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Randal O'Toole
The Best-Laid Plans
Читать книгу The Best-Laid Plans - Randal O'Toole - Страница 1
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Acknowledgments
Introduction
Part One Forest Planning
1. The Case of the Fake Forests
2. Garbage In, Gospel Out
3. A Process of Natural Selection
Clearcutting
Herbicides
Below-Cost Timber Sales
Roadless Areas
Nondeclining Flow
4. Analysis Paralysis
5. The Return of Fire Dominance
Part Two Why Planning Fails
6. Radical Doctrine or Rational Decisionmaking?
The Data Problem
The Forecasting Problem
Planners have no better insight into the future than anyone else.
The Modeling Problem
Before a model becomes complicated enough to be useful for planning, it becomes too complicated for anyone to understand.
The Pace-of-Change Problem
Reality changes faster than planners can plan.
7. Human Barriers
The Fad Problem
The Pseudoscience Problem
The Democracy Problem
The Decisionmaker Problem
8. Planning Is Not Necessary
Part Three Land-Use Planning
9. Urban Renewal
10. Turning Portland into L.A.
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