Demographic Dynamics and Development

Demographic Dynamics and Development
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One of the major challenges facing the world today is the interaction between demographic change and development. <i>Demographic Dynamics and Development</i> reviews the dominant demographic theory, demographic transition, and then presents a thorough investigation covering aging, fertility, contraception, nuptiality, mortality and migration, which are all aspects that drive these changes. Each chapter combines the latest empirical data with theoretical reflections on the implications for development.<br /><br />This book thus offers an overview of worldwide demographic data, studied with a view towards development. In doing so, it provides researchers and specialists with clear information through in-depth case studies, focusing on a country, a region or a particularly important scientific sub-theme.

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Yves Charbit. Demographic Dynamics and Development

Table of Contents

List of Illustrations

List of Tables

Guide

Pages

Demographic Dynamics and Development

Introduction. Demographic Dynamics

I.1. What are demographic dynamics?

I.2. The world population, now a useless concept?

I.3. The double Malthusian progression

I.4. Outine of the book

I.5. References

1. The Demographic Transition

1.1. Introduction

1.2. Genesis of the demographic transition

1.3. World population changes and trends (2019–2100)

1.4. The demographic transition in the world

1.4.1. The factors which can explain demographic transitions

1.4.2. Questions

1.5. The demographic transition in Latin America and the Caribbean

1.5.1. The modes of accelerated mortality reduction

1.5.2 The period of strong population growth

1.5.3. New reproductive behavior

1.6. Conclusion

1.7. References

2. Demographic Dividend and Dependency Ratios

2.1. Introduction

2.2. The dependency ratios, main indicators of the potential of a first demographic dividend

2.2.1. The demographic dividend

2.2.2. The dependency ratios

2.2.3. Data

2.2.4. Policies

2.3. Sub-Saharan Africa in search of a demographic dividend

2.4. Conclusion

2.5. References

3. From the Demographic Dividend to Generational Economics

3.1. Introduction: transition and demographic dividend, generational economics

3.2. Data and method for calculating the demographic dividend

3.3. Results and discussion

3.3.1. Demographic dividend profiles in Africa per region

3.3.2. Discussion

3.4. Conclusion

3.5. Appendix: country and survey year for consumption and income profiles

3.6. References

4. Fertility and Nuptiality

4.1. Introduction: the decline of fertility in the world

4.2. The sociodemography of fertility

4.2.1. Insularity

4.2.2. The decline in infant mortality

4.2.3. Religion is not in itself a factor for high fertility

4.2.4. Land tenure: land saturation

4.2.5. The modernization of behavior

4.2.6. The rationality of the large family

4.3. The sociodemography of precocious nuptiality

4.3.1. The vulnerability of young married women

4.3.2. The case of Benin

4.4. Conclusion

4.5. References

5. Contraception and Reproductive Rights1

5.1. Introduction: population and the Sustainable Development Goals

5.2. Socially embedded preferences for childbearing3

5.3. Trends in contraceptive use and unmet need for family planning

5.4. Reproductive rights, fertility intentions and socially embedded preferences6

5.5. The relationship between fertility, contraception and abortion

5.6. Conclusion: the role of national policies in Bangladesh and Pakistan

5.7. References

6. Mortality and Health, the Factors Involved in Population Dynamics

6.1. Introduction

6.2. Mortality around the world: deep inequalities

6.2.1. The decrease in mortality

6.2.2. Current disparities

6.2.3. The health of populations: a double burden of disease in developing countries

6.2.3.1. The burden of infectious diseases

6.2.3.2. The rise of chronic diseases

6.3. Children’s and female mortality

6.3.1. Infant and child mortality and health: a diversified evolution

6.3.2. Maternal mortality: too high in the developing world

6.4. Conclusion

6.5. References

7. Dynamics of Migration History in Western Europe

7.1. Introduction

7.2. Migrations in preindustrial times (1650–1750) 7.2.1. The character of the age

7.2.2. Migration in the preindustrial countryside

7.2.3 Migration to the preindustrial city

7.3. Migration in the age of early industry (1750–1815)

7.3.1. Character of the age

7.3.2. Early industry and migration

7.3.3. The expansion of circular and chain migration

7.3.4. Migration to 18th-century towns and cities

7.4. Migration in an age of urbanization and industrialization (1815–1914)

7.4.1. The character of the age

7.4.2. Changing patterns of circular migration

7.4.3. Migration and urbanization (1815–1915)

7.4.4. Transoceanic migrations (1815–1914)

7.5. European migration in the 20th century

7.5.1. The character of the age

7.5.2. Wartime and interwar migrations

7.5.3. Post-war urbanization and international migration

7.6. References

8. Current International Migrations1

8.1. Introduction

8.2. Migration flows and migration stocks. 8.2.1. Review of the last 25 years

8.2.2. Origins and destinations of major migration flows

8.2.3. The major migratory corridors

8.2.4. Migration trends and the Covid-19 virus

8.3. Emigration of HQ workforce from developing countries

8.3.1. Recent trends

8.3.2. The main countries of origin

8.3.3. The emigration rate of the HQ workforce: a relevant indicator for measuring brain drain

8.4. Theoretical perspectives

8.4.1. Brain drain or brain gain?

8.4.2. The new economics of labor migrations and the brain drain

8.5. Conclusion: HQ emigration, a growth engine for human capital?

8.6. References

9. Aging

9.1. Introduction

9.2. The aging of the world population: a demographic revolution

9.2.1. The demographic dynamics of aging

9.2.2. The causes of aging

9.2.3. Main consequences and implications

9.3. A strong heterogeneity in aging and its consequences

9.3.1. Aging by region

9.3.2. Diversified social and economic issues depending on the country

9.4. Responding to population aging: three case studies

9.4.1. The health system in the face of aging in Cuba

9.4.2. The “Age-Friendly Cities” program, with a focus on southern countries

9.4.3. Living conditions of the elderly in rural sub-Saharan Africa

9.5. Conclusion

9.6. References

Conclusion. Complex Relationships Between Demographic Dynamics and Development

C.1. Main lessons drawn from the chapters. C.1.1. The demographic transition

C.1.2. Demographic dividend and dependency ratios

C.1.3. From the demographic dividend to generational economics

C.1.4. Fertility and nuptiality

C.1.5. Contraception and reproductive rights

C.1.6. Mortality and health, the factors involved in population dynamics

C.1.7. Dynamics of migration history in Western Europe

C.1.8. Current international migrations

C.1.9. Aging

C.2. Avoiding two pitfalls

C.3. References

List of Authors

Index. A

B, C

D

E

F

G

H, I

L

M

N

O, P

R

S

T, U

V, W

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Geography and Demography, Field Director – Denise Pumain

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– A transition that started around 1965 in Cuba20 (4.7 children per woman in 1960–1965) and in Chile (4.6 children per woman in 1960–1965) (United Nations 2019a, Fert/4). High education and urbanization made it possible to reduce fertility, reaching 1.9 and 2.6 children per woman in 1980–1985, with a drop of 60% and 40%, respectively. In the second period (1980–2015), the decline continued in these two countries, but at a slower pace (Figure 1.2).

– An accelerated transition that occurred between 1965 and 2015 in Brazil, Colombia, El Salvador, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, Panama, Dominican Republic and Venezuela. In this group of countries, fertility in 1960–1965 oscillated between 6 and 7.4 children per woman, then between 3.5 and 5 children per woman in 1980–1985, and finally, in 2015–2020, between 1.7 and 2.5 children per woman. In Colombia and Costa Rica, the reduction in the total fertility rate was 46% between 1960 and 1985, and greater than 30% in Brazil, Mexico, Panama and Venezuela (United Nations 2019a, Fert/4).

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