Оглавление
Jeffrey A. Hirsch. Stock Trader's Almanac 2021
Table of Contents
Guide
Pages
STOCK TRADER’S ALMANAC 2021
INTRODUCTION TO THE FIFTY-FOURTH EDITION
2021 OUTLOOK
JANUARY’S FIRST FIVE DAYS: AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM
THE INCREDIBLE JANUARY BAROMETER (DEVISED 1972): ONLY TEN SIGNIFICANT ERRORS IN 70 YEARS
JANUARY BAROMETER IN GRAPHIC FORM
DOWN JANUARYS: A REMARKABLE RECORD
MARKET BEHAVIOR UNDER NEW PRESIDENTS
MARKET CHARTS OF POST–PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION YEARS
POST-ELECTION YEAR PERFORMANCE BY PARTY
POST-ELECTION YEARS: PAYING THE PIPER
THE RECORD SINCE 1913
THE DECEMBER LOW INDICATOR: A USEFUL PROGNOSTICATING TOOL
HOW TO TRADE BEST MONTHS SWITCHING STRATEGIES
BECOME AN ALMANAC INVESTOR
DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1901
S&P 500 ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1930
NASDAQ, RUSSELL 1000 & 2000 ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1971
SUMMER MARKET VOLUME DOLDRUMS DRIVE WORST SIX MONTHS
TOP PERFORMING MONTHS: STANDARD & POOR’S 500 AND DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS
“BEST SIX MONTHS”: STILL AN EYE-POPPING STRATEGY
MACD-TIMING TRIPLES “BEST SIX MONTHS” RESULTS
TOP PERFORMING NASDAQ MONTHS
GET MORE OUT OF NASDAQ’S “BEST EIGHT MONTHS” WITH MACD TIMING
TRIPLE RETURNS, FEWER TRADES: BEST 6 + 4–YEAR CYCLE
FIRST MONTH OF QUARTERS IS THE MOST BULLISH
2019 DAILY DOW POINT CHANGES (DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE)
DON’T SELL STOCKS ON MONDAY OR FRIDAY
A RALLY FOR ALL SEASONS
TAKE ADVANTAGE OF DOWN FRIDAY/ DOWN MONDAY WARNING
MARKET FARES BETTER UNDER DEMOCRATS; DOLLAR HOLDS UP UNDER REPUBLICANS
REPUBLICAN CONGRESS & DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENT IS BEST FOR THE MARKET
MARKET GAINS MORE ON SUPER-8 DAYS EACH MONTH THAN ON ALL 13 REMAINING DAYS COMBINED
A CORRECTION FOR ALL SEASONS
FIRST-TRADING-DAY-OF-THE-MONTH PHENOMENON
SUMMARY FIRST DAYS VS. OTHER DAYS OF MONTH
SECTOR SEASONALITY: SELECTED PERCENTAGE PLAYS
SECTOR INDEX SEASONALITY STRATEGY CALENDAR*
MARKET BEHAVIOR THREE DAYS BEFORE AND THREE DAYS AFTER HOLIDAYS
FOURTH-QUARTER MARKET MAGIC
TRADING THE THANKSGIVING MARKET
AURA OF THE TRIPLE WITCH—4TH QUARTER MOST BULLISH: DOWN WEEKS TRIGGER MORE WEAKNESS WEEK AFTER
MOST OF THE SO-CALLED JANUARY EFFECT TAKES PLACE IN THE LAST HALF OF DECEMBER
JANUARY EFFECT NOW STARTS IN MID-DECEMBER
WALL STREET’S ONLY “FREE LUNCH” SERVED BEFORE CHRISTMAS
IF SANTA CLAUS SHOULD FAIL TO CALL, BEARS MAY COME TO BROAD AND WALL
DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS AND DATABANK
DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021
RECENT DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021
S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021
RECENT S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021
NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021
RECENT NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021
RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021
RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021
DECENNIAL CYCLE: A MARKET PHENOMENON
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION/STOCK MARKET CYCLE: THE 187-YEAR SAGA CONTINUES
DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS BULL AND BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1900
STANDARD & POOR’S 500 BULL AND BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1929 NASDAQ COMPOSITE SINCE 1971
A TYPICAL DAY IN THE MARKET
THROUGH THE WEEK ON A HALF-HOURLY BASIS
TUESDAY MOST PROFITABLE DAY OF WEEK
NASDAQ STRONGEST LAST 3 DAYS OF WEEK
S&P DAILY PERFORMANCE EACH YEAR SINCE 1952
NASDAQ DAILY PERFORMANCE EACH YEAR SINCE 1971
MONTHLY CASH INFLOWS INTO S&P STOCKS
MONTHLY CASH INFLOWS INTO NASDAQ STOCKS
NOVEMBER, DECEMBER AND JANUARY: YEAR’S BEST THREE-MONTH SPAN
NOVEMBER THROUGH JUNE: NASDAQ’S EIGHT-MONTH RUN
DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1901
S&P 500 ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1930
NASDAQ ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1971
RUSSELL 1000 ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1979
RUSSELL 2000 ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1979
DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1950
DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY POINT CHANGES SINCE 1950
DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1950
STANDARD & POOR’S 500 MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1950
STANDARD & POOR’S 500 MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1950
NASDAQ COMPOSITE MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1971
NASDAQ COMPOSITE MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1971
RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1979
RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1979
RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1979
RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1979
10 BEST DAYS BY PERCENT AND POINT
10 WORST DAYS BY PERCENT AND POINT
10 BEST WEEKS BY PERCENT AND POINT
10 WORST WEEKS BY PERCENT AND POINT
10 BEST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT
10 WORST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT
10 BEST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT
10 WORST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT
10 BEST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINT
10 WORST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINT
Notes
STRATEGY PLANNING AND RECORD SECTION
PORTFOLIO AT START OF 2021
ADDITIONAL PURCHASES
ADDITIONAL PURCHASES
SHORT-TERM TRANSACTIONS
LONG-TERM TRANSACTIONS
INTEREST/DIVIDENDS RECEIVED DURING 2021
BROKERAGE ACCOUNT DATA 2021
WEEKLY PORTFOLIO PRICE RECORD 2021 (FIRST HALF)
WEEKLY PORTFOLIO PRICE RECORD 2021 (SECOND HALF)
WEEKLY INDICATOR DATA 2021 (FIRST HALF)
WEEKLY INDICATOR DATA 2021 (SECOND HALF)
MONTHLY INDICATOR DATA 2021
PORTFOLIO AT END OF 2021
IF YOU DON’T PROFIT FROM YOUR INVESTMENT MISTAKES, SOMEONE ELSE WILL
HOW TO MAKE USE OF STOCK “TIPS”
PERFORMANCE RECORD OF RECOMMENDATIONS
INDIVIDUAL RETIREMENT ACCOUNT (IRA): MOST AWESOME MASS INVESTMENT INCENTIVE EVER DEVISED
G. M. LOEB’S “BATTLE PLAN” FOR INVESTMENT SURVIVAL
G. M. LOEB’S INVESTMENT SURVIVAL CHECKLIST
WILEY END USER LICENSE AGREEMENT
