Читать книгу The Innovation Ultimatum - Steve Brown - Страница 35

Predicting the Future

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AI offers us a crystal ball. When AI is applied to historical data, it finds patterns and complex associations that allow it to make high-quality predictions about what might happen next. AIs are used to predict disease outbreaks, assess actuarial risk, and predict future demand on the electric grid. Atidot, Quantemplate, and Analyze Re use AI to predict insurance risk.

Law enforcement uses AI to predict crime. PredPol is a collaboration between the Los Angeles Police Department (LAPD) and the University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA). PredPol predicts where and when serious crimes are most likely to happen. PredPol scientists claim the system has double the accuracy of human analysts. Importantly, the system only predicts the locations of future crimes, not the identities of people predicted to commit those crimes. We are still a long way from the precrime concept described in Philip K. Dick's Minority Report.

Most businesses need to make forecasts or predictions, and AI is just starting to scratch the surface in this space. AIs will power all manner of business planning systems: demand forecasts, risk analysis, design trends, and more.

The Innovation Ultimatum

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