Оглавление
Clem Sunter. Flagwatching
About the layout
Dedication
Chapter 1. From scenario planning. to flagwatching
The history of the High Road
The big ‘however’
Three game-changing encounters
Enter the fox
The foxy matrix
9/11 and all that
The Socratic Method
Premonition of a downturn
The Business Gameboard
The curse of size
A formula for longevity
The uncertainty of being
The widespread practice of flagwatching
Connecting flags to scenarios
The foxy switch
Events, trends and scenarios
Clockwork and cloudy flags
An alternative foxy matrix
The new model in action
Chapter 2. The global flags
The religious flag
7/7 in London
Sunni and Shia
Worst, best and middle case scenarios
The red flag
Russians and Americans
Revisiting nuclear game theory
The grey flag
A steady state economy
China’s bulge and Africa’s youth
The anti-establishment flag
The underbelly of La Belle Époque
Patrimonial capitalism
The next middle class revolution
The green flag
A change of tune
California dreaming now a nightmare
The national debt flag
A Greek odyssey
The misnomer of contagion
The world of work flag
The age of entrepreneurship
The porous border flag
The Interpol perspective
The refugee argument
Implication for South Africa
Cybercrime and cyberterrorism
A collection of ten mining flags
The pandemic flag
The internet and cellular flag
The electronic headlines
The entrepreneur’s paradise
The lifestyle and leisure flag
The changing world of sport
The global scenarios
Hard Times
New Balls Please
Ultraviolet
Forked Lightning
The intuitive probabilities
Chapter 3. The South African flags and scenarios
Education
Work ethic
Mobilisation of capital
Dual-logic economy
Social harmony
Global player
The eight South African flags
Corruption and crime
Quality of infrastructure
Style of leadership
Pockets of excellence
Entrepreneurial spark
Independence of judiciary and other institutions
Nationalisation
Land ownership
The South African scenarios
Premier League
Second Division
Failed State
The intuitive probabilities
Conclusion
Acknowledgements
About the Book
About the Author
Other Publications by Clem Sunter
Other Titles by Clem Sunter Available in E-book Format
