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When examining expected investment returns, you have to be careful because you’re largely using historic returns as a guide. Using history to predict the future, especially the near future, is dangerous. History may repeat itself, but not always in exactly the same fashion and not necessarily when you expect it to.

Historical returns should be used only as a guide, not viewed as a guarantee. Please keep that in mind as I discuss the returns on money market funds and savings accounts, bonds, stocks, real estate, and small-business investments in this section.