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4. More complex strategies
ОглавлениеHere are a few ideas which you may find useful:
The Tunnels and the OneTouches might be used as an unusual stop. With FTSE at +/- 15 a 55/55 Tunnel may be priced at 70/75 depending on volatility and time. Buying a future/spread betting away from the Tunnel and selling the Tunnel might be useful. If the Tunnel is touched you keep your 70, if the future benefits you make money on that. This could be combined with an in-the-money up/down bet.
Sometimes it may make sense to buy longer dated up/down bets (i.e. daily) and sell shorter dated ones (i.e. hourly).
You will sometimes find that different betting sites offer arbitrage opportunities as touched on in Chapter 5 of Binary Betting.
If you buy a OneTouch and sell another at a different level you will achieve profit/losses at different levels. For example, if FTSE is at 6000 you might buy the 6040 OneTouch at 50 (bet #1), then sell the 6060 at 15 (bet #2). As these are OneTouches it is the high of the day that is important and the close or low is irrelevant. Here is how these bets would work out:
If FTSE’s high is below 6040 you lose a net 35 points (50 down on bet #1 and 15 up on bet #2).
If FTSE’s high is above 6040 but below 6060 you make 65 points (50 up on bet #1 and 15 up on bet #2).
If FTSE’s high is above 6060 you lose a net 35 points (50 up on bet #1 and 85 down on bet #2).
If you enter the bets in the example above at different times then you may get better prices but this is not guaranteed.
You can also put in place similar structures with Tunnels and/or other bets.
I have kept this section fairly short and sweet as more complex structures are something of an acquired taste and those so inclined will want to do the research themselves. The ideas above may provide a useful starting point.
Having looked at four different groups of strategies, we’ll now turn to research.