Читать книгу Extreme Events and Climate Change - Группа авторов - Страница 2

1  Cover

2  Title Page

3  Copyright Page

4  Contributors

5  Preface REFERENCES

6  Acknowledgments

7  1 Synthesizing Observed Impacts of Extreme Weather Events Across Systems 1.1. A REASON FOR CONCERN 1.2. OF TRUTHS AND TRIVIALITIES 1.3. SYNTHESIZING ACROSS EVERYTHING 1.4. IMPLICATIONS FOR THE FUTURE REFERENCES

8  2 The Impact of Heat Waves on Agricultural Labor Productivity and Output 2.1. CALIFORNIA AGRICULTURE 2.2. EXTREME EVENTS AND CLIMATE CHANGE: HEAT INDEX 2.3. HEAT WAVES AND AGRICULTURAL LABOR 2.4. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK 2.5. DATA SOURCES AND DESCRIPTION 2.6. EMPIRICAL ESTIMATION AND RESULTS 2.7. CONCLUSIONS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS APPENDIX 2.1 REFERENCES

9  3 Weather Extremes That Affect Various Agricultural Commodities 3.1. INTRODUCTION 3.2. COMMIDITY GROUPINGS 3.3. CONCLUSIONS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS REFERENCES

10  4 Economics of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture 4.1. INTRODUCTION 4.2. LAND ALLOCATION BEFORE CLIMATE CHANGE 4.3. CROP MIGRATION AFTER CLIMATE CHANGE 4.4. WELFARE IMPLICATIONS 4.5. CONCLUSION APPENDIX A REFERENCES

11  5 Agricultural Losses in a Telecoupled World 5.1. INTRODUCTION 5.2. BACKGROUND 5.3. MODELING IMPACTS OF BREADBASKET FAILURES 5.4. RESULTS: IMPACTS OF BREADBASKET FAILURE ON GLOBAL LAND USE 5.5. DISCUSSION 5.6. CONCLUSIONS REFERENCES

12  6 Perceptions of Extreme Weather Events and Adaptation Decisions 6.1. INTRODUCTION 6.2. METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH 6.3. RESULTS 6.4. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY‐RELATED IMPLICATIONS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS AND DATA REFERENCES APPENDIX

13  7 Simulation Model Based on Agents for Land Use Change and Cost‐Benefit Analysis of Land Management Policies 7.1. INTRODUCTION 7.2. FORMULATION OF SIMBACUS 7.3. DECISIONS OF THE AGENTS (INDIVIDUALS) 7.4. SIMULATION 7.5. RESULTS 7.6. CONCLUSIONS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS REFERENCES

14  8 Climate Extremes, Political Participation, and Migration Intentions of Farmers 8.1. INTRODUCTION 8.2. LITERATURE REVIEW: EXPERIENCE OF CLIMATE EXTREMES, POLITICAL PARTICIPATION, AND MIGRATION INTENTION 8.3. METHODOLOGY 8.4. ANALYSIS: A MODELING APPROACH TO ASSESS THE RELATIONSHIPS AMONG THE EXPERIENCE OF CLIMATE EXTREMES, POLITICAL PARTICIPATION, AND MIGRATION INTENTIONS 8.5. RESULTS 8.6. DISCUSSION 8.7. CONCLUSION ACKNOWLEDGMENT REFERENCES

15  9 Effects of Extreme Weather Events on Internal Migration in Rural Guatemala 9.1. INTRODUCTION 9.2. DATA 9.3. ECONOMETRIC SPECIFICATION 9.4. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 9.5. CONCLUSIONS REFERENCES

16  10 Extreme Heat Exposure and Occupational Health in a Changing Climate 10.1. INTRODUCTION 10.2. METRICS AND MONITORING USED TO ASSESS OCCUPATIONAL HEAT STRESS 10.3. REPORTS ON HEAT EXPOSURE: LOW‐ AND MIDDLE‐INCOME COUNTRIES (LMICS) 10.4. OCCUPATIONAL HEAT STRESS AND RELATED HEALTH CONCERNS 10.5. WORK CAPACITY, PRODUCTIVITY, AND ECONOMIC IMPACT 10.6. STRATEGIES FOR PREVENTION OF HEAT IMPACTS THROUGH MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE‐RELATED HEAT STRESS IN THE WORKPLACE 10.7. CONCLUSIONS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS, SAMPLES, AND DATA REFERENCES

17  11 Tropical Cyclone Impacts 11.1. INTRODUCTION 11.2. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECASTING 11.3. TROPICAL CYCLONE PHYSICAL IMPACTS 11.4. SOCIETAL IMPACTS FROM TROPICAL CYCLONES 11.5. CONCLUSIONS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS REFERENCES

18  12 On the Relationship Between Heat Waves and Extreme Precipitation in a Warming Climate 12.1. INTRODUCTION 12.2. DATA 12.3. METHODS 12.4. CASE STUDY RESULTS 12.5. FUTURE CLIMATE PROJECTIONS 12.6. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS REFERENCES

19  13 Evaluating Economic Output at Risk to Climate Change 13.1. INTRODUCTION 13.2. LITERATURE REVIEW 13.3. METHODS 13.4. RESULTS 13.5. CLIMATE CHANGE IMPLICATIONS 13.6. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION REFERENCES

20  Index

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