Читать книгу The New Normal in IT - Gregory S. Smith - Страница 13

According to the consulting company McKinsey & Company, it could take various sectors more than five years to recover to 2019 level contributions to GDP.¹³ Specifically, the worst projected sectors globally that have the longest recovery period (up to 2025 and beyond) include arts; entertainment; recreation; hotels and food services; educational services; transportation and warehousing; manufacturing; and mining, oil, and gas extraction.¹⁴ McKinsey goes on to suggest that economic impacts across the globe could take one of three paths:

1 A quick recovery during which lower fatalities occur in younger people and working adults.

2 A global slowdown that assumes most countries are not able to control the spread of the virus, especially in heavily populated areas, affecting small- to medium-sized companies more acutely.

3 A pandemic and recession arise, assuming that the virus is not seasonal.¹⁵

During the early peak of the pandemic in 2020, there were 20,500,000 people who lost their jobs in the United States alone (14.7 percent) between February and April.¹⁶ The 10 most impacted sectors of the United States job markets included the following areas:

1 Hotels lost 42.7 percent of jobs.

2 Sports and performing arts lost 45.4 percent of jobs.

3 Furniture and home furnishing stores lost 46.3 percent of jobs.

4 Restaurants and bars lost 48.1 percent of jobs.

5 Motion picture and sound recording lost 48.3 percent of jobs.

6 Dentist offices lost 53.3 percent of jobs.

7 Laundry and professional services (pet, parking, dating, etc.) lost 53.5 percent of jobs.

8 Clothing and accessory stores lost 58.9 percent of jobs.

9 Amusement parks and casinos lost 59.9 percent of jobs.

10 Scenic transportation lost 62.1 percent of jobs.¹⁷