Читать книгу The Harriman Book Of Investing Rules - Stephen Eckett - Страница 15
ОглавлениеLewis J. Borsellino
Lewis J. Borsellino is the founder of www.TeachTrade.Com, an educational web site for stock and futures traders.
Mr. Borsellino has traded at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange since 1981. He appears regularly on CNN-FN, Reuters Financial Television, Bloomberg TV and WebFN.
Books
The Day Trader - From the Pit to the PC, John Wiley, 1999
The Day Trader's Course: Low-risk, High-profit Strategies for Trading Stocks and Futures (Patricia Crisafulli), John Wiley & Sons Inc, 2001
The ‘ten commandments’ of trading
Introduction
In the 20 years I’ve been trading, I’ve discovered one truism that is valid whether you’re trading stocks, fixed income or futures: trading is 90% psychological. All the rest – technical analysis, trade execution, etc. – is the other 10%.
That’s not to say that technical analysis of the markets isn’t important. It’s vital. You can’t trade without a plan based on technical analysis that encompasses support and resistance, trend lines, moving averages, momentum, volatility and the like. But you can’t possibly execute that plan consistently if your mental game is off. That’s where the ‘ten commandments’ of trading come in.
1. Trade for success, not for money.
Your motivation should be first and foremost to make a well-executed trade. If money alone is your motivation you will severely limit your chance of success. Why? Because focusing on money will raise all kinds of emotional issues, from fear to greed. It will make you afraid of losses to the point that you will abandon your discipline. It will tempt you to trade too often, too large and with too much risk. Whereas if you focus on making solid, well-executed trades - even if the result is a losing trade that you exit quickly - you will reinforce your discipline and increase your trading potential.
2. Discipline is the one quality that all traders must possess above all others.
The ability to master your mind, your body and your emotions is the key to trading. The disciplined trader - regardless of profit or loss - comes back to trade another day. A great intellect, the ability to take on risk, or even a sense that you’re somehow ‘lucky’ mean nothing without discipline. For a trader, discipline means the ability to devise a trading plan, execute according to that plan, and to never deviate from that plan.
3. Know yourself.
Do you break out in a cold sweat at the mere thought of risking something - such as your own capital? Do you think of trading like ‘gambling,’ a long shot to make a million? Or can you handle risk in a disciplined fashion, knowing how much is ‘too much’ for both your capital and your constitution?
Trading is not for everyone. If risk makes you ill, on the one hand, or if taking a risk brings out the recklessness in you, then trading is probably not for you. But if you can handle risk with discipline, then perhaps you can find a vocation or avocation as a trader. Only you can answer that question.
4. Lose your ego.
No matter how much success you enjoy as a trader, you’ll never outsmart the market. If you think you can, you’re in for a very humbling experience. The market rules, always, and for everyone.
You need to silence your ego in order to listen to the market, to follow what your technical analysis is indicating - and not what your intellect (and your ego) think should happen. To trade effectively, you need to put yourself aside. At the same time, you cannot be so emotionally fragile that unprofitable trades shatter your confidence. Don’t be crushed by the market, but don’t ever think you’ve mastered it, either.
5. There’s no such thing as hoping, wishing or praying.
I’ve seen too many traders staring panic-stricken at the computer screen and begging the market to move their way. Why? Because they have lost their discipline and allowed what was a small loss to turn into a much bigger one. They keep hanging on, hoping, wishing and praying for things to turn around. The reality is on the screen. When the market hits your stop-loss level (the price at which you’ll cut your losses at a pre-determined level), get out.
6. Let your profits run and cut your losses quickly.
When the market goes against you and you hit your pre-determined stop, exit the trade. Period. Exit when the loss is a small one. Then reevaluate your strategy and execute a new trade. Keeping your losses small will keep you in the game. Profits take care of themselves, as long as you execute according to your plan. When you place a trade, know in advance where you’ll exit for a profit. When the market reaches that level, exit the position. If your technical analysis tells you the market still has some room to move, then scale out of the position. But execute according to your plan. Remember, you’ll never go broke taking a profit.
7. Know when to trade and when to wait.
Trade when your analysis, your system and your strategy say that you have a buy or sell to execute. If the market doesn’t have a clear direction, then wait on the sidelines until it does. Keep your mind on the market, but keep your money out of it.
8. Love your losers like you love your winners.
Losing trades will be your best teachers. When you have a losing trade, it’s because of some flaw in your analysis or your judgment. Or perhaps the market simply didn’t do what you thought it would. When you have a losing trade, something is out of sync with the market. Examine what went wrong - objectively - then adjust your thinking, if necessary, and enter the trade again.
9. After three losing trades in a row, take a break.
This is not the time to take on more risk, but rather to become extremely disciplined. Sit on the sidelines for a while. Watch the market. Clear your head. Re-evaluate your strategy, and then put on another trade. Losses can shake your confidence and tempt you to become emotional (fear/greed) But if you take a break, you can gather your wits and regain your composure more quickly than if you become very emotional and angry at yourself and the market.
10. The unbreakable rule.
You can break a rule and get away with it once in a while. But one day, the rules will break you. If you continually violate these ‘commandments’ of trading, you will eventually pay for it with your profits. That’s the unbreakable rule. If you have trouble with any of them, come back and read this one. Then read it again.
‘By their nature, turnaround stocks are unpopular. That’s why they have so much profit potential. If you wait until they are popular again, you will miss most of the gains. Back in 1993 when IBM dropped down to about 10 (adjusted for splits) most analysts called it a dinosaur. When it got back up to 100 a few years later, everyone loved it again.’
George Putnam III