Arms, Revenue, and Entitlements
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Оглавление
William Mannen. Arms, Revenue, and Entitlements
From the Surplus to the Deficit Normative State
Notes
Austerity Abandoned
Unification, Airpower, Revolt of the Admirals
Berlin, Contingency Plans, NSC 68
Reconversion, National Health Insurance, Taxes, Fair Deal
Korea, Fiscal Repercussions, Rearmament in Europe
Notes
Austerity Retried
New Look, Continental Defense
Missiles, Sputnik, Summit Setbacks
Tax Overhaul, Social Security
Notes
Idealism and Overreach
Flexible Response, Berlin, Cuba
Nuclear Considerations: Counterforce, MLF, Skybolt
Tax Cuts Proposed
Tax Cuts Enacted
Vietnam
Arms Control: The Parallel Agenda
War on Poverty, Great Society
RECA
Notes
Adapting to Limits
Extrication from Vietnam, Budget Symmetries
Deficits Resumed, New Economic Policy, New Federalism
Detente at Its Zenith
Woes at the Succession
Towards SALT II: Opportunity and Intransigence
Transition, Growing Overstretch
Detente Ends, Defense Turnaround
Domestic Miseries
Notes
Deficit Horizon
Tax Cuts, Tax Hikes, Tax Reform
Entitlements and Welfare
Arms Buildup, Gramm-Rudman
Gorbachev, Reykjavik, Cold War Wind-Down
Notes
Overstretch in the. Twenty-First Century
Factor-Percentage Approach
Contemporary Fiscal Context, Tentative Program
Notes
Bibliography
Collections
Index
About the Author
Отрывок из книги
Chapter 1
The long run trends in the ratio of debt to GDP through most of U.S. history show the pattern of rising debt during wartime and economic contractions followed by stabilization in debt levels during peacetime expansions. Yet today the federal debt assumes an unstoppable upward trajectory unprecedented in the annals of American public finance. In its extended baseline projections, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) predicts that the ratio of debt to GDP will top 144% by 2049.[1] The federal budget now invariably produces deficits, which drives this debt. The last time the government generated a surplus occurred in FY 2001. The budget thereafter returned to deficit amid war and financial crisis. Yet even the four surpluses achieved in the late 1990s and very early 2000s only offered a reprieve from what had already become deficit normality.
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CBO, The 2019 Long-Term Budget Outlook (Washington, D.C.: Congressional Budget Office, June 2019), 1.
2.
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