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CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION – THE NEW ‘REAL BUSINESS’
1.1 On the Point of Transformation
1.1.2 The Hierarchy of Analytics, and How Value is Obtained from Data
ОглавлениеAnalytics, or the analysis of data, is generally recognized as the key by which data insights are obtained. Put another way, analytics unlocks the ‘value’ of the data.
There is a hierarchy of analytics (Figure 1.5).
Figure 1.5 The hierarchy of analytics
■ Analytics which serves simply to report on what has happened or what is happening which is generally known as descriptive analytics. In insurance, this might relate to the reporting of claims for a given date, for example.
■ Analytics which seeks to predict on the balance of probabilities – what is likely to happen next, which we call ‘predictive analytics.’ An example of this is the projection of insurance sales and premium revenue, and in doing so allowing insurers to take a view as to what corrective campaign action might be needed.
■ Analytics which not only anticipates what will happen next but what should be done about it. This is called ‘prescriptive analytics’ on the basis that it ‘prescribes’ (or suggests) a course of action. One example of this might be the activities happening within a contact center. Commonly also known as ‘next best action,’ perhaps this would be better expressed as ‘best next action,’ as it provides the contact center agent with insight to help them position the best next proposed offering to make to the customer to close the deal.
It need not unduly concern us that predictive and prescriptive are probabilistic in nature. The insurance industry is based on probability, not certainty, so to that extent insurers should feel entirely comfortable with that approach. One argument is that prediction is a statistical approach responding only to large numbers. This might suggest that these methods are more relevant to retail insurance (where larger numbers prevail) rather than specialty or commercial insurances which are more niche in nature. Increasingly the amount of data available to provide insight in niche areas is helping reassure sceptics who might previously have been uncertain.
In all these cases there is an increasing quality of visualization either in the form of dashboards, advanced graphics or some type of graphical mapping. Such visualizations are increasingly important as a tool to help users understand the data, but judgments based on the appearance of a dashboard are no substitute for the power of an analytical solution ‘below’ the dashboard. One analogy is that of an iceberg, with 80 % of the volume of the iceberg being below the waterline. It is much the same with analytics: 80 % or more of the true value of analytics is out of the sight of the user.
The same may be said of geospatial analytics – the analytics of place – which incorporates geocoding into the analytical data to give a sense of location in any decision. Increasingly geospatial analytics (the technical convergence of bi-directional GIS and analytics) has allowed geocoding of data to evolve from being an isolated set of technical tools or capabilities into becoming a serious contributor to the analysis and management of multiple industries and parts of society.
Overall it is important to emphasize that analytics is not the destination, but rather what is done with the analytics. Analysis provides a means to an end, contributing to a journey from the data to the provision of customer delight for example (Figure 1.6). The ultimate destination might equally be operational efficiency or better risk management. Insight provided should feed in to best practices, manual and automatic decisioning, and strategic and operational judgments. To that extent, the analytical process should not sit in isolation to the wider business but rather be an integral part of the organization, which we might call the ‘analytical enterprise.’
Figure 1.6 From ‘data’ to ‘customer delight’