Foxy Futurists and how to become one

Foxy Futurists and how to become one
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What do you call people who are vaguely right about the future, but seldom precisely wrong? Foxy futurists. In the latest addition to this top-selling series of books, Clem Sunter explores the methodology of foxy futurists as well as their propensity to turn their thoughts into action. This book is a collection of his most recent columns, covering topics of general interest, updated and annotated with new insights by this master strategist. It includes possible paths the global economy and South Africa might follow in the years ahead. Packed full of wit and wisdom, Foxy Futurists is a guide to survival and success in these volatile and uncertain times.

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Clem Sunter. Foxy Futurists and how to become one

Introduction

Foxy futurists

Lessons from Munich

The global flags

South Africa: A good place to be

The X factor

Beyond reasonable greed

Was Michael Jackson a hero?

The sound of silence

All eyes on Copenhagen

The beauty of round numbers

A three horse race

“Dear Mr Cele . . .”

Angry blogwash

Bye bye baby boomers

The sweetest thing

Another day in paradise

Neocommunism

The New Illuminati

The lion has ceased to roar

The illusion of Chindia

Displacing the penguins

When Obama met Nash

Hedgehogs and foxes

Breaking futures 2010

The Icarus scenario

Darwinomics

Portrait of a winning nation

Crouching tiger, stripy fox

Boom, bloat, bust

Filling potholes

The economic liberation of Afrikaners

The legacy of Tom Hark

Who wants to be a millionaire?

The Dinokeng scenarios

A smack from Mother Nature

The Clegg phenomenon

Who will champion the entrepreneurs?

True Blue

The Eish U!

A glimpse of what can be

Spinning out of control

Slaves of our passion

Silver foxes

Global scenario update

What is it about Benoni?

Yes we did!

The real class war

The quick and the dead

Public speaking 101

How to get paid

Why CEOs fail

Lehman Sisters

When foxes become wolves

Starting with the mealie lady

Toward a culture of entrepreneurship

Manners makyth man

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Foxy futurists & how to become one

Clem Sunter

.....

We therefore accord this scenario a 60% probability despite no clearly visible positive signs. Some of you reading this article may vote for a lower figure, but this is the whole point of our methodology – to get people debating not only the selection of the flags but also their estimate of each scenario’s probability.

The second exit from Hard Times is a much more sinister scenario called Perfect Storm, which is also depicted on the above gameboard. It is a protracted recession or depression resembling a ‘U’ rather than a ‘V’.

.....

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