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Chapter 1. Modelling theory Definition of modelling
ОглавлениеBusiness modelling includes a variety of different types of modelling. My interpretation of business models is that they are written in Excel with some use of Access and Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) and offer solutions to common business problems.
Models can belong to one or more of the following categories:
Financial modelling – the PFI model is a financial model and a financial model has a P&L (profit & loss), CF (cash flow) and BS (balance sheet) as main results
Econometric modelling – the results vary but the main content is of an econometric nature including any or all of:
elasticities to derive volume, supply or demand of goods or services
regression analysis or other statistical means to forecast volume, supply or demand of goods or services
Deterministic modelling – where the model derives one set of results
Probabilistic modelling – where the model can derive a distribution of the set of results
Simulation modelling – where the model can be run a number of times, while changing one or more variables across a pre-determined range, to derive a distribution of the set of results
Operational modelling – where the model uses management accounting and other actuals to forecast and where the actual updating process happens at regular intervals
Strategic financial modelling – where the model provides the company’s senior management with answers to the possible direction of the company’s future finances
Budget financial modelling – where the model provides short-term detailed financial variance analysis by comparing actuals data to budget data.