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Table of Contents

Concerning Economic Prediction: An Introduction

I: Why Trends Are Important

II: Patterns in Growth of Orgamisms

III: The Growth Trend in Our Basic Industries

IV: Trends in Some Other Industries

V: Some Rhythmic Cycles in Natural Phenomena

VI: The 54-Year Rhythm

VII: The 9-Year Rhythm

VIII: The 3½-Year Rhythm

IX: The 18-Year Rhythm

X: Causes, Correlations, Conjectures

XI: Analysis and Synthesis

XII: Timing a Business

XIII: Avoiding Some Economic Illusions

XIV: War and Its Dislocations

XV: Postwar Trends

XVI: Postwar Rhythms

Appendices

Appendix I: The Ratio Scale

Appendix II: Moving Averages

Appendix III: The Section Moving Average