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Table of Contents

Cover

Title

Copyright

Acknowledgments

Presentation of the Institut pour la Maîtrise des Risques (French Institute for Risk Management)

Foreword

Preface

1 Understanding Cindynics 1.1. The approach 1.2. The method 1.3. The tools 1.4. Processes

2 The Usefulness of the Cindynics Approach and Method 2.1. The situation, the founding concept of cindynics 2.2. Characterizing an activity situation 2.3. Qualifying a dangerous situation within an activity situation

10  3 The Usefulness of Cindynics Tools 3.1. Qualification grid for risk sources that are not easily identifiable 3.2. Describing this type of risk source

11  4 Reducing Risk Sources

12  5 A Comparative View Between Dependability and Cindynics 5.1. Introduction 5.2. What is a complex system? 5.3. Dependability approach – its strengths and limitations 5.4. The cindynics approach 5.5. Conflict or complementarity of the two approaches 5.6. Conclusion

13  6 Perspectives

14  Conclusion

15  Examples of Approaches

16  Appendix 1. Current Risk Management and its Shortcomings

17  Appendix 2. Notions of Interaction and Complexity

18  Appendix 3. The Grounded Theorization Method

19  Appendix 4. Notions of Quantum Theory

20  Appendix 5. Summary of CSDs

21  Appendix 6. Archeocindynic Study

22  Appendix 7. Bhopal Study

23  Appendix 8. More Information About Bhopal

24  Appendix 9. Collection of Information on the Queen Mary II Gangway Accident

25  Appendix 10. Queen Mary Accident Cause Tree

26  Appendix 11. Collection of Information on the Deepwater Horizon Oil Rig Accident

27  Appendix 12. Synthesis Note of the Work of IMdR–AFPCN: “Vulnerability of Networks and Natural Disasters”

28  Appendix 13. The New Cindynics Concepts Training Course

29  Postface

30  Glossary

31  References

32  Index

33  End User License Agreement

List of Tables

1 Chapter 4Table 4.1. Sample deficit matrixTable 4.2. Example of a dissonance matrix

2 Examples of ApproachesTable E.1. Hyperspace of the actor Union Carbide (UC). Temporal horizon: 1957–19...Table E.2. Actor: “India and Authorities”. Temporal horizon: 1957–1980Table E.3. Actors, employees and 8.1.4. UC India, stakeholder, period 1980–1984Table E.4. Actors: Union Carbide – October 3 and 4, 1984Table E.5. Comparison between baseline and observed situationsTable E.5. Actor: CAT managementTable E.6. Actor: CAT works coordinatorTable E.7. Actor: head of the ENDEL agencyTable E.8. Actor: ENDEL site managerTable E.9. Systemic deficitsTable E.10. Actor: BP – expected behaviorTable E.11. Actor: BP – observed behavior

3 Appendix 5Table A5.1. Summary of CSDs

4 Appendix 7Table A7.1. Causal and linear analysis by J. and R. Kasperson

List of Illustrations

1 PrefaceFigure P.1. Changes in annual passenger fatality and death rates in scheduled se...

2 Chapter 2Figure 2.1. T0 to Tn: studied space-time = time horizon; E: space horizon; A1 to...Figure 2.2. Defining an activity situation. For a color version of this figure, ...Figure 2.3. Representation of a dangerous situation. For a color version of this...

3 Chapter 3Figure 3.1. Hazard hyperspace. For a color version of this figure, see www.iste....

4 Examples of ApproachesFigure E.1. Figure showing the gangway accident (source: France Bleu). For a col...Figure E.2. Image from the Final Report on the Investigation of the Macondo Well...Figure E.3. Comparison between countries generalizing or not the use of anti- pr...

5 Appendix 7Figure A7.1. Diagram of the MIC storage facilityFigure A7.2. Excerpt from the multi-causal tree approach to causes according to ...Figure A7.3. Systemic approach according to Pauchant and MitroffFigure A7.4. Filter approach according to Le Coze et al.

6 Appendix 9Figure A9.1. Partial organigram of CATFigure A9.2. Subcontractor ENDEL’s partial organigramFigure A9.3. Characteristics and positions of two planks in relation to the ship

7 Appendix 10Figure A10.1. Queen Mary accident cause tree

Guide

Cover

Table of Contents

Title page

Copyright

Acknowledgments

Presentation of the Institut pour la Maîtrise des Risques (French Institute for Risk Management)

Foreword

Preface

Begin Reading

10  Conclusion

11  Examples of Approaches

12  Appendix 1. Current Risk Management and its Shortcomings

13  Appendix 2. Notions of Interaction and Complexity

14  Appendix 3. The Grounded Theorization Method

15  Appendix 4. Notions of Quantum Theory

16  Appendix 5. Summary of CSDs

17  Appendix 6. Archeocindynic Study

18  Appendix 7. Bhopal Study

19  Appendix 8. More Information About Bhopal

20  Appendix 9. Collection of Information on the Queen Mary II Gangway Accident

21  Appendix 10. Queen Mary Accident Cause Tree

22  Appendix 11. Collection of Information on the Deepwater Horizon Oil Rig Accident

23  Appendix 12. Synthesis Note of the Work of IMdR–AFPCN: “Vulnerability of Networks and Natural Disasters”

24  Appendix 13. The New Cindynics Concepts Training Course

25  Postface

26  Glossary

27  References

28  Index

29  End User License Agreement

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Cindynics, The Science of Danger

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