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1 – Budget sizing: Combine multiple lenses to right-size your marketing budget
How to drive marketing performance with fact-based budget sizing
ОглавлениеA few years ago, an electronics retailer embarked on a radical experiment. For an entire month, the company cut its ad spend by 60 percent. It was a top-management decision, just to see what would happen. Revenues plummeted. Store managers felt betrayed by the corporate centre, and their motivation dropped to an all-time low. But while the experiment substantiates the direct sales impact of advertising, it doesn't say much about the appropriate budget level. Indeed, 40 percent of last year's budget may be too little, but how much is enough?
Cause-and-effect relationships between the marketing budget level and market success are notoriously difficult to establish. There are simply too many other influencing factors: the creative quality of your campaigns, your mix of marketing instruments (see Chapters 5 and 6), prices, promotions, distribution, weather, seasonality, consumer confidence, competitors, financial markets. In light of this complexity, no tool or algorithm can give you the right budget level at the push of a button.5 Historic relations between cause and effect should not be the only driver of sizing decisions anyway. Your company's objectives for the future and your own perception of market dynamics are equally important. Instead, we propose a multi-lens approach to budgeting that is both systematic and pragmatic. It starts with transparency creation and moves on to combine three perspectives on overall budget size (Exhibit 1.1).6
Exhibit 1.1 Five elements of budget sizing.
Source: McKinsey
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Advanced analytical approaches are required to control for external factors and isolate the business impact of marketing investments. See Chapter 6 for details.
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The main section of this chapter is based on Tobias Karmann et al., “Budget sizing,” pp. 117–128, in Retail Marketing and Branding – A Definitive Guide to Maximizing Marketing ROI, by Jesko Perrey and Dennis Spillecke, Second Edition, John Wiley & Sons, 2013.