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ОглавлениеIntroduction
Economic growth in China since the end of the 1970s has now outperformed every other long economic upswing in modern history. While the largest member countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) continue to struggle with the effects of the deepest recession since World War II, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) is still enjoying growth rates that are massive by comparison. With these trends, China is leaving behind its role as “workshop of the world” and preparing to become a global engine for innovation.
Of course, beyond these developments is a different China, one still battling with social problems similar to those faced by other developing or large emerging countries. Nevertheless, according to criteria for measuring growth in economic efficiency, China is still the most successful and dramatic case of catch-up development in the world. Even experienced researchers in economics or industrial sociology are surprised by the scale of industrial expansion in some areas of the country. This particularly applies to the Pearl River and Yangtze River deltas, which over the past thirty years have seen the construction of the largest industrial zones in global history. Often the most astonishing fact for Western observers is that the second largest economy in the world has emerged in a country dominated by an authoritarian party-state where the unrestricted rule of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) prevails to this day.
The renaissance of the Middle Kingdom triggered strong interest in China and raised a number of questions: What social structure has developed during the course of China’s reform process, the length of which has now exceeded that of the Mao era (1949–78)? What have been the driving forces behind the country’s development? What paradoxical consequences have been brought about by this “economic miracle”? The new China debate is characterized by a broad spectrum of different positions ranging from suspicion of an emerging China to “Sinomania” (Anderson 2010a). Today’s enthusiasm about China’s dynamic economic growth, although intermittently qualified by reports on political repression in the PRC, is reminiscent of the writings of seventeenth- and eighteenth-century thinkers such as Leibniz, Voltaire, and Quesnay. These philosophers were exceedingly impressed by the prosperity of imperial China, attributing to it a more advanced level of civilization than Europe. Even their slightly more skeptical contemporaries (Montesquieu and Adam Smith, for instance) admired the country’s political regime and its wealth. However, in the nineteenth century, after parts of the country were colonized, there were dramatic shifts in attitude toward China, with the military, economic, and social backwardness of the crumbling empire coming to the fore. In the twentieth century, these antipathies escalated, culminating with the Maoist seizure of power. Today, though, admiration permeated by apprehension appears to be gaining the upper hand.
Research Interests
The progress of present-day China is, in many respects, reminiscent of other capitalist processes of catch-up development. In the country’s smog-choked cities, against a backdrop of rapidly growing “collections of commodities” (Marx 1986, 49), a chaotic climate of buying and selling prevails. Tireless expansionism and inventiveness joins forces with an attitude of national euphoria where anything seems possible. The establishment of new business ethics transformed the “acquisition principle” (Sombart 1921, 320) and competition into quasi unquestioned and irreversible economic guiding principles.
In actual fact, however, China’s unparalleled economic growth ought to silence every advocate of the free market. The Chinese economy is characterized by significant government intervention. In contrast to the transition countries of the former Eastern Bloc, in the PRC it was possible to avoid radical “big bang” liberalization, and, for a long time, there were no clearly defined private ownership rights. The sustained legacy of a bureaucratic command economy and the ruling party doubtless also require explanation.
A rich but controversial body of literature examining China’s process of transformation has emerged. We can, however, identify a series of key issues that have not yet been adequately analyzed or that remain contentious:
• first, there is no plausible answer to the question regarding the main features of the socioeconomic system of the People’s Republic;
• second, the question as to the key driving forces and dynamics of the country’s rapid development remains controversial;
• third, more recent responses to the question about the paradoxes that are inherent in the growth process are also inconsistent.
There is an array of sophisticated insights and concepts to help us address these issues. As discuss below, I will link these concepts to a research framework, which in contrast to market- and/or business-centric approaches might be described as an extended analysis of capitalism. The aim of this framework is to contribute to a more in-depth understanding of the key features and growth dynamics of China’s political economy, the different courses it has taken, and its paradoxical lines of development.
In my approach, I distance myself from the following arguments, which I have presented in an exaggerated ideal typical way here. In a number of journalistic but also scientific articles, market-economy aspects of the Chinese economy are contrasted with its “communist” politics. On the one hand, a combination of new entrepreneurial spirit and economic development are shaping social change. On the other hand, the party-state—which, contrary to the findings of China research, is frequently treated as a monolithic unitary state where all threads converge in the Central Committee of the CCP—continues to exert influence on this process of change. According to this line of argument, China’s political system is seen as incompatible with the real demands of a market system. How can this perplexing juxtaposition be understood from a theoretical point of view? Is China’s process of modernization in any way even comparable to the Western paths of modernization?
Another line of argument refers back to China’s diverse civilizational roots, which, in the eyes of Western observers, enabled the country to relatively effectively combine market and party-state in a unique pairing. Critical China researchers have established that this culture-centric “China is China” perspective, which is reduced to Chinese traditions, is strictly speaking incompatible with a comparative social science angle (Kennedy 2011a). Even a postmodern perspective advanced in the media discourse really prevents any attempt to draw historical comparisons or make theoretical generalizations. This approach retells Chinese contemporary history as a chaotic, contingent process and disputes any kind of historical regularity. Consequently, wanting to make coherent statements about an incoherent reality where the fundamental constant is change seems like intellectual insanity.
And yet in China research and the areas of the economic and social sciences with a focus on China, a wide range of innovative perspectives have emerged. These have resulted in a much more convincing analysis of the processes of transformation based on far more than simply anecdotal evidence. There will be frequent reference to these approaches throughout the present work.
Undeniably, opinions on the current social structure in the PRC differ, in the advanced economic and social sciences as well as in the traditional field of China research. One of today’s most renowned economists, Douglass C. North, even argues: “Yet none of the standard models of economic and political theory can explain China” (North 2005). Prominent China researchers are critical of the lack of effort to propose theory-based generalizations about the development of China, its dynamics, and its paradoxes. Political scientist David Shambaugh, former publisher of the China Quarterly, a leading scholarly journal in its field, describes this problem as “pervasive myopia and failure to generalize about ‘China.’ The field is, in my view, far too micro-oriented in its foci…. China scholars today know ‘more and more about less and less’ and see research methodologies as an end in itself rather than as a means to generate broader observations…. The result has been an unfortunate losing of the forest for the trees. Having deconstructed China over the past two decades in such considerable detail, scholars should begin to put the pieces of China back together again and offer generalizations about ‘China’ writ large” (Shambaugh 2009a, 916).
In many respects, China research presents factors that have contributed to economic growth, for example, only to then qualify them with a series of other well-founded arguments. This phenomenon could be attributed to China’s continental scale and heterogeneity. However, it might also be explained by the excessive weight given to individual empirical positions, as argued by economic sociologists Fligstein and Zhang: “Given there is some empirical support for all these positions, this implies that the empirical work is probably based on a non-random or narrow sample…. This reflects the limits of empirical study and the lack of systematic, overarching theoretical thinking about what is happening” (Fligstein and Zhang 2011, 41).
In the light of this, highly promising analytical perspectives from political economy were recently applied for the first time in China research. The present analysis sets itself the challenge of systematically examining China’s growth dynamics through a political economy lens. Although the term capitalism crops up in more recent studies on China, it is not generally conceptualized in detail. Even where there are more in-depth descriptions of the concept, “capitalism” is repeatedly reduced to “market economy,” or the term is reserved for describing the behavior of individual social groups—the networks of overseas Chinese, other foreign investors, or the new private entrepreneurs in mainland China. But how should the state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and the political institutions of the party-state be depicted? Are we seeing the development of a “hybrid” capitalist-socialist transitional system in China? Do we have to subdivide the economy into capitalist private sectors and quasisocialist state sectors because public property is inherently noncapitalist? How does China’s social order differ from other forms of capitalism and catch-up processes? What advantages did this social order enjoy over other emerging nations?
To address these and the other related questions mentioned at the outset, in the following sections, I outline a practicable approach. I begin with a discussion of relevant research works and research needs.
State of the Art and Research Needs
My objective is to identify the key features of the new Chinese economy, its driving forces, and paradoxes. To do this, I combine a range of theoretical insights to create a flexible set of analytical tools.1 In order to do justice to the problems being addressed, I draw on empirical knowledge and innovative theoretical instruments that have so far rarely been associated with one another or interlinked across disciplines.
(1) Of central importance here is China research in the social sciences. A vast spectrum of academic literature, particularly from the Anglophone world with contributions from Chinese scholars, provides sound analysis. Research studies in this field depict different dimensions of the Chinese system.2 The interface between the social and economic sciences and sinology has also been the subject of some significant research work by a number of German academics over the last few decades.3
(2) A strand of theoretical analysis that has rarely been associated with the field of China research is comparative political economy (CPE). Comparative analysis of Western capitalisms in the field of political economy, conducted by political scientists and economic sociologists, has now achieved canonical status. However, the use of CPE approaches for countries outside the OECD is a relatively recent phenomenon. Up until the 2010s, analysis of this type with a focus on China was rare (see Ahrens and Jünemann 2006; Chu 2010; McNally 2007a; Wilson 2007a). An interesting component of this strand of analysis is that it results in observations that go beyond business-centered studies.4 These theories draw on insights that promote an understanding of the historical processes of business and market expansion in their wider institutional context. They invariably capture economic processes in terms of their relationship with the state and other noneconomic institutions. A valid point of departure to help us distinguish between the different varieties or variegations of capitalism is the reality of spatiotemporal inequalities in the regional subsystems of the global economy. The hypothesis that there are diverse types of capitalism that all develop their own characteristic features is an important basis for the present analysis.
Political economy approaches also give us an insight into the uneven geographies of crisis dynamics in national economies and the sociostructural conflicts of modern societies. These are manifested in tensions between market expansion and social integration (see R. Brenner 2006; Deutschmann 2009b; Dörre, Lessenich, and Rosa 2009; Streeck 2010a, 2010b). The assumption that the dynamics of capitalist social orders are unstable is paramount to this work. As there have been barely any studies of this kind in research on China (a country that regularly shows very rapid dynamics of change), the present work fills a gap in the literature. Contrary to the rampant Sinomania where GDP growth rates are prematurely extrapolated (Jacques 2009), I would like to examine the specific destabilization dynamics characteristic of the Chinese process of development.
(3) At the same time, there are also various instructive institutionalist concepts available that could be used to analyze gradual institutional change—to be understood in this context as socioeconomic and political change below the threshold of system change (see Mahoney and Thelen 2010; Streeck and Thelen 2005). These tools have only been applied to China’s process of transformation in a small number of isolated cases, however (see Tsai 2007; Young 2011). This applies to a similar extent to pertinent new research on the transformation of the state in an age of globalization, the concept of multilevel governance, and analysis on local statehood and other noneconomic institutions (Benz 2009; Brand 2006; N. Brenner 2004; Block 1994; Jessop 2007; Leibfried and Zürn 2006; Mackert 2006; Thompson et al. 1991). There is also a body of transformation research in former Stalinist countries (Eyal, Szelényi, and Townsley 2000; King and Szelényi 2005; Lane and Myant 2007) and various studies examining the processes of industrialization in the East Asian developmental states that refer to both similarities and striking differences between the different types of “Asian” capitalism (see Deyo 1993; Evans 1995; Hamilton and Biggart 1997; Pohlmann 2002; Wade 1990).
(4) The discipline of international political economy (IPE) provides us with insights that focus on the rise of China against a background of global economic restructuring and cross-regional and/or transnational institutions as well as regulatory and hegemonic structures. China’s ascent cannot be explained without referring to the country’s integration in the most important overarching macro process that took place in the latter part of the twentieth century, that is, liberal globalization.5 A global analytical perspective would therefore refer to the extraordinary importance of specific stakeholders and processes acting or occurring beyond or at least not exclusively within Chinese territory and significantly impacting the dynamics and character of China’s political economy. Neither the liberal success story of the marketization of China’s domestic economy (see Hung 2008) nor more state-centric approaches (see D. Yang 2004) give due credit to the unique circumstances of the East Asian growth region and the process of advanced transnationalization of the global economy.
(5) Further, theories from historical sociology furnish the debate on the concept of “multiple modernities” with important insights, to which CPE and IPE have not given adequate consideration. In order to understand the concept of China’s continuity in change, that is, the combination of path-dependent and path-shaping processes, we must take into account the concept of elements of modernization adapted from the West being reshaped by sociocultural and normative traditions (see Arnason 2003a, 2003b, 2005, 2008; Eisenstadt 2006; Knöbl 2007; Pomeranz 2000; Schwinn 2009). China’s “adaptive” institutions can be properly grasped only if we view them in the context of their longer-term historical development (see Gates 1996; Hamilton 2006a).
In summary, we can conclude that there is a rich body of literature on the subject. My primary goal for the present study, therefore, is to tackle the inadequate link between the different research traditions and disciplines by synthesizing some of their theoretical and empirical findings.6 My main aim here is to combine the questions developed at the start of this book within a research framework that I hope will help to lend coherence to China’s incoherent reality. I am also keen to enrich the critical CPE and IPE literature with more nuanced insights into the “special case” of China.
Drivers of Global Capitalism and Divergent National Outcomes: Theoretical and Methodological Approach
Because there is no readily available existing research framework that reflects my approach, I will outline a number of general considerations that I consider to be vital. In Chapter 1, I will expand on these considerations to create a research framework. This will be followed by a historical account of the reform process in Chapter 2 and an analysis of current lines of development in Chapter 3. Building on this, I will use my Conclusion to question the validity of the aforementioned considerations and to identify gaps and/or potential areas for future research.
The general point of departure for my analysis of capitalist developments comprises the three key actors that played a decisive role in shaping the historical development of modern societies: companies, governments, and the working classes. “The comparative capitalism literature causes us to focus on three main actors in society: the government, firms, and workers. It may not tell us what that relationship will be, but it does argue that all economic development projects have produced stable institutions built around those relationships” (Fligstein and Zhang 2011, 50).7 Consequently, beyond market- or company-centric theories of economic development, it is important for us to examine the social relationships between these groups of actors (which are inherently inhomogeneous and characterized by changing normative orientations), their structure, and relationships with other social groups as well as their historical evolution. With this contribution, I attempt to identify the institutional design or the competitive and cooperative relationships resulting from the interconnection between the three groups of actors. The complex interplay between companies, government actors, and the “subordinated” classes result in different forms of market activity, political regulation, and other types of coordination by social actors—in the world of work, for instance. Linked to this are also conflicts over guiding social principles and norms.
At the same time, these interactions always occur in social arenas that are, to a certain extent, already shaped and established. In other words, they arise under social conditions that have become independent from actors’ conscious actions and desires and that affect both their perceptions and their actions. This social structure, though created by historical actors, had become an independent entity fostering an institutionalized compulsion to act and, at the same time, unevenly distributed scope for action. My hypothesis is that, particularly since the 1980s, this structure/agency nexus has largely been shaped (not determined) by the drivers of global capitalist development. A link between the insights outlined in the previous section is the idea that the drivers and fundamental components of capitalism must be viewed as an overarching dimension of societal modernization. These components include a boundless and infinite imperative to maximize accumulation and profit, competition, a structural propensity for social tension and crisis, and a reliance on noneconomic institutions such as the state.
In contrast to far-reaching historical contingency assumptions, I propose first, that capitalism as an all-encompassing social order has sustainably structured the various paths to modernity in different continents over the last century, including China’s, even under Maoism. There are fundamental components of capitalism, without which it would be impossible to differentiate between different types of capitalism in the first place. In the context of global capitalist development, these various types should be viewed as different manifestations of common basic patterns, and in terms of the historical interrelations between the three groups of actors mentioned. At the same time, the overarching drivers and patterns of capitalism take on a specific form in different historical phases of capitalist development. These include the period of strong government interventionism that prevailed around the world from the 1930s or the period of liberalization that began in the 1970s, for instance.
Second, because the global drivers of capitalist development simultaneously encounter various historical development trajectories, I felt it was important to take into account the role of noneconomic institutions and historical traditions in order to understand the development of different types of capitalism. In this context, China research, for instance, emphasizes Sino-Marxism as well as the older Confucianist traditions, traditions of a strong state, and the reciprocal system of social networks and influential relationships (guanxi) that facilitate business and other dealings.8 Although it is true that historical and sociocultural traditions are reshaped by capitalist-driven processes of modernization (which calls into question the “China is China” argument mentioned above), global economic processes still develop unevenly because different local, national, and transregional areas provide different conditions for establishing capitalist social orders. These properties give rise to different forms of coordination of economic, political, and social processes and lend a political economy the distinctive character that develops over the course of history.
In light of all this, I therefore initially present a position that resembles convergence theory. According to this position, national capitalist development processes cannot reasonably be explored using comparative static analysis. Instead they must be approached as facets of a process of global capitalist socialization, that is, with reference to diverse driving forces or fundamental components that are universally inherent in capitalist development.
In a second step, however, this position is relativized because the overarching drivers of capitalism do not result in identical outcomes. The conflict between the main groups of social actors leads to different forms of coordination, for instance. These forms of coordination are based on completely different socioeconomic premises, each occupying a specific position in the global system, and so on. To enable me to describe the similarities and differences as well as the overall drivers and divergent outcomes of capitalist development, I draw on the concept of an international variegated capitalist world system (Jessop 2009; Streeck 2010a). I then incorporate a historical concept of institutions in my research framework that takes into account targeted human action beyond structuralism and intentionalism. To address the issues that are the crux of this study, I refrain from focusing exclusively on China’s national economy but also examine how it is integrated in other East Asian and global economic spaces.
In a third step, in light of deficits and desiderata of both comparative capitalism analysis and China research, there is scope for a more detailed analysis of capitalist social relations in China. This analysis includes the aforementioned inter- and/or transnational analytical focus and the idea that the research perspectives presented here are incompatible with culturalism. This school of thought sees historical continuity prevailing in China where “unity between past, present, and future has become second nature” (Weggel 1997, 122, my translation). I also draw on other recent CPE tools and concepts for instance. This allows me to examine different production regimes and the complementary cross effects between institutions, that is, the functional effects that occur between individual institutional spheres.
Furthermore, it is important to take account of the relationships between economic and noneconomic institutions on two additional levels:
(1) One problem with China and comparative capitalism research is the lack of proper analysis of the interplay between the economy and the state or companies and state institutions on different geographical and administrative levels and in informal networks. On the one hand, as I will demonstrate, market-centric approaches result in biased analysis of China’s reform. Thus, predictions of an abrupt transition from the “plan” to the “market” proved to be flawed in light of the adaptability of state developmental regulation. Despite the transfer of functions from government agencies to companies and the dismantling of binding plan targets in favor of more indicative planning and market-led allocation, China can hardly be described as a liberal market economy. On the other hand, state-centric approaches attribute China’s leadership with a degree of foresight and capacity to control that can in no way be reconciled with the anarchic reality of the Chinese reform process. This, albeit perhaps inadvertently, also correlates with the political leadership’s self-perception. It is possible that the legacy of elite-centric totalitarianism research has thereby contributed to a stark contrast between the state and the economy and, in a wider sense, also society where the government is understood as an external regime rather than a social actor (see Fewsmith 2008).
The present work maintains that in order to analyze economic dynamics, we need to refer back to the interdependencies and overlaps between the economy and the state, which, during the course of reform, created close alliances between private actors and (local) government elites. For this reason, capitalist development in China (and elsewhere) cannot be seen as synonymous with markets and private enterprises. In certain phases of capitalist development and with some forms of capitalism, strong political steering plays a particularly important role, which may largely be determined by the drivers of capitalism. Further, political actors can, in certain situations, resemble market actors—particularly when they only have to devote themselves to managing redistributive functions to a limited extent because, for instance, social rights and civil society space is restricted or the social balance of power permits this. In this context, China research refers to the “entrepreneurial” state, “local state corporatism,” and similar structures. In addition, the legal and de facto power of control over the means of production in China are diverging to the extent that legal owners are ceding control, partially or fully, to other actors. In contrast to hypotheses harnessing actors’ preferences to their institutional form (to the “public” state sphere or “private” market sphere, for instance), I present an alternative explanation. I propose that the embedding of political actors in a broader capitalist system, while not determining all the preferences of these actors—state institutions have different criteria for reproduction than companies, and they also have differing development mechanisms—does have a powerful impact on them.
Bearing this in mind, I will later pose the question whether and to what extent a public-private hybrid regime and novel state-capitalist forms constitute an overarching dimension of Chinese capitalism reflecting the drivers of global capitalism and specific national and regional characteristics.9 In a subsequent step, I explore the different mechanisms and strategies of state intervention and regulation in the Chinese system of multilevel governance, that is, the existence of many centers of power below the central government level, and of heterogeneous production regimes in the economy. Here I concentrate on the changing relationship between indicative or market-creating and imperative or market-restricting forms of political regulation. The objective of this approach is to examine the extent to which the new Chinese capitalism differs from coordinated or dependent varieties and other state-permeated forms of capitalism (see May, Nölke, and ten Brink 2013).
(2) A virtual absence of civil society and democratic conditions has led to the development of extremely unequal power relations in China. The workers have virtually no opportunity to participate. This has resulted in imperfect and fragmented coordination in the labor and employment systems. Any comprehensive analysis of the Chinese development process should incorporate this frequently neglected level of action. The last few decades have seen the emergence of an important body of literature on this. Drawing on, inter alia, corporatism research in industrial sociology, this literature examines the socioeconomic consequences of the relative powerlessness of the subordinate groups, as well as their sporadic empowerment (see Y. Cai 2010; A. Chan 2001; K. Chang, Lüthje, and Luo 2008; Friedman 2011; C. Lee 2007; Lüthje, Luo, and Zhang 2013; Perry and Selden 2003).
Finally, it is important to establish in this context whether the partystate generates sufficient social cohesion not only to foster a close alliance between the political and economic power elites but also to integrate the subordinated classes and to channel expectations of upward social mobility, or whether there is an indication of the limitations of China’s model of subordination and of social counter movements.
From a methodological perspective, my analysis is based largely on studies of secondary literature. In the empirical sections of the study, I also analyze specialized economic literature and statistics including from the National Bureau of Statistics of China. Additionally, I incorporate findings from the numerous research and conference trips I made to China during the period from 2008 to 2016, visits to private and state-owned (Chinese and foreign) companies, and discussions with Chinese academics. As a partner in a research project conducted by the Frankfurt Institute for Social Research (coordinated by Boy Lüthje and funded by the German Research Foundation, DFG), I was also able to participate in several interviews with company and labor union representatives and members of nongovernmental organizations (NGOs).
To provide a historical account of China’s socioeconomic dynamics, I use qualitative content analysis (see Hall 2008). Here, I combine empirical-historical analysis and theoretical generalizations in a way that “does not [seek] to identify statistical correlations between variables but rather attempts to find an explanation for unclear macro-phenomena by identifying the processes and interdependencies contributing to their occurrence” (Mayntz 2002, 13, my translation). In short, I reconstruct and systematize historical developments using a theory-based approach.
Main Hypotheses
To address the three research questions outlined at the beginning, I formulate the following hypotheses. These focus on the principal features of China’s socioeconomic system (1a and b), on the key dynamics shaping this system (2a, b, and c), and on the current, at times paradoxical, lines of development (3a and b).
(1a) China’s political economy is a competition-driven form of state-permeated capitalism with a heterogeneous internal structure. From the end of the 1970s onward, it was selectively integrated into global economic processes and consequently impacted by the phase-specific process of liberalization. Contemporary developments in China are therefore fundamentally based on the drivers of capitalism observed in other processes of modernization yet, in many respects, have also taken on their own distinctive form. As the somewhat cumbersome expression variegated state-permeated capitalism10 suggests, the party-state in China does not retreat from liberalization and marketization tendencies but has contributed and is continuing to contribute to the establishment of a new type of capitalism.
(1b) In this respect, the party-state itself is an integral part of Chinese capitalism and should be treated as such in our analysis. In order to acquire an understanding of China’s political economy, the importance of the drivers of capitalism in China’s public-private system of multilevel governance must therefore be borne in mind. Here, there is evidence of distinctive forms of capitalism, such as local state-permeated capitalism. This is defined by (local) state and private entrepreneurs and characterized by the coexistence of competition and planning as well as nonmarket institutions, which, at the same time, are themselves also subject to competition. Considerations stemming from state theory and CPE, of the actual cross effects of institutions that are built (at least at first glance) on less than solid foundations give us a clearer view of the aforementioned types of capitalism. Further assumptions, linked to the institutional basis and contextual conditions of market expansion, focus on other distinctive characteristics of the PRC. Examples of this are a less stringent interpretation of contracts in contrast to strictly enforceable rules in the West and the significance of informal networks and consultation between the political leadership, administration, companies, and party-run labor unions.
(2a) To respond in more detail to the question as to the causes, contexts, and repercussions of the country’s economic dynamics, I propose an interpretation of the modernization of China that does not see the turning point at the end of the 1970s as a complete break with the past, but rather as a gradual, albeit ultimately profound, process of restructuring. Contrary to the notion of a sudden leap from a command to a market economy, I believe that a transition took place from one form of national modernization in classical Maoism to a unique form of capitalist modernization. The aforementioned modernization under Mao already imitated capitalist mechanisms although market forms were largely not included (“protocapitalism”). After the 1970s, China’s key institutions were undergoing a process of change that led to a novel polycentric mixture of plan, market, and other forms of coordination. The subsequent market expansion was not exclusively funded by the new private sector. The figure of the risk-taking, rule-breaking entrepreneur, who, over time, increasingly became symbolic of expertise, moral authority, professionalism, and commercial success also maintained an important position in the state-owned enterprise sector and in government institutions.
(2b) Another factor that is of paramount importance when endeavoring to explain economic dynamics is the existence of favorable global economic circumstances. As well as a number of advantageous domestic institutional and sociostructural preconditions for growth in national income, a range of external factors come into play here. These include the dynamic East Asian economies, “patriotic” ethnic Chinese, and, in the second phase of reform beginning in the 1990s, the transfer of capital from the major OECD economies.
(2c) I also make the assumption that the relative continuity of the economic and political elites secured the reform process. According to economic criteria, this process was a success but the dynamics of the process were uneven and combined and driven by crisis rather than predictable planning. Yet the public-private power elite seen in various segments proved to be a contributing factor in maintaining the status quo. Here, capital valorization processes as key determinants of government policy initiated a series of bureaucratic restructuring measures. At the same time, China’s political system was reorganized to facilitate institutional learning. This was implemented via processes of institutional layering through, for example, new entrepreneurs circumventing formal rules. Up until the 2000s, we frequently heard assumptions (founded on theories of democracy) of a probable regime change in China. Counter to these opinions, on the whole, there is evidence of a continuity of power elites and the political system that have ensured a relatively stable reform path and fostered economic growth. According to a different hypothesis, a key basis for this is the segmentation of the working class and the segregation of the labor market.
(3a) The restructuring of government institutions in the context of a reconfigured yet stable power elite and a rigid political environment contributed to a situation where the Chinese central government and its local counterparts were equipped with greater capacity than in other emerging countries to process the paradoxes of capitalist development. At the same time, however, the discrepancies in the country’s regional development and the multiscale government apparatus have created a social structure that is not free of conflict. The Chinese central government has only temporarily and partially succeeded in gaining control of the internal competition to attract business and investment. Associated with this are the high-risk growth and fiscal policies of the country’s subnational governments, and in the financial system and corporate sector. Hence, the steering capacity of the heterogeneous party-state cannot be hypostasized, and contradictory macroeconomic lines of development as well as limitations of political regulation can be discerned. I will therefore identify factors that have recently contributed to destabilization. In order to attenuate the effects of capitalist modernization, the Chinese central government has been pushing for a comprehensive restructuring of the economy and a reinforcement of domestic consumption. In normative terms, this is motivated by the objective of achieving a “harmonious society” (hexie shehui). As I will attempt to demonstrate, this endeavor is rather difficult to realize in practice, however, also under the Xi Jinping administration.
(3b) In addition to the paradoxical effects of market expansion and political macroregulation, the mechanisms of conflict resolution within the labor system are flawed. There are limitations to Chinese-style labor subordination, which puts the rule of the party-state under considerable strain.
The present work11 pursues two further objectives: first, my intention is to target readers with an interest in the social sciences and, at least to some degree, help them to decipher China’s path to a modernity, which is shaped by capitalism. My second aim is that the research framework developed here and some of the findings resulting from this study may also arouse interest in political economy considerations. For me, the optimal outcome would be for my account and explanations of the fundamental dynamics of China’s capitalist development to act as a preliminary work and an aid for further, more specialized empirical analyses of individual sectors of the economy or policy areas that could then substantiate more specific causalities.
At this juncture, I think it is important to comment on the limitations of this study. The present work does not examine all dimensions of China’s process of capitalist modernization. For example, it does not cover in any detail the emergence of a consumer society, the development of the welfare state, the evolution of new middle classes, or the agriculture issue. I also only sporadically refer to the valorization of the environment and the long-term costs of the exploitation of natural resources. The same applies to the colonization of the lifeworld and the development of gender relations. The study also tackles the global implications of the rise of China only to a limited degree and, with regard to the political system, only selectively discusses the role of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) and the security apparatus. Finally, the role played by ideational orientation, motives for social upward mobility, and the question of normative integration and leadership legitimacy are also not adequately acknowledged.
Outline
In Chapter 1, I develop a research framework based on insights, gaps, and desiderata in China research and using theoretical tools from, inter alia, the fields of CPE and IPE. In order to avoid a state/market dualism, I combine insights from various disciplines and approaches that I feel benefit the analysis of China’s new capitalism. I refer here to the notion of a capitalist-driven modernity and an international variegated capitalist world system. To help me describe the unstable dynamics of China’s process of development, I draw on a global perspective, the notion of uneven, combined and interconnected development, and a concept of institutions that takes account of targeted human action. To operationalize the research framework, I introduce five dimensions of capitalist economies:
1. unstable dynamics of markets and enterprises;
2. types of industrial relations;
3. the financial system;
4. interaction between economic and political actors; and
5. the integration of political economies in global economic structures.
On the basis of these five areas, the main part of the study examines the characteristics of China’s socioeconomic order and its dynamics. Against this backdrop, Chapter 2 reconstructs the historically relevant processes that, because of the effect of the drivers of capitalism, mean we can plausibly refer to a capitalist development in China. Here, I describe how the reform process led to a new mixture of market, state, and other coordination mechanisms.
The first section in this chapter summarizes the period from 1949 to 1978. Here, I attempt to already address the phenomenon of the relative continuity of power elites after 1978. To do so I refer to the mechanisms of protocapitalism in classical Maoism, a change in the country’s social structure, and the embedding of the crisis of Maoism in the global crisis of the 1970s. The latter triggered a global wave of liberalization across a broad spectrum of different political systems. To demonstrate that this also took effect in China, albeit not in the same form as in the Western world, for example, I refer, inter alia, to the role model function of the East Asian developmental states.
Applying the analytical strategy developed as part of my research framework, I use the second section in Chapter 2 to reconstruct the emergence of a variegated state-permeated capitalism from the end of the 1970s to the era of Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao in the 2000s. First, I analyze the domestic dynamics and outline two distinct phases of the reform of the country’s corporate sectors, of the political system of multilevel governance, of industrial relations, and of the financial system.12
I then extend the analysis to incorporate external factors, including China’s integration into the global capitalist system, the evolution of an export-oriented growth model in coastal regions, the role of the overseas Chinese, and the East Asian economic region, as well as transnational production networks and the overaccumulation of capital in the North. I demonstrate how the Chinese economy benefited considerably from a combination of favorable circumstances and was able to accelerate its catch-up development so much more than other emerging economies.
Chapter 3 focuses on the current lines of development in Chinese capitalism. Although I refer back to various historical events at certain junctures in this chapter, the focus is on the period between 2008 (the start of the momentous global economic slump) and 2016. Following the assumption that my analysis must refer to the role of and interplay between three groups of actors, this chapter is divided into three sections. In the first, I discuss the corporate sector and examine socioeconomic dynamics. On the one hand, I address the issue of unity in diversity, that is, the public-private organization of the economy against the backdrop of heterogeneous business forms and production regimes. On the other hand, I analyze socioeconomic dynamics including the challenges presented by the growth slowdown in the 2010s.
Whether the government leadership has been able to meet these challenges and effect a rebalancing of the economy is the subject of the second section of this chapter. First, I further develop the themes of the state’s steering capacity, distinctive policy cycles, and the prevailing significance of the CCP introduced in Chapter 2. This is all the more relevant given the role that the leadership under Xi Jinping attributes to the party. Second, I highlight the limitations of political steering in competition-driven state-permeated capitalism.
In the third section of Chapter 3, I expand the analysis to include China’s restructured working class and the splintered system of industrial relations. My objective here is to illustrate the tension between the harmonious society proclaimed by the party-state leadership and the imminent limitations of the subjugation of the workers.
In the Conclusion, I summarize the key findings of the study and examine the implications for both political economy and China research.
The present work is an updated version of my book Chinas Kapitalismus: Entstehung, Verlauf, Paradoxien (China’s Capitalism: Emergence, Trajectory, and Paradoxes) published by Campus (Frankfurt am Main, 2013). The latter was awarded a translation prize by the Börsenverein des Deutschen Buchhandels (German Publishers and Booksellers Association) in the “International Humanities” category in 2016.
For the purposes of this translation, the original German book version has been slightly modified and shortened. Although I did not include in any detail theoretical developments in China studies since 2013, I have particularly updated Chapter 3 on China’s current lines of development using newer empirical work and statistical data.