Читать книгу Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns - Thomas N. Bulkowski - Страница 117
Downward Breakouts
ОглавлениеReversal or continuation | Short‐term bearish reversal |
Performance rank | 25 out of 36 |
Breakeven failure rate | 28% |
Average drop | 14% |
Volume trend | Upward |
Pullbacks | 63% |
Percentage meeting price target | 40% |
Before I began studying this chart pattern, I assumed price would climb away from it, simply because the word ascending was in the title. However, I believe the title refers to how the top of the pattern sees price trending upward, bouncing off a flat base.
The pattern is a mid‐list performer, based on the rank. Even the breakeven failure rates are mid‐list (not shown in the above Results Snapshot). They are within a point of the performance rank. Volume trends upward in the pattern, and I find that unusual when compared to other chart pattern types.
Throwbacks and pullbacks happen about twice in every three trades, so don't be fooled if the stock returns to the breakout price within a week or so.
The percentage meeting the price target, at 67% for upward breakouts, is much higher than the 40% rate for downward breakouts, but that's typical. A downward breakout is fighting against a rising general market, so you'd expect the stock to drown.
Let's take a tour to see what this pattern looks like.