Читать книгу Proficient Motorcycling - David L. Hough - Страница 17

Let’s consider risk in relation to riding experience. Does your risk go down as you gain experience? In the following chart from the Hurt Report, 1.0 would be average. Above 1.0 means a higher than average risk; below 1.0 means a lower than average risk.

Experience Riding in Traffic	Risk
0-6 months	1.40
7-12 months	0.96
13-24 months	0.93
25-36 months	1.52
37-48 months	0.98
48+ months	0.83

These numbers show that a rider with less than six months’ experience was almost twice as likely to have an accident as the rider with more than four years. We would expect that. The shocker is that the rider with two to three years of experience was even more likely to crash than the new kid. The lesson here is that riders tend to get cocky when they think they have learned it all—about two years into the learning curve. This is a subject that hasn’t been addressed recently by NHTSA or the other statistics-gathering organizations. I’d certainly like to know how motorcycling experience relates to risk in today’s riding environment, especially with so many riders getting into motorcycling later in life.