Sampling and Estimation from Finite Populations

Sampling and Estimation from Finite Populations
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A much-needed reference on survey sampling and its applications that presents the latest advances in the field Seeking to show that sampling theory is a living discipline with a very broad scope, this book examines the modern development of the theory of survey sampling and the foundations of survey sampling. It offers readers a critical approach to the subject and discusses putting theory into practice. It also explores the treatment of non-sampling errors featuring a range of topics from the problems of coverage to the treatment of non-response. In addition, the book includes real examples, applications, and a large set of exercises with solutions. Sampling and Estimation from Finite Populations begins with a look at the history of survey sampling. It then offers chapters on: population, sample, and estimation; simple and systematic designs; stratification; sampling with unequal probabilities; balanced sampling; cluster and two-stage sampling; and other topics on sampling, such as spatial sampling, coordination in repeated surveys, and multiple survey frames. The book also includes sections on: post-stratification and calibration on marginal totals; calibration estimation; estimation of complex parameters; variance estimation by linearization; and much more. Provides an up-to-date review of the theory of sampling Discusses the foundation of inference in survey sampling, in particular, the model-based and design-based frameworks Reviews the problems of application of the theory into practice Also deals with the treatment of non sampling errors Sampling and Estimation from Finite Populations is an excellent book for methodologists and researchers in survey agencies and advanced undergraduate and graduate students in social science, statistics, and survey courses.

Оглавление

Yves Tille. Sampling and Estimation from Finite Populations

Table of Contents

List of Tables

List of Illustrations

Guide

Pages

WILEY SERIES IN PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

Sampling and Estimation from Finite Populations

Copyright

List of Figures

List of Tables

List of Algorithms

Preface

Preface to the First French Edition

Table of Notations

Chapter 1 A History of Ideas in Survey Sampling Theory. 1.1 Introduction

1.2 Enumerative Statistics During the 19th Century

1.3 Controversy on the use of Partial Data

1.4 Development of a Survey Sampling Theory

1.5 The US Elections of 1936

1.6 The Statistical Theory of Survey Sampling

1.7 Modeling the Population

1.8 Attempt to a Synthesis

1.9 Auxiliary Information

1.10 Recent References and Development

Notes

Chapter 2 Population, Sample, and Estimation. 2.1 Population

2.2 Sample

Definition 2.1

Definition 2.2

Definition 2.3

2.3 Inclusion Probabilities

Result 2.1

Proof:

Result 2.2

Proof:

Example 2.1

2.4 Parameter Estimation

Definition 2.4

Definition 2.5

Definition 2.6

Result 2.3

Proof:

2.5 Estimation of a Total

Result 2.4

Proof:

2.6 Estimation of a Mean

Definition 2.7

2.7 Variance of the Total Estimator

Result 2.5

Proof:

Result 2.6

Proof:

Result 2.7

Proof:

Definition 2.8

2.8 Sampling with Replacement

Exercises

Chapter 3 Simple and Systematic Designs

3.1 Simple Random Sampling without Replacement with Fixed Sample Size. 3.1.1 Sampling Design and Inclusion Probabilities

Definition 3.1

3.1.2 The Expansion Estimator and its Variance

Result 3.1

Proof:

Result 3.2

Proof:

Result 3.3

Proof:

3.1.3 Comment on the Variance–Covariance Matrix

3.2 Bernoulli Sampling. 3.2.1 Sampling Design and Inclusion Probabilities

Definition 3.2

3.2.2 Estimation

3.3 Simple Random Sampling with Replacement

Result 3.4

Proof:

Result 3.5

Proof:

3.4 Comparison of the Designs with and Without Replacement

3.5 Sampling with Replacement and Retaining Distinct Units. 3.5.1 Sample Size and Sampling Design

Result 3.6

Proof:

Result 3.7

Proof:

3.5.2 Inclusion Probabilities and Estimation

Result 3.8

Proof:

Result 3.9

Proof:

3.5.3 Comparison of the Estimators

Result 3.10

Proof:

3.6 Inverse Sampling with Replacement

Example 3.1

3.7 Estimation of Other Functions of Interest. 3.7.1 Estimation of a Count or a Proportion

3.7.2 Estimation of a Ratio

3.8 Determination of the Sample Size

3.9 Implementation of Simple Random Sampling Designs. 3.9.1 Objectives and Principles

3.9.2 Bernoulli Sampling

3.9.3 Successive Drawing of the Units

3.9.4 Random Sorting Method

Result 3.11 (Sunter, 1977) [p. 263]

Proof:

3.9.5 Selection–Rejection Method

Result 3.12

Proof:

3.9.6 The Reservoir Method

Result 3.13 (McLeod & Bellhouse, 1983)

Proof:

3.9.7 Implementation of Simple Random Sampling with Replacement

3.10 Systematic Sampling with Equal Probabilities

3.11 Entropy for Simple and Systematic Designs

3.11.1 Bernoulli Designs and Entropy

Result 3.14

Proof:

Result 3.15

Proof:

3.11.2 Entropy and Simple Random Sampling

Result 3.16

Proof:

3.11.3 General Remarks

Exercises

Chapter 4 Stratification

4.1 Population and Strata

4.2 Sample, Inclusion Probabilities, and Estimation

Definition 4.1

4.3 Simple Stratified Designs

4.4 Stratified Design with Proportional Allocation

Definition 4.2

4.5 Optimal Stratified Design for the Total

Result 4.1

Proof:

Example 4.1

4.6 Notes About Optimality in Stratification

4.7 Power Allocation

4.8 Optimality and Cost

4.9 Smallest Sample Size

4.10 Construction of the Strata. 4.10.1 General Comments

4.10.2 Dividing a Quantitative Variable in Strata

4.11 Stratification Under Many Objectives

Exercises

Chapter 5 Sampling with Unequal Probabilities

5.1 Auxiliary Variables and Inclusion Probabilities

5.2 Calculation of the Inclusion Probabilities

Example 5.1

5.3 General Remarks

5.4 Sampling with Replacement with Unequal Inclusion Probabilities

Result 5.1

Proof:

Result 5.2

Proof:

5.5 Nonvalidity of the Generalization of the Successive Drawing without Replacement

5.6 Systematic Sampling with Unequal Probabilities

Example 5.2

5.7 Deville's Systematic Sampling

5.8 Poisson Sampling

Result 5.3

Proof:

5.9 Maximum Entropy Design

Result 5.4

Proof:

Result 5.5

Proof:

Result 5.6 (Deville, 2000b)

Proof:

5.10 Rao–Sampford Rejective Procedure

Result 5.7

5.11 Order Sampling

5.12 Splitting Method. 5.12.1 General Principles

5.12.2 Minimum Support Design

Definition 5.1

Example 5.3

5.12.3 Decomposition into Simple Random Sampling Designs

Example 5.4

5.12.4 Pivotal Method

5.12.5 Brewer Method

Result 5.8

Proof:

5.13 Choice of Method

Result 5.9

Proof

5.14 Variance Approximation

5.15 Variance Estimation

Exercises

Chapter 6 Balanced Sampling. 6.1 Introduction

6.2 Balanced Sampling: Definition

Definition 6.1

Example 6.1

Example 6.2

Example 6.3

6.3 Balanced Sampling and Linear Programming

Result 6.1

Proof:

6.4 Balanced Sampling by Systematic Sampling

6.5 Methode of Deville, Grosbras, and Roth

6.6 Cube Method. 6.6.1 Representation of a Sampling Design in the form of a Cube

6.6.2 Constraint Subspace

Example 6.4

6.6.3 Representation of the Rounding Problem

Example 6.5

Example 6.6

Definition 6.2

Definition 6.3

Definition 6.4

Result 6.2

Proof:

6.6.4 Principle of the Cube Method

6.6.5 The Flight Phase

6.6.6 Landing Phase by Linear Programming

Definition 6.5

6.6.7 Choice of the Cost Function

Result 6.3

Proof:

6.6.8 Landing Phase by Relaxing Variables

6.6.9 Quality of Balancing

Result 6.4

Proof:

6.6.10 An Example

6.7 Variance Approximation

6.8 Variance Estimation

6.9 Special Cases of Balanced Sampling

6.10 Practical Aspects of Balanced Sampling

Exercise

Chapter 7 Cluster and Two‐stage Sampling

7.1 Cluster Sampling

7.1.1 Notation and Definitions

7.1.2 Cluster Sampling with Equal Probabilities

7.1.3 Sampling Proportional to Size

7.2 Two‐stage Sampling

7.2.1 Population, Primary, and Secondary Units

7.2.2 The Expansion Estimator and its Variance

Result 7.1

Proof:

Result 7.2

Proof:

Result 7.3

Proof:

7.2.3 Sampling with Equal Probability

7.2.4 Self‐weighting Two‐stage Design

7.3 Multi‐stage Designs

7.4 Selecting Primary Units with Replacement

Result 7.4

Proof:

Result 7.5

Proof:

7.5 Two‐phase Designs. 7.5.1 Design and Estimation

Example 7.1

7.5.2 Variance and Variance Estimation

Result 7.6

Proof:

7.6 Intersection of Two Independent Samples

Exercises

Chapter 8 Other Topics on Sampling. 8.1 Spatial Sampling. 8.1.1 The Problem

8.1.2 Generalized Random Tessellation Stratified Sampling

8.1.3 Using the Traveling Salesman Method

8.1.4 The Local Pivotal Method

8.1.5 The Local Cube Method

8.1.6 Measures of Spread

8.2 Coordination in Repeated Surveys. 8.2.1 The Problem

8.2.2 Population, Sample, and Sample Design

Result 8.1

Proof:

8.2.3 Sample Coordination and Response Burden. Definition 8.1

Definition 8.2

8.2.4 Poisson Method with Permanent Random Numbers

8.2.5 Kish and Scott Method for Stratified Samples

8.2.6 The Cotton and Hesse Method

8.2.7 The Rivière Method

8.2.8 The Netherlands Method

8.2.9 The Swiss Method

8.2.10 Coordinating Unequal Probability Designs with Fixed Size

8.2.11 Remarks

8.3 Multiple Survey Frames. 8.3.1 Introduction

Example 8.1

Example 8.2

8.3.2 Calculating Inclusion Probabilities

8.3.3 Using Inclusion Probability Sums

Result 8.2

Proof:

8.3.4 Using a Multiplicity Variable

Result 8.3

Proof:

8.3.5 Using a Weighted Multiplicity Variable

8.3.6 Remarks

8.4 Indirect Sampling. 8.4.1 Introduction

Example 8.3

Example 8.4

Example 8.5

Example 8.6

8.4.2 Adaptive Sampling

8.4.3 Snowball Sampling

8.4.4 Indirect Sampling

8.4.5 The Generalized Weight Sharing Method

Result 8.4

Proof:

8.5 Capture–Recapture

Example 8.7

Chapter 9 Estimation with a Quantitative Auxiliary Variable

9.1 The Problem

Definition 9.1

9.2 Ratio Estimator. 9.2.1 Motivation and Definition

9.2.2 Approximate Bias of the Ratio Estimator

9.2.3 Approximate Variance of the Ratio Estimator

9.2.4 Bias Ratio

9.2.5 Ratio and Stratified Designs

9.3 The Difference Estimator

9.4 Estimation by Regression

9.5 The Optimal Regression Estimator

9.6 Discussion of the Three Estimation Methods

Exercises

Chapter 10 Post‐Stratification and Calibration on Marginal Totals. 10.1 Introduction

10.2 Post‐Stratification. 10.2.1 Notation and Definitions

10.2.2 Post‐Stratified Estimator

10.3 The Post‐Stratified Estimator in Simple Designs. 10.3.1 Estimator

10.3.2 Conditioning in a Simple Design

Result 10.1

Proof:

10.3.3 Properties of the Estimator in a Simple Design

10.4 Estimation by Calibration on Marginal Totals

10.4.1 The Problem

10.4.2 Calibration on Marginal Totals

10.4.3 Calibration and Kullback–Leibler Divergence

10.4.4 Raking Ratio Estimation

10.5 Example

Exercises

Chapter 11 Multiple Regression Estimation. 11.1 Introduction

Definition 11.1

11.2 Multiple Regression Estimator

11.3 Alternative Forms of the Estimator. 11.3.1 Homogeneous Linear Estimator

11.3.2 Projective Form

Result 11.1

Proof:

11.3.3 Cosmetic Form

Result 11.2

Proof:

11.4 Calibration of the Multiple Regression Estimator

11.5 Variance of the Multiple Regression Estimator

11.6 Choice of Weights

11.7 Special Cases

11.7.1 Ratio Estimator

11.7.2 Post‐stratified Estimator

11.7.3 Regression Estimation with a Single Explanatory Variable

11.7.4 Optimal Regression Estimator

11.7.5 Conditional Estimation

Result 11.3

Proof:

11.8 Extension to Regression Estimation

Exercise

Chapter 12 Calibration Estimation. 12.1 Calibrated Methods

12.2 Distances and Calibration Functions. 12.2.1 The Linear Method

12.2.2 The Raking Ratio Method

12.2.3 Pseudo Empirical Likelihood

12.2.4 Reverse Information

12.2.5 The Truncated Linear Method

12.2.6 General Pseudo‐Distance

12.2.7 The Logistic Method

12.2.8 Deville Calibration Function

12.2.9 Roy and Vanheuverzwyn Method

12.3 Solving Calibration Equations

12.3.1 Solving by Newton's Method

12.3.2 Bound Management

12.3.3 Improper Calibration Functions

12.3.4 Existence of a Solution

12.4 Calibrating on Households and Individuals

12.5 Generalized Calibration. 12.5.1 Calibration Equations

12.5.2 Linear Calibration Functions

Remark 12.1

12.6 Calibration in Practice

12.7 An Example

Exercises

Chapter 13 Model‐Based approach. 13.1 Model Approach

13.2 The Model

Result 13.1

Proof:

Result 13.2

Proof:

Result 13.3

Proof:

13.3 Homoscedastic Constant Model

Result 13.4

Proof:

13.4 Heteroscedastic Model 1 Without Intercept

Result 13.5

Proof:

13.5 Heteroscedastic Model 2 Without Intercept

Result 13.6

Proof:

13.6 Univariate Homoscedastic Linear Model

Result 13.7

Proof:

13.7 Stratified Population

13.8 Simplified Versions of the Optimal Estimator

Definition 13.1

Result 13.8

Proof:

Result 13.9

Proof:

13.9 Completed Heteroscedasticity Model

13.10 Discussion

13.11 An Approach that is Both Model‐ and Design‐based

Result 13.10

Proof:

Result 13.11

Proof:

Chapter 14 Estimation of Complex Parameters. 14.1 Estimation of a Function of Totals

Example 14.1

Example 14.2

14.2 Variance Estimation

14.3 Covariance Estimation

14.4 Implicit Function Estimation

Example 14.3

14.5 Cumulative Distribution Function and Quantiles. 14.5.1 Cumulative Distribution Function Estimation

14.5.2 Quantile Estimation: Method 1

Example 14.4

14.5.3 Quantile Estimation: Method 2

Example 14.5

14.5.4 Quantile Estimation: Method 3

Example 14.6

14.5.5 Quantile Estimation: Method 4

14.6 Cumulative Income, Lorenz Curve, and Quintile Share Ratio. 14.6.1 Cumulative Income Estimation

14.6.2 Lorenz Curve Estimation

14.6.3 Quintile Share Ratio Estimation

14.7 Gini Index

Result 14.1

Proof:

Result 14.2

Proof:

14.8 An Example

Chapter 15 Variance Estimation by Linearization. 15.1 Introduction

15.2 Orders of Magnitude in Probability

Definition 15.1

Definition 15.2

Definition 15.3

Definition 15.4

Definition 15.5

Result 15.1

Proof:

Result 15.2

Theorem 15.1

Proof:

Result 15.3

Proof:

Result 15.4

Proof:

Example 15.1

Result 15.5

Proof:

Result 15.6

Proof:

15.3 Asymptotic Hypotheses

Definition 15.6

Definition 15.7

15.3.1 Linearizing a Function of Totals

Result 15.7

Proof:

15.3.2 Variance Estimation

15.4 Linearization of Functions of Interest

15.4.1 Linearization of a Ratio

15.4.2 Linearization of a Ratio Estimator

15.4.3 Linearization of a Geometric Mean

15.4.4 Linearization of a Variance

15.4.5 Linearization of a Covariance

15.4.6 Linearization of a Vector of Regression Coefficients

15.5 Linearization by Steps

15.5.1 Decomposition of Linearization by Steps

Example 15.2

15.5.2 Linearization of a Regression Coefficient

15.5.3 Linearization of a Univariate Regression Estimator

15.5.4 Linearization of a Multiple Regression Estimator

15.6 Linearization of an Implicit Function of Interest. 15.6.1 Estimating Equation and Implicit Function of Interest

Example 15.3

15.6.2 Linearization of a Logistic Regression Coefficient

15.6.3 Linearization of a Calibration Equation Parameter

15.6.4 Linearization of a Calibrated Estimator

15.7 Influence Function Approach. 15.7.1 Function of Interest, Functional

15.7.2 Definition

15.7.3 Linearization of a Total. Result 15.8

15.7.4 Linearization of a Function of Totals

Result 15.9

Proof:

Example 15.4

Example 15.5

Example 15.6

15.7.5 Linearization of Sums and Products. Result 15.10

Proof:

Result 15.11

Proof:

15.7.6 Linearization by Steps

Result 15.12

Proof:

15.7.7 Linearization of a Parameter Defined by an Implicit Function

Result 15.13

Proof:

Example 15.7

15.7.8 Linearization of a Double Sum

Result 15.14

Proof:

Example 15.8

Example 15.9

15.8 Binder's Cookbook Approach

Example 15.10

15.9 Demnati and Rao Approach

Example 15.11

Example 15.12

Result 15.15

Proof:

15.10 Linearization by the Sample Indicator Variables. 15.10.1 The Method

Example 15.13

Example 15.14

Example 15.15

Example 15.16

Example 15.17

15.10.2 Linearization of a Quantile

15.10.3 Linearization of a Calibrated Estimator

Result 15.16

Proof:

15.10.4 Linearization of a Multiple Regression Estimator

15.10.5 Linearization of an Estimator of a Complex Function with Calibrated Weights

Result 15.17

Proof:

15.10.6 Linearization of the Gini Index

15.11 Discussion on Variance Estimation

Exercises

Chapter 16 Treatment of Nonresponse

16.1 Sources of Error

16.2 Coverage Errors

16.3 Different Types of Nonresponse

16.4 Nonresponse Modeling

16.5 Treating Nonresponse by Reweighting. 16.5.1 Nonresponse Coming from a Sample

16.5.2 Modeling the Nonresponse Mechanism

16.5.3 Direct Calibration of Nonresponse

Example 16.1

16.5.4 Reweighting by Generalized Calibration

16.6 Imputation. 16.6.1 General Principles

16.6.2 Imputing From an Existing Value

16.6.3 Imputation by Prediction

16.6.4 Link Between Regression Imputation and Reweighting

Result 16.1

Proof:

Example 16.2

16.6.5 Random Imputation

16.7 Variance Estimation with Nonresponse. 16.7.1 General Principles

16.7.2 Estimation by Direct Calibration

Result 16.2

Proof:

16.7.3 General Case

16.7.4 Variance for Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Result 16.3

Proof:

Result 16.4

Proof:

Example 16.3

16.7.5 Variance for Estimation by Calibration

Result 16.5

Proof:

Result 16.6

Proof:

16.7.6 Variance of an Estimator Imputed by Regression

16.7.7 Other Variance Estimation Techniques

Chapter 17 Summary Solutions to the Exercises

Bibliography

Author Index

Subject Index

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Editors: Noel Cressie, Garrett Fitzmaurice, David Balding, Geert Molenberghs, Geof Givens, Harvey Goldstein, David Scott, Adrian Smith, Ruey Tsay.

.....

the bias of the estimator is

The bias is zero if and only if for all

.....

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