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9

The New Nationwide Crime Wave

The most pressing question every morning in Baltimore is how many people were shot the previous night. By the end of May 2015, according to Baltimore police, the rate of gun violence for the year had climbed more than 60 percent over the same period in 2014, with 32 shootings over Memorial Day weekend alone. May 2015 was the most violent month the city had seen in 15 years.

Baltimore is just one indicator that the nation’s two-decade-long crime decline may be over. Gun violence, in particular, is spiraling upward in cities across America. In Cleveland, homicides for 2015 increased by 90 percent over the previous year. Through the end of April 2015, shootings in St. Louis were up 39 percent, robberies 43 percent, and homicides 25 percent. Murders in Nashville rose 83 percent in 2015; Milwaukee closed out the year with a 72 percent increase in homicides. Shootings in Chicago had increased 24 percent and homicides 17 percent by May 2015; that surge continued into 2016, with more than 100 Chicagoans shot in the first ten days of the new year, a threefold increase from the same period in 2015. Washington, D.C., ended 2015 with a 54 percent increase in murders; Minneapolis was up 61 percent in homicides. This ongoing crime spike is a stark contrast to the 20-year trend of increasing public safety that continued into the middle of 2014, and cities with large black populations have been hit the hardest.

The most plausible explanation for the surge in lawlessness is the intense agitation against American police departments that began in the summer of 2014. The airwaves filled up with suggestions that the police are the biggest threat facing young black males today, in the wake of a handful of highly publicized deaths of unarmed black men, typically following resistance to arrest—most famously, Eric Garner on Staten Island, New York, in July 2014; Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri, in August 2014; and Freddie Gray in Baltimore in April 2015. In the midst of violent protests and riots, including attacks on the police, President Obama and Attorney General Eric Holder embraced the notion that law enforcement in black communities is infected by bias. The news media have pumped out a seemingly constant stream of stories about alleged police mistreatment of blacks, with the reports often buttressed by cell-phone videos that rarely capture the behavior that caused an officer to use force.

Almost any police shooting of a black person, no matter how threatening the behavior that provoked the shooting, now stirs up angry protests, like those that followed the death of Vonderrit Myers in October 2014. The 18-year-old Myers, awaiting trial on gun and resisting-arrest charges, had fired three shots at an officer at close range in St. Louis. Arrests in black communities have become even more fraught than usual.

The War on Cops

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