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Extent of Loss to Follow‐up

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Loss to follow‐up occurs in almost all clinical trials, although reporting of this is often incomplete. One problem is that some published papers give no information about loss to follow‐up. A study of trials in five leading journals found that 13% failed to report whether or not loss to follow‐up had occurred [42]. Other studies have found that the lack of an explicit statement about missing data occurred in 6.5% [43] and 26% [44] of published papers.

Trials that report the extent of loss to follow‐up vary greatly in the proportion of participants affected. Among 77 trials published in leading medical journals in 2013, 95% reported some missing outcome data: although the median loss was 9%, the highest reported was 70% [45]. Similarly in trials funded by a Health Technology Assessment programme, the median loss was 11%, but this ranged from 0% to 77% in individual studies [46].

In many trials loss follow‐up exceeds the notional threshold of 20% for serious loss. The extent of this may vary across specialties. Among trials in palliative care it was 23% [47], slightly higher in osteoarthritis (26%) [44] and 39% in rheumatoid arthritis [48]. Among obesity trials 74% reported losses >20% [49].

Care is needed in the interpretation of the loss to follow‐up rates. In a study of 21 trials, the data reported to the US Food and Drugs Administration showed markedly higher median loss to follow‐up (13%), than that in the corresponding published papers (0.3%) [50]. The authors of this study concluded that the ‘published rates consistently seem to be inadequate representations of the completeness and quality of follow‐up’.

Evidence in Medicine

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