Читать книгу Stock Trader's Almanac 2021 - Jeffrey A. Hirsch, Jeffrey Hirsch A., John Person L. - Страница 2

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INTRODUCTION TO THE FIFTY-FOURTH EDITION2021 OUTLOOK2021 STRATEGY CALENDAR

JANUARY ALMANAC JANUARY’S FIRST FIVE DAYS: AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM THE INCREDIBLE JANUARY BAROMETER (DEVISED 1972): ONLY TEN SIGNIFICANT ERRORS IN 70 YEARS JANUARY BAROMETER IN GRAPHIC FORM DOWN JANUARYS: A REMARKABLE RECORD

6 FEBRUARY ALMANACMARKET BEHAVIOR UNDER NEW PRESIDENTSMARKET CHARTS OF POST–PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION YEARSPOST-ELECTION YEAR PERFORMANCE BY PARTY

7 MARCH ALMANACPOST-ELECTION YEARS: PAYING THE PIPERTHE DECEMBER LOW INDICATOR: A USEFUL PROGNOSTICATING TOOLHOW TO TRADE BEST MONTHS SWITCHING STRATEGIES

8 APRIL ALMANACDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1901S&P 500 ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1930NASDAQ, RUSSELL 1000 & 2000 ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1971

9 MAY ALMANACSUMMER MARKET VOLUME DOLDRUMS DRIVE WORST SIX MONTHSTOP PERFORMING MONTHS: STANDARD & POOR’S 500 AND DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS“BEST SIX MONTHS”: STILL AN EYE-POPPING STRATEGYMACD-TIMING TRIPLES “BEST SIX MONTHS” RESULTS

10 JUNE ALMANACTOP PERFORMING NASDAQ MONTHSGET MORE OUT OF NASDAQ’S “BEST EIGHT MONTHS” WITH MACD TIMINGTRIPLE RETURNS, FEWER TRADES: BEST 6 + 4–YEAR CYCLE

11 JULY ALMANACFIRST MONTH OF QUARTERS IS THE MOST BULLISH2019 DAILY DOW POINT CHANGES (DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE)DON’T SELL STOCKS ON MONDAY OR FRIDAY

12 AUGUST ALMANACA RALLY FOR ALL SEASONSTAKE ADVANTAGE OF DOWN FRIDAY/ DOWN MONDAY WARNINGMARKET FARES BETTER UNDER DEMOCRATS; DOLLAR HOLDS UP UNDER REPUBLICANSREPUBLICAN CONGRESS & DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENT IS BEST FOR THE MARKET

13 SEPTEMBER ALMANACMARKET GAINS MORE ON SUPER-8 DAYS EACH MONTH THAN ON ALL 13 REMAINING DAYS COMBINEDA CORRECTION FOR ALL SEASONSFIRST-TRADING-DAY-OF-THE-MONTH PHENOMENON

14 OCTOBER ALMANACSECTOR SEASONALITY: SELECTED PERCENTAGE PLAYSSECTOR INDEX SEASONALITY STRATEGY CALENDARMARKET BEHAVIOR THREE DAYS BEFORE AND THREE DAYS AFTER HOLIDAYS

15 NOVEMBER ALMANACFOURTH-QUARTER MARKET MAGICTRADING THE THANKSGIVING MARKETAURA OF THE TRIPLE WITCH—4TH QUARTER MOST BULLISH: DOWN WEEKS TRIGGER MORE WEAKNESS WEEK AFTER

16 DECEMBER ALMANACMOST OF THE SO-CALLED JANUARY EFFECT TAKES PLACE IN THE LAST HALF OF DECEMBERJANUARY EFFECT NOW STARTS IN MID-DECEMBERWALL STREET’S ONLY “FREE LUNCH” SERVED BEFORE CHRISTMASIF SANTA CLAUS SHOULD FAIL TO CALL, BEARS MAY COME TO BROAD AND WALL2022 STRATEGY CALENDAR

17 DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS AND DATABANKDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021RECENT DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021RECENT S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021RECENT NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021DECENNIAL CYCLE: A MARKET PHENOMENONPRESIDENTIAL ELECTION/STOCK MARKET CYCLE: THE 187-YEAR SAGA CONTINUESDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS BULL AND BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1900STANDARD & POOR’S 500 BULL AND BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1929 NASDAQ COMPOSITE SINCE 1971DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: JANUARY AND FEBRUARYDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: MARCH AND APRILDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: MAY AND JUNEDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: JULY AND AUGUSTDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBERDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: NOVEMBER AND DECEMBERA TYPICAL DAY IN THE MARKETTHROUGH THE WEEK ON A HALF-HOURLY BASISTUESDAY MOST PROFITABLE DAY OF WEEKNASDAQ STRONGEST LAST 3 DAYS OF WEEKS&P DAILY PERFORMANCE EACH YEAR SINCE 1952NASDAQ DAILY PERFORMANCE EACH YEAR SINCE 1971MONTHLY CASH INFLOWS INTO S&P STOCKSMONTHLY CASH INFLOWS INTO NASDAQ STOCKSNOVEMBER, DECEMBER AND JANUARY: YEAR’S BEST THREE-MONTH SPANNOVEMBER THROUGH JUNE: NASDAQ’S EIGHT-MONTH RUNDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1901S&P 500 ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1930NASDAQ ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1971DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1950DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY POINT CHANGES SINCE 1950DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1950STANDARD & POOR’S 500 MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1950STANDARD & POOR’S 500 MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1950NASDAQ COMPOSITE MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1971NASDAQ COMPOSITE MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1971RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1979RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 197910 BEST DAYS BY PERCENT AND POINT10 WORST DAYS BY PERCENT AND POINT10 BEST WEEKS BY PERCENT AND POINT10 WORST WEEKS BY PERCENT AND POINT10 BEST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT10 WORST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT10 BEST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT10 WORST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT10 BEST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINT10 WORST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINTNOTES

18  STRATEGY PLANNING AND RECORD SECTION PORTFOLIO AT START OF 2021 ADDITIONAL PURCHASES SHORT-TERM TRANSACTIONS LONG-TERM TRANSACTIONS INTEREST/DIVIDENDS RECEIVED DURING 2021 BROKERAGE ACCOUNT DATA 2021 WEEKLY PORTFOLIO PRICE RECORD 2021 (FIRST HALF) WEEKLY INDICATOR DATA 2021 (FIRST HALF) MONTHLY INDICATOR DATA 2021 PORTFOLIO AT END OF 2021 IF YOU DON’T PROFIT FROM YOUR INVESTMENT MISTAKES, SOMEONE ELSE WILL PERFORMANCE RECORD OF RECOMMENDATIONS INDIVIDUAL RETIREMENT ACCOUNT (IRA): MOST AWESOME MASS INVESTMENT INCENTIVE EVER DEVISED G. M. LOEB’S “BATTLE PLAN” FOR INVESTMENT SURVIVAL G. M. LOEB’S INVESTMENT SURVIVAL CHECKLIST

19  END USER LICENSE AGREEMENT

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Stock Trader's Almanac 2021

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