Читать книгу Asset Allocation - William Kinlaw, Mark P. Kritzman - Страница 2

Table of Contents

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Cover

Title Page

Copyright

Foreword to the First Edition

Preface

Key Takeaways Chapter 1: What Is an Asset Class? Chapter 2: Fundamentals of Asset Allocation Chapter 3: The Importance of Asset Allocation Chapter 4: Time Diversification Chapter 5: Divergence Chapter 6: Correlation Asymmetry Chapter 7: Error Maximization Chapter 8: Factors Chapter 9: 1/N Chapter 10: Policy Portfolios Chapter 11: The Private Equity Leverage Myth Chapter 12: Necessary Conditions for Mean-Variance Analysis Chapter 13: Forecasting Chapter 14: The Stock–Bond Correlation Chapter 15: Constraints Chapter 16: Asset Allocation Versus Factor Investing Chapter 17: Illiquidity Chapter 18: Currency Risk Chapter 19: Estimation Error Chapter 20: Leverage Versus Concentration Chapter 21: Rebalancing Chapter 22: Regime Shifts Chapter 23: Scenario Analysis Chapter 24: Stress Testing

CHAPTER 1: What Is an Asset Class? STABLE AGGREGATION INTERNALLY HOMOGENEOUS EXTERNALLY HETEROGENEOUS EXPECTED UTILITY SELECTION SKILL COST-EFFECTIVE ACCESS POTENTIAL ASSET CLASSES REFERENCES NOTES

CHAPTER 2: Fundamentals of Asset Allocation THE FOUNDATION: PORTFOLIO THEORY PRACTICAL IMPLEMENTATION THE SHARPE ALGORITHM REFERENCES NOTES

CHAPTER 3: The Importance of Asset Allocation FALLACY: ASSET ALLOCATION DETERMINES MORE THAN 90% OF PERFORMANCE THE DETERMINANTS OF PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE THE BEHAVIORAL BIAS OF POSITIVE ECONOMICS THE SAMUELSON DICTUM THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

10  CHAPTER 4: Time Diversification FALLACY: TIME DIVERSIFIES RISK SAMUELSON'S BET TIME, VOLATILITY, AND PROBABILITY OF LOSS TIME AND EXPECTED UTILITY WITHIN-HORIZON RISK A PREFERENCE-FREE CONTRADICTION TO TIME DIVERSIFICATION THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

11  CHAPTER 5: Divergence FALLACY: VOLATILITY SCALES WITH THE SQUARE ROOT OF TIME, AND CORRELATION IS CONSTANT ACROSS RETURN INTERVALS EXCESS DISPERSION THE EVIDENCE THE INTUITION THE MATH IMPLICATIONS THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

12  CHAPTER 6: Correlation Asymmetry FALLACY: DIVERSIFICATION IS SYMMETRIC CORRELATION MATHEMATICS CORRELATION ASYMMETRY BETWEEN ASSET CLASSES IMPLICATIONS FOR PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

13  CHAPTER 7: Error Maximization FALLACY: OPTIMIZED PORTFOLIOS ARE HYPERSENSITIVE TO INPUT ERRORS THE INTUITIVE ARGUMENT THE EMPIRICAL ARGUMENT THE ANALYTICAL ARGUMENT THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

14  CHAPTER 8: Factors FALLACY: FACTORS OFFER SUPERIOR DIVERSIFICATION AND NOISE REDUCTION WHAT IS A FACTOR? EQUIVALENCE OF ASSET CLASS AND FACTOR DIVERSIFICATION NOISE REDUCTION THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

15  CHAPTER 9: 1/N FALLACY: EQUALLY WEIGHTED PORTFOLIOS ARE SUPERIOR TO OPTIMIZED PORTFOLIOS THE CASE FOR 1/N SETTING THE RECORD STRAIGHT EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE IN DEFENSE OF OPTIMIZATION PRACTICAL PROBLEMS WITH 1/N BROKEN CLOCK THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTE

16  CHAPTER 10: Policy Portfolios FALLACY: POLICY PORTFOLIOS MATTER RISK INSTABILITY WHAT INVESTORS WANT RESPONDING TO RISK REGIMES THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCE

17  CHAPTER 11: The Private Equity Leverage Myth FALLACY: PRIVATE EQUITY VOLATILITY SCALES WITH ITS LEVERAGE THE PRIVATE EQUITY LEVERAGE PUZZLE LEVERAGE AND VOLATILITY IN THE PUBLIC EQUITY MARKET THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

18  CHAPTER 12: Necessary Conditions for Mean-Variance Analysis THE CHALLENGE DEPARTURES FROM ELLIPTICAL DISTRIBUTIONS DEPARTURES FROM QUADRATIC UTILITY FULL-SCALE OPTIMIZATION THE CURSE OF DIMENSIONALITY APPLYING FULL-SCALE OPTIMIZATION THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

19  CHAPTER 13: Forecasting THE CHALLENGE CONVENTIONAL LINEAR REGRESSION REGRESSION REVISITED PARTIAL SAMPLE REGRESSION THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTE

20  CHAPTER 14: The Stock–Bond Correlation THE CHALLENGE SINGLE-PERIOD CORRELATION FUNDAMENTAL PREDICTORS OF THE STOCK–BOND CORRELATION MODEL SPECIFICATION MODEL RESULTS THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

21  CHAPTER 15: Constraints THE CHALLENGE WRONG AND ALONE MEAN-VARIANCE-TRACKING ERROR OPTIMIZATION THE BOTTOM LINE REFERENCE NOTE

22  CHAPTER 16: Asset Allocation Versus Factor Investing THE CHALLENGE PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION CASE STUDY THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

23  CHAPTER 17: Illiquidity THE CHALLENGE SHADOW ASSETS AND LIABILITIES EXPECTED RETURN AND RISK OF SHADOW ALLOCATIONS OTHER CONSIDERATIONS CASE STUDY THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS APPENDIX REFERENCES NOTES

24  CHAPTER 18: Currency Risk THE CHALLENGE WHY HEDGE? WHY NOT HEDGE EVERYTHING? LINEAR HEDGING STRATEGIES NONLINEAR HEDGING STRATEGIES THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

25  CHAPTER 19: Estimation Error THE CHALLENGE TRADITIONAL APPROACHES TO ESTIMATION ERROR STABILITY-ADJUSTED OPTIMIZATION BUILDING A STABILITY-ADJUSTED RETURN DISTRIBUTION DETERMINING THE OPTIMAL ALLOCATION EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

26  CHAPTER 20: Leverage Versus Concentration THE CHALLENGE LEVERAGE IN THEORY LEVERAGE IN PRACTICE THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

27  CHAPTER 21: Rebalancing THE CHALLENGE THE DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING SOLUTION THE MVD HEURISTIC THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

28  CHAPTER 22: Regime Shifts THE CHALLENGE PREDICTABILITY OF RETURN AND RISK REGIME-SENSITIVE ALLOCATION TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION THE BOTTOM LINE APPENDIX: BAUM–WELCH ALGORITHM RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

29  CHAPTER 23: Scenario Analysis THE CHALLENGE COMPARISON TO MEAN-VARIANCE ANALYSIS THE MAHALANOBIS DISTANCE APPLIED TO SCENARIO ANALYSIS THE MAHALANOBIS DISTANCE AND PROBABILITY REVISING PROBABILITIES CASE STUDY MAPPING ECONOMIC VARIABLES ONTO ASSET CLASS RETURNS THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

30  CHAPTER 24: Stress Testing THE CHALLENGE END-OF-HORIZON EXPOSURE TO LOSS WITHIN-HORIZON EXPOSURE TO LOSS REGIMES THE BOTTOM LINE RELATED TOPICS REFERENCES NOTES

31  CHAPTER 25: Statistical and Theoretical Concepts DISCRETE AND CONTINUOUS RETURNS ARITHMETIC AND GEOMETRIC AVERAGE RETURNS STANDARD DEVIATION CORRELATION COVARIANCE COVARIANCE INVERTIBILITY MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION MAPPING HIGH-FREQUENCY STATISTICS ONTO LOW-FREQUENCY STATISTICS PORTFOLIOS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS THE CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREM THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION HIGHER MOMENTS THE LOGNORMAL DISTRIBUTION ELLIPTICAL DISTRIBUTIONS THE MAHALANOBIS DISTANCE PROBABILITY OF LOSS VALUE AT RISK UTILITY THEORY SAMPLE UTILITY FUNCTIONS ALTERNATIVE UTILITY FUNCTIONS EXPECTED UTILITY CERTAINTY EQUIVALENTS MEAN-VARIANCE ANALYSIS FOR MORE THAN TWO ASSETS EQUIVALENCE OF MEAN-VARIANCE ANALYSIS AND EXPECTED UTILITY MAXIMIZATION MONTE CARLO SIMULATION BOOTSTRAP SIMULATION REFERENCES NOTES

32  Glossary of Terms

33  Index

34  End User License Agreement

Asset Allocation

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