Читать книгу America's Great-Power Opportunity - Allison Graham, Ali Wyne - Страница 15

1 1. Though “Indo-Pacific” has largely displaced “Asia-Pacific” in US foreign policy discourse, there are analytical—and, it follows, prescriptive—risks to adopting this more capacious construct. See Van Jackson, “America’s Indo-Pacific Folly: Adding New Commitments in Asia Will Only Invite Disaster,” Foreign Affairs (March 12, 2021).

2 2. Danielle Pletka et al., “What Went Wrong in Afghanistan?” Wall Street Journal (August 20, 2021).

3 3. Jessica T. Mathews, “American Power after Afghanistan: How to Rightsize the Country’s Global Role,” Foreign Affairs (September 17, 2021).

4 4. “Come Home, America?” Foreign Affairs, 99.2 (March–April 2020).

5 5. For a fresh, wide-ranging reconceptualization of the factors that have historically shaped US grand strategy, see Elizabeth Borgwardt, Christopher McKnight Nichols, and Andrew Preston (eds.), Rethinking American Grand Strategy (New York: Oxford University Press, 2021).

6 6. Daniel W. Drezner, Ronald R. Krebs, and Randall Schweller, “The End of Grand Strategy: America Must Think Small,” Foreign Affairs, 99.3 (May–June 2020), p. 108.

7 7. Francis J. Gavin and James B. Steinberg, “The Vision Thing: Is Grand Strategy Dead?” Foreign Affairs, 99.4 (July–August 2020), pp. 187–91.

8 8. Rebecca Friedman Lissner, “What Is Grand Strategy? Sweeping a Conceptual Minefield,” Texas National Security Review, 2.1 (November 2018), p. 57.

9 9. Van Jackson, “Wagering on a Progressive versus Liberal Theory of National Security,” Texas National Security Review, 2.1 (November 2018), p. 179.

10 10. Colin Dueck, “The Future of Conservative Foreign Policy,” Texas National Security Review, 2.1 (November 2018), p. 171.

11 11. Alex Pascal, “Against Washington’s ‘Great Power’ Obsession,” Atlantic (September 23, 2019).

12 12. James Kitfield, “New Arms Race Taking Shape amid a Pandemic and Economic Crisis: What Could Go Wrong?” Yahoo! News. June 6, 2020.

13 13. President George H. W. Bush, “Address before a Joint Session of the Congress on the Persian Gulf Crisis and the Federal Budget Deficit,” Washington, DC. September 11, 1990. Transcript. https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/address-before-joint-session-the-congress-the-persian-gulf-crisis-and-the-federal-budget.

14 14. President George H. W. Bush, National Security Strategy of the United States (Washington, DC: White House, 1991), p. v.

15 15. President George H. W. Bush, State of the Union address, Washington, DC. January 28, 1992. Transcript. https://millercenter.org/the-presidency/presidential-speeches/january-28-1992-state-union-address.

16 16. John E. Ullmann, “Who Won Cold War? Japanese and Germans,” New York Times (July 3, 1990).

17 17. John J. Mearsheimer, “Why We Will Soon Miss the Cold War,” Atlantic, 266.2 (August 1990), p. 36.

18 18. Douglas Jehl, “CIA Nominee Wary of Budget Cuts,” New York Times (February 3, 1993).

19 19. Robert D. Kaplan, “The Coming Anarchy,” Atlantic, 273.2 (February 1994), p. 46.

20 20. Charles William Maynes, “America without the Cold War,” Foreign Policy, 78 (1990), p. 5.

21 21. George F. Kennan, “The Failure in Our Success,” New York Times (March 14, 1994).

22 22. Robert B. Reich, “Is Japan Out to Get Us?” New York Times (February 9, 1992).

23 23. Samuel P. Huntington, “The Erosion of American National Interests,” Foreign Affairs, 76.5 (September–October 1997), pp. 29–30.

24 24. Josef Joffe, “America the Inescapable,” New York Times (June 8, 1997).

25 25. Richard N. Haass, “What to Do with American Primacy,” Foreign Affairs, 78.5 (September–October 1999), p. 37.

26 26. President George W. Bush, State of the Union address, Washington, DC. January 29, 2002. Transcript. https://millercenter.org/the-presidency/presidential-speeches/january-29-2002-state-union-address.

27 27. Vice President Dick Cheney, speech delivered at the Los Angeles World Affairs Council, Beverly Hills, CA. January 14, 2004. Transcript. https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2004/01/20040114-7.html.

28 28. Senator Barack Obama, The Audacity of Hope: Thoughts on Reclaiming the American Dream (New York: Crown Publishers, 2006), pp. 304–6.

29 29. Richard Haass, testimony before the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee at the hearing United States–China Relations in the Era of Globalization, Washington, DC. May 15, 2008. Transcript. https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/CHRG-110shrg48013/html/CHRG-110shrg48013.htm.

30 30. Robert Kagan, “The September 12 Paradigm: America, the World, and George W. Bush,” Foreign Affairs, 87.5 (September–October 2008), pp. 32–3.

31 31. Michael Kofman, “The August War, Ten Years on: A Retrospective on the Russo-Georgian War,” War on the Rocks. August 17, 2018.

32 32. Daniel W. Drezner, The System Worked: How the World Stopped Another Great Depression (New York: Oxford University Press, 2014), p. 14.

33 33. Thomas Donilon, press briefing at the White House, Washington, DC. June 8, 2013. Transcript. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2013/06/08/press-briefing-national-security-advisor-tom-donilon.

34 34. Ronald O’Rourke, Renewed Great-Power Competition: Implications for Defense: Issues for Congress (Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service, 2021), p. 25.

35 35. Anders Fogh Rasmussen, “A Strong NATO in a Changed World,” speech at the Brussels Forum, Brussels. March 21, 2014. Transcript. https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/opinions_108215.htm.

36 36. Walter Russell Mead, “The Return of Geopolitics: The Revenge of the Revisionist Powers,” Foreign Affairs, 93.3 (May–June 2014), pp. 73–4.

37 37. Chris Buckley, “China Takes Aim at Western Ideas,” New York Times (August 20, 2013).

38 38. Jane Perlez, “China’s ‘New Type’ of Ties Fails to Sway Obama,” New York Times (November 10, 2014).

39 39. “China’s Xi to Make First State Visit to US as Both Flag Problems,” Reuters. February 11, 2015.

40 40. Robert D. Blackwill and Ashley J. Tellis, Revising US Grand Strategy toward China (New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 2015), pp. 4, 20, 35, and 39.

41 41. Seth G. Jones et al., Rolling Back the Islamic State (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2017), p. xi.

42 42. Deputy Secretary of Defense Robert Work, speech delivered at the Center for a New American Security’s Inaugural National Security Forum, Washington, DC. December 14, 2015. Transcript. https://www.defense.gov/Newsroom/Speeches/Speech/Article/634214/cnas-defense-forum.

43 43. John M. Richardson, A Design for Maintaining Maritime Superiority, Version 1.0 (Washington, DC: Navy, 2016), p. 3.

44 44. Ash Carter, speech delivered at the Economic Club of Washington, DC. February 2, 2016. Transcript. https://www.defense.gov/Newsroom/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/648901/remarks-by-secretary-carter-on-the-budget-at-the-economic-club-of-washington-dc.

45 45. Josh Rogin, “The Pentagon’s Lonely War against Russia and China,” Bloomberg. November 11, 2015.

46 46. David B. Larter, “White House Tells the Pentagon to Quit Talking about ‘Competition’ with China,” Navy Times (September 26, 2016).

47 47. President Donald J. Trump, inaugural address, Washington, DC. January 20, 2017. Transcript. https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefings-statements/the-inaugural-address.

48 48. H. R. McMaster and Gary Cohn, “America First Doesn’t Mean America Alone,” Wall Street Journal (May 30, 2017).

49 49. Donald J. Trump, speech delivered at the 72nd session of the UN General Assembly, New York. September 19, 2017. Transcript. https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-president-trump-72nd-session-united-nations-general-assembly.

50 50. Donald J. Trump, National Security Strategy of the United States (Washington, DC: White House, 2017), pp. 27 and 25.

51 51. Jim Mattis, “Summary of the 2018 National Defense Strategy of the United States of America,” Department of Defense. 2018, p. 4. https://dod.defense.gov/Portals/1/Documents/pubs/2018-National-Defense-Strategy-Summary.pdf.

52 52. Sarah Repucci and Amy Slipowitz, Freedom in the World 2021: Democracy under Siege (Washington, DC: Freedom House, 2021), pp. 2 and 4.

53 53. Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Erica Frantz, and Joseph Wright, “The Digital Dictators: How Technology Strengthens Autocracy,” Foreign Affairs, 99.2 (March–April 2020), p. 112.

54 54. Elisabeth Vallet, “Border Walls Are Ineffective, Costly, and Fatal—But We Keep Building Them,” Conversation (July 3, 2017).

55 55. Jan-Werner Müller, “False Flags: The Myth of the Nationalist Resurgence,” Foreign Affairs, 98.2 (March–April 2019), p. 35.

56 56. Condoleezza Rice, “Promoting the National Interest,” Foreign Affairs, 79.1 (January–February 2000), p. 47.

57 57. Amy Zegart, “The Urgent Race for Bigger Foreign-Policy Ideas,” Atlantic (January 13, 2020).

58 58. Matthew Kroenig, “Washington Needs a Better Plan for Competing with China,” Foreign Policy (August 7, 2020).

59 59. Telegram from Chargé d’Affaires in Moscow George F. Kennan to Secretary of State James F. Byrnes. February 22, 1946, p. 17. Transcript. https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/116178.pdf.

60 60. Henry Farrell and Abraham Newman, “Will the Coronavirus End Globalization as We Know It? The Pandemic Is Exposing Market Vulnerabilities No One Knew Existed,” Foreign Affairs (March 16, 2020).

61 61. Samuel P. Huntington, “The US: Decline or Renewal?” Foreign Affairs, 67.2 (1988–9), p. 90.

62 62. “America the Confused: An Interview with Michèle Flournoy,” Octavian Report, 4.4 (2019).

63 63. Damien Cave and Isabella Kwai, “Lesser Powers Link Up to Fill a Global Void,” New York Times (May 12, 2020).

64 64. “COVID-19 Dashboard,” Johns Hopkins University. 2021. https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html.

65 65. “COVID-19 Vaccinations in the United States,” Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2021. https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations_vacc-total-admin-rate-total.

66 66. “Coronavirus (COVID-19) Vaccinations,” Our World in Data. December 10, 2021. https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations; Olivia Goldhill, “States Are Sitting on Millions of Surplus COVID-19 Vaccine Doses as Expiration Dates Approach,” STAT. July 20, 2021. https://www.statnews.com/2021/07/20/states-are-sitting-on-millions-of-surplus-covid-19-vaccine-doses-as-expiration-dates-approach.

67 67. Sue Halpern, “The Peril of Not Vaccinating the World,” New Yorker (June 3, 2021).