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Contents

Quo vadis banking?

Background

Approach

The valuation of banks – a special case

The valuation of a bank is not a simple corporate valuation

Consequences for valuation

Valuation approaches and their suitability

The challenge of forecasting

Capitalized earnings approach

Equity and return

The cost of equity

Forecasting future net cash flows

Market approaches

Price-to-earnings ratio

Price-to-book ratio

The valuation of banking business areas

Consumer banking

Investment banking

Summary and outlook

Banking business models

Value creation and business model

The banking value creation model

Trends in banking

Outsourcing of the banking value chain

The role of FinTechs in banking taking the example of the neo-banks

Acquisition of growth and know-how

The goal of achieving a competitive advantage

Attractiveness of sector

Excursion:

The relative competitive position

Excursion:

The evaluation of (bank) strategies

Evaluation criteria

Evaluation approaches

Summary and outlook

Strategy and competition

Market attractiveness taking the German banking market as an example

The transformation of banking business

German banks in competition

The opportunity and risk profile

The competitive situation – case studies

Commerzbank

The bank as a whole

Business areas

Deutsche Bank

The bank as a whole

Business areas (divisions)

Summary and outlook

Value creation analysis – case studies

Survey-based value creation analysis

Background and methodology

Empirical results

Part I.

Intensity of competition – Threat to competitive position

Part II.

The relationship between customers and banks – competitive advantage

Part III.

Future prospects – with reference to the standard banking business case, branch business

Market-based value creation analysis

Market development

Commerzbank

Deutsche Bank

Earnings situation

Summary and outlook

Conclusion

Appendix: Questionnaire

End notes

Banking in Crisis

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