Work

4 Distributed Ledgers and Blockchains

Beyond Cryptocurrencies: Why Blockchain Is a Big Deal

Blockchain 101

What Is a Blockchain?

Distributed and Decentralized

Immutability and Truth

Cryptocurrencies, Tokens, Smart Contracts, and dApps

Cryptocurrencies and Tokens

Smart Contracts

Distributed Apps (dApps)

Establishing Truth in a Trustless World

Shifting Incentives with Token Economics

Key Applications for Blockchain Technology

Payments, E-Commerce, and Contracts

Energy Trading

Sharing Economy Apps

Media Rights

Supply Chain

Forecasting and Hedging

Insurance

Decentralized Platforms

Decentralized Storage

Decentralized Computing

Social Media

Digital Voting

Government Services

Healthcare

Journalism

Gift Cards and Loyalty Schemes

The Future of Blockchain

Scalability and Speed to Meet the Needs of the 2020s

Interoperability Enables Rapid Value Creation

Sustainability: Data Integrity without Killing the Planet

Beyond Blockchains

Strategies to Get You Started with Blockchain

Collaborate in New Ways: Build Open Teams and Reward Up-Front Investment with Tokens

Understand the Threat to Centralized Power in a Decentralized World

Create Digital Provenance to Speed Audits, Add Traceability, and Establish Chain of Custody

Reduce Transaction Friction, Remove Intermediaries, and Offer Competitive Payments

5 Virtual, Augmented, and Mixed Reality. What Are They and Why Are They Important?

Understand the Reality Spectrum: Virtual, Augmented, and Mixed

Augmented Reality Is the New Display

Gesture and Voice Are the New Keyboard and Mouse

Hands-Free, Click-Free Computing: Computing for the Other 80%

What Can You Do with Them?

Virtual Reality: Beyond Games and Porn

Digital Therapeutics: PTSD, Pain Management, Autism, Paraplegics, and Spiders

Experiential Education That Escapes the Classroom

The True Breakthrough Is Augmented Reality

3-D Computing for a 3-D World

Augmented Reality Workers

Bell's Law Goes through the Looking Glass

Strategies for Success

Create Hybrid AR Workers That Blend Human and Machine Intelligence

Build Enterprise Applications That Aid Collaboration and Speed Decisions

Aid the Visualization of Complex Plans or Data

Bring in Remote Experts to Solve Problems Quickly

Context-Sensitive AR: Avoid Turning Our World into a Vegas-Like Assault of the Senses

6 Connecting Everything and Everyone. 5G Networks and Satellite Constellations

5G—A Lot More Than Just Faster Phones

One More G!

Low Latency Enables New Applications

Connected Factories, Hospitals, Cities, Vehicles, and People

Flexible Factories

Telemedicine and Telesurgery

Connected Vehicles

Streaming Media: Games and Augmented Reality Headsets

The Structure of 5G Networks

Three Networks in One

Network Slicing

When Will We Experience 5G?

Connected Planet: Reaching the Next 4 Billion People

Satellite Constellations

Balloons

7 Align Your Automation Strategy with Your Corporate Purpose

Automation Is Inevitable: Make Sure You Get It Right

Purpose and Profit

The Recipe for Success

Examples

Raise Your Aim: Solve a Higher Class of Business Problems with the Intimacy of IoT

Hierarchy of Goals

Resources

Business Results

Business Capabilities

Outcomes

Human Elements

Get Quick Wins but Keep Your Aim High

Build Human/Machine Partnerships to Boost Productivity, Improve Quality, and Increase Employee Engagement

The New Diversity: Teams of Humans and Nonhumans Working Together

Know When to Use Each of Your Resource Pools: People, Robots, and Artificial Intelligence

Retail Example: The Semi-Automated Changing Room

Your CIO and CHRO Just Became Best Friends

Empower Your Employees, Elevate Their Work, and Maintain the Humanity in Your Brand

The Importance of a Thoughtful Approach to Automation

8 The Data Ultimatum. Data as Fuel for Business Innovation

The Strategic Importance of Data: Data-Driven Decisions, Hungry AI, and Frictionless Experiences

Data-Driven Decision-Making Kills the Gut

Process Automation Coordinates Human and Machine Resources

Feed the Voracious Hunger of Your AIs

Use Data to Deliver What Your Customers Want: Customization versus Personalization

Customize Your Products, Services, and Experiences

Use Personalization to Create Frictionless Experiences

Create New Value with Data

Turn Data into Dollars by Monetizing Your Insights

Elevate Your Offering: Products to Services to Experiences to Transformations

Data Spirals: Create Increasing Levels of Value Using Moore's Law of Data

9 The Future of Work. What to Expect and How to Make Yourself “Robot-Proof”

The History of Work: From the Physical to the Knowledge Era

The Next Era of Work: Augmented Work

AI Commoditizes Some Knowledge Work, and More Physical Work, Too

Automation Armageddon: Plan a “Robot-Proof” Career

Which Jobs Are at Risk?

The Sky Isn't Falling … Yet

Becoming “Robot-Proof”

Complex Critical Thinking

Creative Problem Solving

Social Intelligence

Twenty-First-Century Psyche

Complex, Diverse Teams of T-Shaped Individuals

New Technology Creates New Types of Work

Keeping the World Spinning in the Postautomation Economy

Identity, Purpose, and Life 2.0

Upskilling and Reskilling Millions

A New Social Contract

All Hands on Deck

10 Keeping Healthcare Healthy. What Every Business Can Learn from Healthcare Tech

The Challenge: Meeting the Needs of an Aging Population

Artificial Intelligence Improves Patient Interactions and Outcomes

The Predictive Capabilities of AI Transform Public Health

Artificial Intelligence Discovers Drugs and Designs Prosthetics

Digital Diagnosis Complements Traditional Care

Artificial Intelligence “Sees” Patients in New Ways with Super-Sensing

Healthcare Gets Personal with Precision Medicine

Drones Save Lives

The Remote-Monitored Patient: Sensors and Wearables Flip the Model

Blockchain-Based Medical Records Reward Healthy Behavior and Take Us beyond Accidental Wellness

Augmented Reality and 5G Transform Telesurgery and Telemedicine

11 Transforming Human Mobility. What Every Business Can Learn from Transport Tech

The Challenge: Climate, Traffic, and Moving Deathtraps

Automotive Accidents Claim More Than a Million Lives Each Year

One Sixth of All Greenhouse Gases Spew from Our Transport Systems

Traffic Chokes Cities, Slows Economic Activity, and Wastes Time

The Next Revolution in Human Mobility: Horseless, Driverless Carriages

Vehicles Morph from Products to Services

Less Parking, More Drop-Off Zones

Autonomous Platforms Bring Services to Your Door

Autonomous Trucks Transform Haulage

Going 3-D: Tunnels, Gondolas, and Passenger Drones

Tunnels

Gondolas

Passenger Drones: The Jetsons Becomes Reality

Decarbonizing: Electric Cars, Trucks, Trains, Ships, and Planes

12 Surviving the Retail Apocalypse. What Every Business Can Learn from Retail Tech

The Challenge: E-Commerce and the Retail Apocalypse

The End of the Middle: The Great Bifurcation of Retail

Consumers Want Customized Products, Personalized Shopping Experiences

Massive Choice and the Tyranny of Choosing

Friction-Free, Fast-Fulfillment for a Busy World

Digital, Frictionless, and Unstaffed Stores

The Digital-Physical Store

Some Stores Become Showrooms

Frictionless Checkouts and Unstaffed Stores

Shopping with Smart Shelves, Chatbots, and Robots

AI Transforms the Shopper Journey

AI Revolutionizes Discovery and Curation

AI Turbocharges Store Operations, Merchandizing, and Design

AI Predicts What Customers Will Want, and When They Will Want It

Home Shopping with Voice, Gesture, and Augmented Reality

13 Cheap, On-Time, Safe, and Genuine. What Every Business Needs to Know about Future Supply Chains

The Challenge: Shifting Expectations and Widespread Fraud

Consumers Want Lightning-Fast Delivery, Low Prices, and Transparency

Food Fraud Is at Least a $50 Billion Problem: Diversion and Counterfeiting Are Rife

Today's Supply Chain Is Complex, Still Runs on Paper, and Does Not Favor Brands

Streamlined Logistics with IoT, Autonomous Vehicles, Robots, and Drones

Blockchain Speeds Audits, Builds Provenance, Aligns Incentives, and Fights Fraud

How to Build a Brand-Centric Supply Chain

14 Smart Factories and Augmented Factory Workers. What Every Business Can Learn from Manufacturing Tech

The Challenge: Mass Customization and Globalization

Generative Design Melds Human Creativity and Machine Intelligence

Robots and Cobots Boost Productivity and Reduce Worker's Comp Claims

Digital Dexterity: Next-Generation Robots Learn to Manipulate Objects as Humans Do

Exoskeletons Turn Factory Workers into Ellen Ripley

Augmented Workers Improve Training, Aid Compliance, and Reduce Liability

Your Next QA May Be an AI

Distributed Manufacturing and the Mega Corporation with One Employee

Industry 4.0/5.0 and the Sentient Factory

15 Removing Chaos from Construction and Intermediaries from Transactions. What Every Business Can Learn from Real Estate Tech

The Challenge: Mistakes, Margins, and Glacial Transactions

Costly Mistakes, Skills Shortages, and Safety Issues Constrain Construction

Transaction Friction Impedes the Real Estate Market

Generative Design Transforms Architecture

From 2-D Plans to 3-D Augmented Reality Models

Robot Construction Workers, Drones, and 3-D-Printed Structures

AI Aids Real Estate

Blockchains Speed Transactions, Limit Fraud, and Create New Funding Models

Tokenized Assets Democratize Property Investment

Crowdfunded Mortgages Compete with Banks

16 Preparing Our Population for the Post-Automation Economy. Lessons for the Future of Education. The Challenge: A System Designed for a Bygone Era

A Stagnant, Fragmented System Designed for a Bygone Era

Half of the Workforce Is Not Prepared for the Post-Automation Economy

Scale and Cost: Education Is Too Expensive and Is Inaccessible to Many

How Technology Is Transforming the Sector

Flip the Model and Free Teaching Talent from Geographic Limitations

Building a Low-Cost, Scalable Education System

From Flat Textbooks to 3-D Experiential Education

Sensors, Data, and AI for Personalized Education

Stagnant Sectors Will Experience the Same Pressures as Education

17 Embracing Technology in the Service of People. Strategies Lie at the Intersection of Possibility and Purpose

Honor Individuality, Elevate Human Work, and Create Frictionless Experiences

1. Honor Every Customer as a Unique Individual

2. Value Everybody's Time by Creating Frictionless Experiences

3. Understand Ultimate Intent and Create Memorable Moments

4. Design Highly Responsive Business Operations That Coordinate Human and Machine Intelligence

5. Create Innovative Products, Services, Experiences, and Transformations That Solve Problems for People

6. Elevate Human Work

Key Strategic Discussions You Must Drive to Determine Next Steps

Automation Strategy

Sensor Strategy

Augmentation Strategy

Employee Engagement Strategy

Retraining Strategy

Blockchain Strategy

Product and Service Innovation Strategy

Data Strategy

Security Strategy

Final Thoughts and Encouragement for Tomorrow's Leaders

Acknowledgments

About the Author

Index

A

B

C

D

E

F

G

H

I

J

K

L

M

N

O

P

Q

R

S

T

U

V

W

X

Y

Z

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STEVE BROWN

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Reinforcement learning isn't just used to play games. Researchers at Warsaw University used reinforcement learning to train bipedal robots to walk more efficiently. The AI that controls the robots varies the combinations of movements made by the robot's motors and experiments with different walking strategies. The robot's AI gains a small electronic reward for strategies that speed the overall efficiency and pace of the walk. With this approach, roboticists achieved more efficient and natural-looking walking motions for their robots. One robot learned to walk almost twice as fast as it could using the best initial walking strategy programmed by its human creator.

AI's ability to learn from experience is used to solve many business problems, including complex optimizations. AIs optimize traffic control systems, industrial chemical reactions, advertising bids, industrial automation, supply chain flow, product design, warehouse operations, inventory levels, yields, trading strategies, wind turbine controls, medication doses, smart grids, and commercial HVAC systems. Reinforcement learning also teaches AIs to drive. Like humans, AIs learn to drive by practicing. They drive real cars in real-world conditions but also drive millions of miles inside realistic software simulations. In part, Tesla AIs learn to drive from sensor data gathered while owners are driving.

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