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2.1 Upbets v the Underlying over Time
ОглавлениеThis section discusses time decay and its effect on the price of upbets as time to expiry decreases, ultimately resulting in the profile of Fig 1.2.1.
Fig 2.1.1 shows the profile of upbets with a strike price of $100 and a legend indicating the time to expiry. A unique characteristic of the binary is that, irrespective of whether upbet or downbet or time to expiry, each profile travels through the price 50 when the underlying is at-the-money, i.e. the underlying is exactly the price of the strike. This is because a symmetrical bell-shaped normal probability distribution is assumed so that when the underlying is at-the-money there is a 50:50 chance of the underlying going up or down. This feature of the binary immediately distinguishes it from the conventional option where the at-the-money can take any value.