Читать книгу Английский для военных/Military English. Метод кейсов/Cases. Решения, ответы, словарь, глоссарий - Марина Юрьевна Грабарь - Страница 8

This environment features a greater threat level – consistent with the collapse of the DPRK regime and the higher echelons of its military. As in the Uncertain case above, this environment might arise from a violent conflict within the DPRK’s leadership.

– WMD-E (Hostile):the basis of the Hostile environment is that U.S. entry into North Korea would be met with hostility by former regime and military members and perhaps many in the general public. In the internal collapse case, entering North Korea might be predicated on relieving a massive humanitarian catastrophe and controlling refugee flows – with securing WMD being necessary to prevent their transfer.

– WMD-E (Hostile/High Threat): This environment features the collapse of the DPRK regime but with the military remaining intact to a large extent. This environment might result from an internal regime struggle and collapse as before. But, in this case, the military manages to hold itself together.

We used these four environment descriptions to calculate the forces required for the missions shown in Table 1.2.

In each case, we assessed that a battalion-sized WMD-E TF was the minimum size needed to provide sufficient organic security at each site and that – at a minimum—12 such TFs would be provided (ten for priority nuclear sites, with two in reserve for pop-up targets).

3. Ratio of supporting forces to mission forces.

For operations in the DPRK, such support would most likely be provided by military units:

– 1.5:1: This represents the lower-end bound of OIF and OEF support for Army operations.

– 2.5:1: We use this ratio for our baseline. It represents the midlevel support ratios experienced in OIF and OEF.

– 3.5:1: This represents the high-end bound of OIF and OEF support.

We chose the 2.5:1 support ratio for our baseline estimate to support WMD-E operations in the DPRK, and show the parametric variants of ratios higher or lower than this number.

Question 4

– Sensitivity of Force Requirements to Operational Environments and Support Ratios

The ground force requirements are presented as a function of the operating environment (Uncertain or Hostile, and level of threat) and the assumed support ratio (low, midlevel, or high), broken out by the different elements of the WMD-E mission force.

Ground force requirements for WMD-E operations in our illustrative DPRK case are presented in Figure 1.2.

Estimated forces needed for WMD-E operations could be…