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D. Percentages Suggested to Harmonize the Estimates

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It is from the point of view of the diagnostician that we shall attempt to focus this question of the percentage of feeble-minded. We shall tentatively suggest limits as to the degrees of intellectual deficiency which we might be justified in regarding, under the present conditions of scientific knowledge as being low enough in intellectual capacity to justify particular forms of social care. Such estimates will be of value if they help to harmonize the conflicting opinions by bringing them into relation with the above analysis. We shall, therefore, compare the suggested percentages with a number of authoritative statements of the frequency of feeble-mindedness. By considering the differences in the nature of the estimations we may approach nearer to an understanding of the problem.

Since the percentages to be suggested are chosen from the point of view of diagnosis, they do not represent the number for which every community should immediately make financial provision. The expense is a local or a state question. It is so much affected by state conditions and by public policy that it probably must be determined in any state by a special commission. On the other hand, the laws already provide for caring for the feeble-minded in institutions or colonies and in special schools or classes, so that the estimates may help to guide diagnosticians who are called upon to decide whether a particular person might be rightfully regarded as deficient enough intellectually to justify committing him for permanent care to a state institution. In the present practise it is fairly clear that this distinction is made in the minds of different diagnosticians. It may ultimately be desirable that this differentiation between the types of social care be introduced into the law. Until then it will remain the duty of the court to determine what degree of social unfitness is intended by a particular law. The social concept of feeble-mindedness is just now undergoing a rapid evolution so that it would be impossible to predict how it may legally crystallize a generation hence.

To begin with the lowest group of the feeble-minded, we should consider those whom the state might be clearly justified in isolating indefinitely on the basis of their tested lack of intellectual capacity, the social isolation group. For purposes of comparison let us place this degree of intellectual ability as that possessed by the lowest 0.5% at fifteen years of age. Above these let us estimate a group of uncertain cases so far as isolation is concerned, but cases which the diagnostician would be justified in regarding as intellectually deficient enough to justify sending to special local schools for training the feeble-minded. After special training the majority of these cases might be expected to require social assistance indefinitely. They would form the social assistance group. Isolation would be justified for none of them on the basis of their test records alone. Those in this group who were persistent delinquents would, by that additional fact, fall into the lowest group so far as social care is concerned. Let us estimate this social assistance group tentatively as the next 1.0% at fifteen years of age.

These estimates have been made as at fifteen years of age since the effect of the excessive mortality especially among the isolation group is uncertain and may need to be allowed for in a discussion of the percentage deficient at different ages. If the mortality were as great as has been described among institutional cases in the previous chapter, a rough estimate of the percentage intellectually deficient in the general population places it at less than 0.5%. This estimate may be made by using the estimated deficiency at the median age of those under 15 years of age and at the median age of those 15 years of age and over. According to the age distribution of the 1910 census, there were 32% under 15 years with a median age of 6 years. At age six 0.67% would be presumed as low as 0.50% at 15 years. The older group (68% of the population) has a median age of 32 with a corresponding percentage in the isolation group at that age of 0.30%, after allowing for differences in mortality on the plan indicated in Table II. This rough estimate for the lowest group indicates that 0.42% of the general population would be of as low a degree of intellectual capacity as the lowest 0.5% at 15 years. Our plan presumes, therefore, that between 0.4% and 0.5% of the population are unable to pass their entire lives outside of institutions under ordinary conditions; i. e., make an honest living and live within the law even with social assistance and supervision.

The corresponding estimate for those requiring only social assistance would be between 0.8% and 1.0% of the general population above the lowest group. This might vary from approximately 1.34% at 6 years to 0.59% at 32, the median age for those over 14 years. Since the mortality is probably less among deficients not in institutions, as they average higher in ability, the changes in the percentages are probably extreme estimates. We should keep in mind, however, the possibility that with the excessive death rate the lowest 1.0% at 15 may mean an ability corresponding to the lowest 1.34% at 6 years and the lowest 0.60% at 32 years.

The next higher group in intellectual ability is so high as not to require social assistance outside of school. When we ask how large a per cent. we should be justified in placing in this group and separating merely for special instruction in school, we reach a condition which is at present so ill-defined even in the minds of educators that it seems best to fall back on the general advice that our school systems should provide just as nearly individual instruction as the public purse and managing genius can devise. Mannheim, Germany, for example, takes care of 18 per cent. outside of its regular school classes. The ideal is individual instruction for all. School authorities would be justified in providing special instruction for every degree of mental ability, if the cost would not restrict other more important social undertakings. This less degree of retardation in the group needing only school assistance should not, however, be classed as feeble-minded. We shall see later the percentages for which some authorities have considered it already advisable to provide special school instruction. We need not attempt to estimate the size of this group, as it is beyond the limit of feeble-mindedness.

The purely conative cases are not taken care of in the above estimates, which are intended for tested deficients. If the conative cases unaccompanied by intellectual deficiency should be regarded as frequent enough to replace those in the social assistance group who ultimately care for themselves, plus those subtracted by the excessive death rate, we would have a total of 1.5% of the general population feeble-minded enough to warrant social care of some sort. About 0.5% might justly be isolated. The reasonableness of this program can be judged by comparison with authoritative estimates now to be reviewed. The problem here is whether this is an unreasonable program for the diagnostician to assume as scientifically justified, remembering that these estimates are for tested deficients at 15 years of age and do not include purely conative cases which might occur above these intellectual borderlines.

Deficiency and Delinquency: An Interpretation of Mental Testing

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