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Table of Contents

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Introduction

Concerning Probability

General Principles of the Calculus of Probabilities

Concerning Hope

Analytical Methods of the Calculus of Probabilities

Games of Chance

Concerning the Unknown Inequalities which may Exist among Chances Supposed to be Equal

Concerning the Laws of Probability which result from the Indefinite Multiplication of Events

Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to Natural Philosophy

Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to the Moral Sciences

Concerning the Probability of Testimonies

Concerning the Selections and Decisions of Assemblies

Concerning the Probability of the Judgments of Tribunals

Concerning Tables of Mortality, and the Mean Durations of Life, Marriage, and Some Associations

Concerning the Benefits of Institutions which Depend upon the Probability of Events

Concerning Illusions in the Estimation of Probabilities

Concerning the Various Means of Approaching Certainty

Historical Notice of the Calculus of Probabilities to 1816

A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities

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