Читать книгу The Exponential Era - David Espindola - Страница 2
ОглавлениеTable of Contents
1 Cover
6 FOREWORD
7 Introduction The Threat of Being Amazoned and Uberized Elephants Dancing to a Faster Tempo Where Is My Crystal Ball? Trillion‐Dollar Platforms Changing Wheels While the Car Is Running Dealing with Chaos Uncertainty Must Be Managed The Premise Behind SPX How This Book Is Organized
8 SECTION ONE CHAPTER 1: The New Context for Our Future The Future Is Not Your Brain's Priority Exponentials Make Fools of Humans The Phases of Exponential Progression The Exponential Explosion Moore's Law: The Observation that Changed the World CHAPTER 2: Exponential Platforms: Convergences and Megatrends Megatrends Exponential Platforms CHAPTER 3: Animals of the Exponential Kingdom Flash Boiled Frogs Disruptive Unicorns Fast and Furious Gazelles Dancing Elephants Dominating Gorillas
9 SECTION TWO CHAPTER 4: Introducing SPX: Strategic Planning for the Exponential Era Convergence Research and Strategic Planning The Manifesto that Changed How Software Is Built Iterative Experiments in a Feedback Loop Thinking Like a Designer Getting Inside the Opponent's Head with OODA A New Approach to Strategic Planning Traditional Strategic Planning versus SPX CHAPTER 5: Detecting Early Signals If It Is Obvious to Everyone, It Has No Value Research and Observation Removing Barriers to Information Flow Access Is the Name of the Game Dealing with Uncertainty Conducting Research Predictive Analytics Timing Analysis CHAPTER 6: Learning from Experiments Divergence and Convergence Starting with Divergence Moving into Convergence Short Experiments Risks and Opportunities Identification Embracing Chaos and Bad News CHAPTER 7: Capabilities – The Essential Fuel to Ride the Exponential Curve Determine Capabilities Develop Risk–Opportunity–Capability Map Develop Priority List CHAPTER 8: Feedback‐Based Strategic Decisions Determine Scale and Scope Explore Highest Priorities Gather Data and Feedback Scale or Terminate Initiatives CHAPTER 9: Leading a Culture of Change Exploration versus Exploitation – the Innovator's Dilemma Amplifying Flow Through the Organization Mobilizing the Organization Through an Inflection Point Knowing When to Quit Executive Engagement Culture and Behaviors
10 SECTION THREE CHAPTER 10: The Exponential Human – Social and Ethical Challenges in a Chaotic World The Workless Society Education Reinvented Global Synchronous Communications New Ethics for a New Era For My Children
11 A DISCUSSION ABOUT THE USE OF THE TERM EXPONENTIAL
13 INDEX
List of Tables
1 Chapter 0Table I.1 Sample list of products shut down by Google.
2 Chapter 2Table 2.1 Convergence of exponential platforms shaping megatrends
3 Chapter 4Table 4.1 Traditional strategic planning versus SPX.
List of Illustrations
1 Chapter 0Figure I.1 Inflection point.Figure I.2 Series of consecutive S curves.
2 Chapter 1Figure 1.1 A closer look at the elbow of the exponential curveFigure 1.2 Cost per human genomeFigure 1.3 Moore's law: transistors per microprocessor
3 Chapter 4Figure 4.1 SPX: Strategic planning for the Exponential Era.
4 Chapter 5Figure 5.1 Patent filing activity in the United States for 3D printing per t...Figure 5.2 First SPX loop: identify and monitor horizons.Figure 5.3 Timing analysis of converging technologies.
5 Chapter 6Figure 6.1 Second SPX loop: Generate Insights.
6 Chapter 7Figure 7.1 Third SPX loop: formulate a rough plan.Figure 7.2 Risk–opportunity–capability (ROC) map.
7 Chapter 8Figure 8.1 Fourth SPX loop: implement; scale, or terminate initiatives.
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